RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Re: Theory of a Nigerian uprising

Is the Egypt style uprising possible in Nigeria? Yes  it is. Is it likely to happen? I doubt that it is. Nigeria is not a country as Egypt is a country. The political differences in Egypt are ideological for want of a better word. The differences in Nigeria are ethnic. Morsi seems to have lost favor with a majority of Egyptians, including the coalition that elect him president, because he was seen as being mostly interested in implementation of the near century old agenda of the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) and not the bread and butter- security and employment needs of a majority of today’s Egyptians. Egypt is a more secular country that many people realize. The MB know this , deny it, and believe than they can reverse this state of affairs. Morsi sadly shared this delusion. He misjudged his people, under-estimated their determination to move their country forward as a secular modern country, over-estimated the power of the public support of the MB, discounted the Military’s dislike for him and the MB.  

 

From: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com [mailto:usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Cornelius Hamelberg
Sent: Thursday, July 04, 2013 4:36 PM
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Cc: abickersteth@googlemail.com
Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Re: Theory of a Nigerian uprising

 

I should also like to observe a little further that Egyptians have now discovered the power that they can exert through mass (massive) protests. Whereas Nigeria I s still lagging behind in that respect. Nigeria is very much a different country and it's difficult to imagine that a few weeks of mass demonstrations in the nation's capital would have succeeded in dislodging someone like Sani Abacha. But people are learning from the demonstrations they see on TV, so it's possible that someday (one fine day) disgruntled Nigerians will join forces to demonstrate their disgust with e.g. the rise in fuel prices or the never expect power always syndrome and the idea of  Suffer, suffer, suffer, suffer, suffer Suffer for world na your fault be that

 

 
On Thursday, 4 July 2013 17:21:48 UTC+2, Cornelius Hamelberg wrote:

The immediate problem facing Egypt is the instability that will inevitably follow deposing Morsy and the Brotherood by a military decree.

 It is not the sort of instability that will be conducive to foreign investments, or tourism or economic development.

The only hope I can see is the sort of power-sharing in which the Brotherhood gets a large chunk of the Power and of course the military continues to  enjoy controlling 40% of  Egypt's economic empire

 

 

On Thursday, 4 July 2013 13:04:25 UTC+2, Augustine Togonu-Bickersteth wrote:

My Theory is that not until Nigeria achieves a life expectancy of about 75 years would we have the kind of protests in Algeria, Libya,Syria,Egypt and Turkey. These countries suprisinly have better standards of living than Nigeria.In Turkey life expectancy is 73-9 years,Libya 77.88,Syria 75.84,Egypt 73.20 Algeria 73.0 Causes cited by the protestors in Algeria include unemployment, the lack of housing, food-price inflation, corruption, restrictions on freedom of speech and poor living conditions. We have all these and more in Nigeria where life expectancy is a mere 51.86 years. No Nigeria leader would love to be unseated by popular revolt and so what our leaders would do is keep life expectancy to a minimum. Thats my theory

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