Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - MID-WEEK ESSAY: On the Matter of INEC's PVC Distribution as at February 17, 2015



Hope rising indeed!



---- Original Message ----
From: Mobolaji Aluko <alukome@gmail.com>
To: USAAfrica Dialogue <USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com>; NaijaPolitics e-Group <NaijaPolitics@yahoogroups.com>; naijaintellects <naijaintellects@googlegroups.com>; Ra'ayi <Raayiriga@yahoogroups.com>; nigerianid@yahoogroups.com <nigerianID@yahoogroups.com>; Yan Arewa <YanArewa@yahoogroups.com>; OmoOdua <OmoOdua@yahoogroups.com>; ekiti ekitigroups <ekitipanupo@yahoogroups.com>; NiDAN <nidan-group@googlegroups.com>; NigerianWorldForum <NIgerianWorldForum@yahoogroups.com>; africanworldforum <africanworldforum@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Wed, Feb 18, 2015 6:46 am
Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - MID-WEEK ESSAY: On the Matter of INEC's PVC Distribution as at February 17, 2015


___________________________________________________________________


MID-WEEK ESSAY: On the Matter of INEC's PVC Distribution as at  February 17, 2015

by

Mobolaji Aluko, PhD

February 18, 2015

___________________________________________________________________


On this matter of PVC distribution, an encouraging national time trend is now emerging:

NATIONAL TREND
 
 
S/N
STATE
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
IN COUNTRY
% COLLECTION
(BASED ON NRV=68,833,735)
1
Jan 9
38,774,391
56.33
2
Jan 27
42,867,410
62.28
3
Feb 4
45,143,679
65.58
4
Feb 17
52,233,396
75.88
 

Hope is therefore rising!

If we hit 80% nationally by March 8, with a minimum of 70% in any given state and geo-political zone, then for this university professor, that will be an "A" for INEC, and for my colleague Attahiru.  There are as many as ten reasons why we cannot get 100% collection - death, dislocation, fraud of many kinds, duplications, apathy, TVC loss etc. -  but you know them all, so I don't need to waste your time any further :-) 

Now that INEC and the country have been thrown a "postponement security lifeline" to enable us all to have a more free, fair, credible and transparent set of 2015 elections using both PVCs and VCRs,  let us make the best out of an otherwise embarrassing four-year-preparation situation.  We should not compromise on use of PVCs and certainly not on VCRs.

To reduce registered voter frustration, instead of looking all over the place for their PVCs, voters and INEC itself should  make better use of INEC's own SMS look-up shortcode facility 

  (1)  To 0817-164-6879:  Text "State, Last Name, Last 5 Digits of VIN". or

  (2)  To 20120:  Text "INEC, State, Last Name, Last 5 Digits of VIN" 
        (without the quotes)

and act on the message received back.  A negative response means no hope for these elections - maybe next election. A positive response means that you now know the polling unit where you can vote with your PVC, or else if you don't already have your PVC, INEC should do all it can to ensure that you get one before First Election Day, and/or you can vote on the First Election Day (March 28) using your pre-qualified TVC followed by Card-reader finger-print verification, whereupon you are issued a PVC in preparation for the Second Election Day (April 11). [For example, go to http://www.govote.ng/pickup/]




For the next set of elections (2019, etc.), INEC should get out of the card issuing business altogether and concentrate on its "core business" - just voter registration, followed by identification  (by any  biometric card issued by some other national body), voting, collation and result announcement at voting booths.

And there you have it.


Bolaji Aluko

___________________________________________________________________


STATE/GEO-POLITICAL ZONAL FIGURES

S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
1
EKITI
732,021
503,431
68.77
2
LAGOS
5,905,852
3,685,322
62.40
3
OGUN
1,829,534
747,556
40.86
4
ONDO
1,524,655
1,071,010
70.25
5
OSUN
1,407,107
1,012,678
71.97
6
OYO
2,415,566
1,569,390
64.97
 
SOUTH-WEST
13,814,735
8,589,387
62.18


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
7
ABIA
1,396,162
1,115,634
79.91
8
ANAMBRA
1,963,173
1,499,317
76.37
9
EBONYI
1,074,273
714,351
66.50
10
ENUGU
1,429,221
1,065,210
74.53
11
IMO
1,803,030
1,252,030
69.44
 
SOUTH-EAST
7,665,859
5,646,542
73.66


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
12
AKWA-IBOM
1,680,759
1,468,708
87.38
13
BAYELSA
610,373
404,119
66.21
14
CROSS RIVER
1,175,623
879,249
74.79
15
DELTA
2,275,264
1,728,524
75.97
16
EDO
1,779,738
1,145,782
64.38
17
RIVERS
2,537,590
1,923,139
75.79
 
SOUTH-SOUTH
10,059,347
7,549,521
75.05


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
 
TOTAL SOUTH
31,539,941
21,785,450
69.07


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
18
JIGAWA
1,831,276
1,706,814
93.20
19
KADUNA
3,407,222
3,133,813
91.98
20
KANO
4,975,701
3,487,155
70.08
21
KATSINA
2,827,943
2,620,829
92.68
22
KEBBI
1,470,648
1,316,656
89.53
23
SOKOTO
1,611,929
1,380,840
85.66
24
ZAMFARA
1,495,717
1,458,519
97.51
 
NORTH-WEST
17,620,436
15,104,626
85.72


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
25
ADAMAWA
1,559,012
1,328,136
85.19
26
BAUCHI
2,054,125
1,745,441
84.97
27
BORNO
1,934,079
1,320,667
68.28
28
GOMBE
1,120,023
1,064,577
95.05
29
TARABA
1,340,652
1,196,583
89.25
30
YOBE
1,099,970
824,401
74.95
 
NORTH-EAST
9,107,861
7,479,805
82.12


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
31
BENUE
2,015,452
1,548,074
76.81
32
KOGI
1,350,883
914,164
67.67
33
KWARA
1,142,267
843,792
73.87
34
NASARAWA
1,242,667
1,196,583
96.29
35
NIGER
2,014,317
1,413,015
70.15
36
PLATEAU
2,001,825
1,406,528
70.26
 
NORTH-CENTRAL
9,767,411
7,322,156
74.97



S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
 
TOTAL NORTH
36,495,708
29,906,587
81.95


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
37
FCT
881,472
541,359
61.42


S/N
STATE
NO. OF REGISTERED VOTERS
NO. OF PVCs
COLLECTED
% COLLECTION
 
 
TOTAL COUNTRY
68,917,121
52,233,396
             75.79


___________________________________________________________________



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