Joe Attueyi:
You wrote that my "Nehemiah lamentations" (not Jeremiah) had "no suggested possible solutions"? Well, I thought that in the identification of the problems, I had implied the outlines of the solutions.
But since you request a little more details, here they are - in sketch:
(1) To tackle "imported international pressures" that in general you have no control over, some of the solutions are:
(i) more self-reliance. If they used to feed you before, you have to work harder to feed yourself. If they used to give you
(more) loans/investment at (good) acceptable rates - and are more unwilling to do so - you have to look inwards for such
loans/investments.
(ii) more awareness international needs. If for example you used to sell Goods A to them, and they no longer want them - or can only buy at a lower price - then you should see whether you can produce ALTERNATIVE Goods B that they would be far more willing to buy. That is. export product diversification, rather than a monoculture (eg of oil).
(2) To tackle "national legacy problems", we have to:
(i) re-structure the federation into a more manageable "cooperative federalism", with tiers of government (from federal to local with well-defined roles
and financial enablement through both re-distributive and internal generation means.
(ii) establish a meritocratic leadership at all such tiers of government, imbued with democratic and participatory values.
(iii) enthrone strict transparency and accountability in all financial dealings, and sanction corruption in the public space vigorously.
(3) To tackle "policies of the present administration", we will have to:
(i) seriously re-jig the current personnel (Ministers, Department and Agency heads, including embassies) and Economic team, and charge them
with results-based objectives. There should be no room for claustrophilic chronyism; the country at large has a lot of talent.
(ii) clarify certain policies in energy, agriculture, security, foreign exchange, anti-corruption etc., , UNDERSTAND the sectoral
linkages, and COMMUNICATE them clearly. There appears currently to be quite some confusion in the linkages.
(iii) be decisive about policy enunciations and be SYSTEMIC (that is HOLISTIC) in pursuing them. There is current timidity in pursuing some key policies, for example in corruption and in foreign exchange.
(iv) have a re-invigorated President. In a Presidential system, the "Presidency" is the President.
To my mind, prioritizing all of these minimum steps is the TEST OF LEADERSHIP which now confronts the Buhari administration. It is a tough situation.
And there you have it.
Bolaji Aluko
On Sat, Feb 11, 2017 at 11:46 PM, Joe Attueyi <topcrestt@yahoo.com> wrote:
Welcome back Prof AlukoYours below, quiet unlike you, sounds like the 'lamentations of Jeremiah ' --- with no suggested possible solutions.Btw1. I doubt if any reasonable person , corrupt or otherwise, is awaiting Buhari's death. For all intents and purposes Buhari is already political history------and as aptly put by FT-- Mr Buhari may not be as ill as the rumours suggest. Politically, though, rigor mortis set in quite some time ago."2. A military coup in today's Nigeria will not be sustainable.3. Leaves us with Acting President Osinbanjo. Who will be doing a balancing act between contending forces for the next 2 years.A Buhari presidency was a tragedy foretold. We all have to suck it in and count it as part of nation building learning process.Hopefully we can hit reset--/and seek the Change that will benefit Nigerians in 2019.Joe
Sent from my iPhoneAyo Ojutalayo:Let me resume my "normal political punditry" (to quote Joe Attueyi) for a brief while, and indicate that our present national problems - which are MAJOR, by the way - have three major components:(1) legacy national issues, which are best divided into(i) pre-colonial issues (congenital structural problems)(ii) post-independence pre-coup issues (a first period of missed opportunities)(iii) military-era diarchical legacy issues (an enthronement of impunity, as well as further structural deformations)(iv) civilian administration1999-2007 issues (missed opportunities)(v) civilian administration 2007-2015 issues (a rapacious period)(2) imported international pressures;(i) oil pricing(ii) banking and international financing strictures(3) policies of the present administration(i) policies not established (eg to address many aspects of (1) above;)(ii) policies done badly (flawed and/or delayed and/or wrongly-timed policies)(iii) wrong personnel ((a) square pegs in round holes (b) unimaginative round-hole pegs), and a seeming unwillingness to look beyond certain horizons.But I no longer wish to be paralyzed by analysis.And one thing that I know: unless there is a miracle, the anti-corruption fight of this Administration is lost, based on how the corrupt Judges' issue is being fought, and the interminable adjournments of other ongoing corruption cases. Within spitting distance of Aso Rock, there is absolutely no fear of corruption, with the Police and