Thursday, July 4, 2013

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Theory of a Nigerian uprising

Augustine is an armchair theorist on life expectancy. My friend pick up the challenge and prove your theory. For me my only theory of revolution is if military  officers benefits are cut, then hell will be let lose. As for mass revolution, go consult with Fela Anikulapo Kuti, "we no wan die".

 Chiedo Nwankwor <cnwankwo@udel.edu> wrote:

Dear Segun,
 
 If I understand your bucolic conjecture, the dysfunction in Nigeria is caused by the "excessive freedom" that its citizens have, else why would they "insult" the President or the First Lady for that matter, and not end up in prison? If they were to have curtailed/limited freedom, i.e. freedom of speech,  no one would dare "insult" these esteemed leaders, which in turn will create such tension within the society that the only outlet will be an uprising - Yes? Alternatively, if any citizen had the audacity to "insult" these eminent personalities,then of course, they would end up in prison in their droves no doubt, which of course will precipitate an uprising. No?
 
Might you please explain the mechanisms through which this "excessive freedom" theory works?
 
Thanks.

 
Chichi
On Thu, Jul 4, 2013 at 2:37 PM, Segun Ogungbemi <seguno2013@gmail.com> wrote:
I doubt if age expectancy is the issue.  The case of Nigeria is "excessive" freedom which helps to diffuse tension.  Anyone can say anything about our leaders without any consequences. Former President Obasanjo was, in my view,  the most insulted President in Nigeria. In other climes such would not be tolerated. 
Of recent President Jonathan and our First lady have been insulted, abused and ridiculed and no arrests have been made. In those Arab countries such elastic freedom is not there. If suppression of freedom is held for too long the day the people revote it will be explosive. And that is what we are witnessing in Egypt and other Arab countries. 
What does life expectancy have to do with revolution in Egypt? You need to give us a scientific proof. 
SO

Sent from my iPhone

On Jul 4, 2013, at 12:04 PM, Augustine Togonu-Bickersteth <abickersteth@googlemail.com> wrote:

My Theory is that not until Nigeria achieves a life expectancy of about 75 years would we have the kind of protests in Algeria, Libya,Syria,Egypt and Turkey. These countries suprisinly have better standards of living than Nigeria.In Turkey life expectancy is 73-9 years,Libya 77.88,Syria 75.84,Egypt 73.20 Algeria 73.0 Causes cited by the protestors in Algeria include unemployment, the lack of housing, food-price inflation, corruption, restrictions on freedom of speech and poor living conditions. We have all these and more in Nigeria where life expectancy is a mere 51.86 years. No Nigeria leader would love to be unseated by popular revolt and so what our leaders would do is keep life expectancy to a minimum. Thats my theory

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