Friday, April 15, 2011

USA Africa Dialogue Series - Hopes for a new day as nation picks president: Summary of expectations ahead of tomorrow's Presidential election in Nigeria

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Hopes for a new day as nation picks president

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TOMORROW, in 120,001 polling booths in the country, Nigerians will vote for the next leader to take it out of the woods.  Ahead of the polls, four parties and their presidential candidates have emerged as the front-runners.

They are the incumbent president, President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan of the ruling PDP; Maj.-Gen. Muhammadu Buhari of the Congress for Progressive Change  (CPC), who is making his third attempt at the presidency; Nuhu Ribadu of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) and All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) presidential candidate Mallam Ibrahim Shekarau, who is the governor of Kano State.

There are a total of 18 candidates on the list. In the 2003 race, there were 20 candidates and 25 candidates contested in 2007.

Of the 18 candidates, seven are from the South-South geo-political zone. They are: President Jonathan, Rev. Chris Okotie of the Fresh Democratic Party, Ebiti Onoyom Ndok (the only female), United National Party for Development (UNPD), Prof. Pat Utomi of the Social Democratic Mega Party (SDMP), Akpona Solomon of the National Majority Democratic Party (NMDP), Ambrose Awuru of Hope Democratic Party (HPT) and Chris Nwaokobia of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP).

From the South East are, Iheanyichukwu Nnaji of the Better Nigeria Progressive Party (BNP), Nwadike Chikezie Peoples Mandate Party (BMP), and Prof. Peter Nwangwu of the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

There are only two candidates from the South West. They are Rasheed Shitta-Bey of the platform of Mega Progressive Peoples Party (MPPP) and Dele Momodu of the National Conscience Party (NCP).

There are six from the North and they are Ribadu, Buhari, Mahmud Waziri of the People for Democratic Change (PDC), John Dara of the National Transformation Party (NTP), Shekarau and Yahaya Ndu, African Renaissance Party (ARP).

Utomi voluntarily withdrew from the race for Shekarau.

As the alliance was falling to pieces, six presidential candidates; Nwagwu, Nnaji, Akpona, Nwadike, Prince Lawson Igboanugo and Shitta-Bey were queuing up to adopted Jonathan as their consensus candidate. They joined the All Progressive Grand Alliance (APGA), which didn't pick a presidential candidate but adopted Jonathan from the start. At the last count, the number of parties that have adopted Jonathan and the PDP has risen to over 45.

The question is, which of the 17 candidates will win the polls, initially billed for April 9 but was rescheduled after the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) postponed the National Assembly polls and subsequently adjusted the election timetable.

The presidential polls will be the fourth since the 1998 general election, which the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Gen Olusegun Obasanjo won. The party has held power at the centre since then and is hoping to return its incumbent, President Goodluck Jonathan who succeeded the late president, Alhaji Umaru Yar'Adua.

Despite the results of various opinion polls that have given the election to the PDP, history favours the ruling party to win the presidential polls. The fact is that no incumbent president has ever lost a re-election in the country.

But in an era where the opposition parties are stirring and challenging the ruling party, the other candidates insist they will have something to say about the little fact of history.

from Guardian, Nigeria

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