traffic wardens on the streets still doing their day-light "robberies" of vehicles, under the guise of traffic control and particulars' checking. To the corrupt in Nigeria, it is as if what is being awaited are:(1) the death of Buhari; his illness (or lack of full wellness) undermines his vitality; in a Presidential system, its workings cannot be more vital than the President himself;(2) a military coup (improbable, but not impossible)(3) 2019 (quite frankly, round the corner).With respect to foreign exchange, the N500-$1 exchange is quite debilitating - and unsustainable for those of us who have foreign dependencies. But there is no anti-dote to it but increased productivity and foreign earnings outside of just oil - and that will take some time. IN the time being, there is too much Naira in the hands of a few chasing dollars to store value, and too many dollars in the hands of a few ready to exchange to Naira to take advantage of the high exchange rate......it is an unusual phenomenon, which our confounded Central Bank CANNOT handle, after quite frankly trying its monetary policy best. It is left with the Federal Government to do much better in fiscal policy matters.And there you have it.Bolaji AlukoOn Sat, Feb 11, 2017 at 9:28 PM, 'Ayo Ojutalayo' via AfricanWorldForum <africanworldforum@googlegroups.com > wrote:--"To the irrational Buharideens, It is possible that some don't understand what "rigor mortis" means." . . . Joe AttueyiJoe,Thank God for technology, "the irrational Buharideens" don't need to look for a dictionary to check the meaning, if they "don't understand what 'rigor mortis' means." You Nigerians fi ete s'ile, e npa lapalapa. Nigeria's problem is not Buhari. That was why I drew Mazi Aduba's attention to Financial Times'As well as the president's flawed policies, he blames a bloated political system in which most of the 36 states (far too many) spend their time grovelling for federal funds. The mosaic of Nigerian politics is complicated by the need to balance power between north and south and between the plethora of regions and linguistic groups represented in the cabinet. That makes for a parasitic state, not one that can solve problems. "This is a system designed to fail even if you have capable people in charge," says Mr OlojedeThose of you that see Buhari as the problem have ulterior motives. If only people like you could devote as much time to demanding for correction of the bloated political system and restructuring the country as you devote to Buhari.Ayo Ojutalayo"When you are too gentlemanly with SOBs and bullies, they grow wings and never change their habits. Ultimately, deep down, they are cowards...Nebukadineze Adiele - not his parent-given name; one of the ghosts that pollute our Naija forums and write in pseudonym, as one of their "free speech" exercises - is a prime example." . . . . Bolaji Aluko
"The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy. " . . . Martin Luther King Jr
From: Joe Attueyi <topcrestt@yahoo.com>
To: NIgerianWorldForum@yahoogroups.com
Cc: ayoojutalayo@yahoo.com; africanworldforum@googlegroups.com ; naijaevent@googlegroups.com; omoodua@yahoo.com; Bring Your Baseball Bat <naijaobserver@yahoogroups.com>; Politics Naija <naijapolitics@yahoogroups.com >; "nigerianid@yahoogroups.com" <nigerianID@yahoogroups.com>; "nebukadineze@aol.com" <nebukadineze@aol.com>; Ra'ayi Riga <raayiriga@yahoogroups.com>; Yahoo! Inc. <yanarewa@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Saturday, February 11, 2017 4:16 AM
Subject: Re: [NIgerianWorldForum] Re: Financial Times of London finishes off President Buhari
Oga AdubaThe fact of life is that some people like moving forward via the rear view mirror. The 'who caused my problem ' syndrome rather than 'how do I solve my problem ' syndromeTo rational Buharideens like my brother Abba, Dr Kassim , Nebu , Bro Pete Opara and Prof Aluko ( who seems to have gone awol from his normal political punditry) your excerpt is telling:The man supposedly in charge of the country had been literally sleeping on the job. Mr Buhari may not be as ill as the rumours suggest. Politically, though, rigor mortis set in quite some time ago."
To the irrational Buharideens, It is possible that some don't understand what "rigor mortis" means.We have an interesting 2 years ahead of us if Baba returns. We have a choice to pay him off and give him a 2 year vacation and save ourselves from political and socio economic paralysisJoe
Sent from my iPhone
On 11 Feb 2017, at 5:42 AM, Baduba54 baduba54@aol.com [NIgerianWorldForum] <NIgerianWorldForum@yahoogroups.com > wrote:Mr. Ojutalayo,I saw what you higlighted.But I saw this also:
AdubaNigeria has drifted before, though rarely at a time of such pressing crisis. In 2010, President Umaru Yar'Adua died in office after months in which his illness had been covered up. The man supposedly in charge of the country had been literally sleeping on the job. Mr Buhari may not be as ill as the rumours suggest. Politically, though, rigor mortis set in quite some time ago."
-----Original Message-----
From: Ayo Ojutalayo <ayoojutalayo@yahoo.com>
To: Baduba54 <baduba54@aol.com>; Google Inc. <africanworldforum@googlegroups.com >; Yahoo! Inc. <nigerianworldforum@yahoogroups.com >; naijaevent <naijaevent@googlegroups.com>; omoodua <omoodua@yahoo.com>
Sent: Sat, Feb 11, 2017 12:35 am
Subject: Re: Fwd: Financial Times of London finishes off President Buhari
Mazi Aduba,
I hope you saw and understood the following from the Financial Times of London:
"To be fair, Mr Buhari inherited a dire situation courtesy of his hapless predecessor, Goodluck Jonathan. He did the country a service simply by beating Mr Jonathan in an election and sparing the country of further wilful misrule. Yet Dele Olojede, a Pulitzer prizewinning journalist, says Mr Buhari's government has been "spinning around in circles"."As well as the president's flawed policies, he blames a bloated political system in which most of the 36 states (far too many) spend their time grovelling for federal funds. The mosaic of Nigerian politics is complicated by the need to balance power between north and south and between the plethora of regions and linguistic groups represented in the cabinet. That makes for a parasitic state, not one that can solve problems. "This is a system designed to fail even if you have capable people in charge," says Mr Olojede,
Ayo Ojutalayo
"When you are too gentlemanly with SOBs and bullies, they grow wings and never change their habits. Ultimately, deep down, they are cowards...Nebukadineze Adiele - not his parent-given name; one of the ghosts that pollute our Naija forums and write in pseudonym, as one of their "free speech" exercises - is a prime example." . . . . Bolaji Aluko
From: Baduba54 <baduba54@aol.com>
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Sent: Saturday, February 11, 2017 12:21 AM
Subject: Fwd: {CISANDIIGBOCONVENTIONCOMMITTEE} Financial Times of London finishes off President Buhari
--Financial Times of London finishes off President BuhariBy News Express on 10/02/2017Views: 73
•President Buhari.The Financial Times of London has delivered an unflattering verdict on President Muhammadu Buhari, saying that he lacks vision and that Nigeria has fared far worse under his leadership. Below is the text of the article by David Pilling entitled "Nigeria's president is missing in action":"For two weeks, Muhammadu Buhari, Nigeria's septuagenarian president, has been out of action, receiving medical treatment in London for an undisclosed illness. His absence has sent the rumour mill of Africa's most populous nation spinning, with frequent erroneous reports that the president is dead. The tragedy for Nigeria is that policymaking has been so ponderous during the 20 months since Mr Buhari took office that, dead or alive, it is not always easy to tell the difference."Under Mr Buhari's slow-blinking leadership, Africa's largest economy has drifted into crisis. Brought low by the weak oil price, on which government revenues are woefully dependent, the system has been starved of dollars. That has driven businesses into the ground, people on to the margins and the economy into its worst recession in 25 years. What had been a growing middle class is being daily eviscerated. High inflation, especially for food, is damaging the poor in whose name Mr Buhari ran for office."There are signs that Nigerians – among the most resilient and adaptive people on the continent – are losing patience. This week, there were small, but rowdy, protests in Lagos and Abuja, at which demonstrators complained about their "missing president"."There is an irony that Mr Buhari, a retired major general, is missing in action. He ran the country as a military ruler in the mid-1980s after seizing power in a coup. In civilian guise, his leadership style has verged on the invisible. After winning power in 2015 on the fourth attempt at the ballot box, he set out at a pace that has marked his presidency: it took him six months to name a cabinet. Hopes that he had surrounded himself with a lean team of capable technocrats empowered to get policy cranking have come to naught. Policymaking — such that it is — has been crafted instead by a tiny cabal of loyal, less qualified, stalwarts. Mr Buhari has failed to articulate anything approaching a vision."During his campaign, Nigeria's soldier-turned-politician promised to train his sight on three main objectives: to improve security, crack down on corruption and diversify the oil-dependent economy. Progress on the first two has been patchy, and on the third dismal."On security, Mr Buhari has managed to galvanise a demoralised army and make gains against Boko Haram, a terrorist organisation that had been metastasising beyond its northern base. Boko Haram has been pushed back into a north-eastern redoubt and across the border into Cameroon and Chad. But that displacement has been offset by security flare-ups elsewhere, most seriously in the Niger Delta where militants have been sabotaging oil production."Mr Buhari's anti-corruption drive can be boiled down to a few symbolic gestures and a few high-profile cases against members of the previous administration. Yet, systemically, little has changed. The confused exchange rate policy – in which the central bank doles out scarce dollars at an advantageous rate – is a recipe for opacity. The dollar shortage is killing off industry rather than nurturing it."Seventy per cent of Nigeria's 170m people were not born when Mr Buhari was last running the show, so they might not notice that his policies are stuck in the same 1980s groove. Statist and redistributionist by inclination, he finds himself in charge of a dysfunctional state and an economy with few revenues to recirculate."To be fair, Mr Buhari inherited a dire situation courtesy of his hapless predecessor, Goodluck Jonathan. He did the country a service simply by beating Mr Jonathan in an election and sparing the country of further wilful misrule. Yet Dele Olojede, a Pulitzer prizewinning journalist, says Mr Buhari's government has been "spinning around in circles"."As well as the president's flawed policies, he blames a bloated political system in which most of the 36 states (far too many) spend their time grovelling for federal funds. The mosaic of Nigerian politics is complicated by the need to balance power between north and south and between the plethora of regions and linguistic groups represented in the cabinet. That makes for a parasitic state, not one that can solve problems. "This is a system designed to fail even if you have capable people in charge," says Mr Olojede, who does not put Mr Buhari in that category.Nigeria has drifted before, though rarely at a time of such pressing crisis. In 2010, President Umaru Yar'Adua died in office after months in which his illness had been covered up. The man supposedly in charge of the country had been literally sleeping on the job. Mr Buhari may not be as ill as the rumours suggest. Politically, though, rigor mortis set in quite some time ago."Source News ExpressPosted 10/02/2017 06:56:42 AM
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