USA Africa Dialogue Series - SUNDAY MUSINGS: On the Matter of Update on PVCs - and the Unnecessari-ness of Election Postponement

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SUNDAY MUSINGS:  On the Matter of Update on PVCs - and the Unnecessari-ness of Election Postponement

by

Mobolaji E. Aluko

alukome@gmail.com

February 1, 2015

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My People:

Five good pieces of news from INEC recently since the first release of their PVC distribution on January 9:

(1)  ALL the PVC for all the 68,833,735 eligible voters have now been printed, up from 54,341,610 PVCs printed by that January 9.

(2)  So far, 42,867,410 have now picked up their PVCs, up from 38,774,391 back on January 7. That is an uptick of 4,093,019, with a new pick-up rate of 62.28%.

(3)  INEC has pledged to leave the PVC collection lights (extended the deadline on collection) on till February 8 rather than yesterday.

(4)  If all fails, it is prepared to enable collection of PVCs until the eve of elections.....that however introduces the uncertainty of knowing the total actual number of voters beforehand, with its attendant heightened "rigging" possibilities.

(5)  electronic PVC card readers will be used to read  official PVCs and transmit results, so that cloned PVCs will be of no use.....however does that not amount to electronic voting, currently banned by legislative order?    What happens if the electronic readers break down - deliberately or indeliberately?  Will manual admission of voters and/or of voting be done?  Can we please see a PUBLIC demonstration of these electronic readers - and "voting?"

All in all, with all these announcements, postponing the February 14-28 elections will absolutely not be necessary - that window of closure by a Senate resolution is over, and we should just get the "pain" over with, no matter its outcome. Prof. Attahiru Jega should resist all pressures for postponement, and should retire in peace immediately thereafter.

Finally, I have been looking at the details of the new PVC distributions from January 9 to January 27.  There are some strange results, particularly with respect to some states - for example, absolutely zero additional  pick-ups (Imo, Rivers, Ondo, Yobe,Jigawa, Sokoto and Benue), and even NEGATIVE pick-up for Ogun state (672,017 on January 9,  666,752 on January 27 - very strange!

All in all, there are still a lot of apprehensions about February 14 and 28 in terms of process and outcome.

And whoever wins among the top presidential contenders will be a miracle....but miracles do happen.

And there you have it.

Bolaji Aluko

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TABLE 1:  Update on PVCs Distributed by INEC – by Geo-Zone

 

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received By INEC by Jan 7		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27
SW	13,731,349		10,602,164		6,270,736	6,403,530	132,794	46.35%
SE	7,665,859		6,082,994		3,915,241	4,378,329	463,088	57.11%
SS	10,059,347		8,360,814		5,756,018	6,214,977	458,959	61.78%
TOTAL SOUTH	31,456,555		25,045,972		15,941,995	16,996,836	1,054,841	53.89%
NW	17,620,436		14,155,693		12,013,961	12,784,880	770,919	72.56%
NE	9,107,861		6,403,291		4,886,499	6,678,148	1,791,649	73.32%
NC	9,767,411		7,886,294		5,520,001	5,947,633	427,632	60.89%
TOTAL NORTH	36,495,708		28,445,278		22,420,461	25,410,661	2,990,200	69.63%
FCT	881,472		850,360		411,935	459,913	47,978	52.18%
TOTAL COUNTRY	68,833,735		54,341,610		38,774,391	42,867,410	4,093,019	62.28%

 

 

TABLES 2:  Updates on PVCs Distributed by INEC – by State

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received By INEC by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27	Remark
Ekiti	732,021		732,166		481,198	492,869	11,671	67.33%
Lagos	5,822,207		4,000,000		2,159,091	2,267,039	107,948	38.39%
Ogun	1,829,534		1,175,244		672,017	666,752	-5,265	36.40%
Ondo	1,524,655		1,303,237		824,715	824,715	0	54.09%)
Osun	1,407,107		1,406,147		992,310	995,562	3,252	70.75%
Oyo	2,415,825		1,985,370		1,141,405	1,156,593	15,188	47.88%
TOTAL SW	13,731,349		10,602,164		6,270,736	6,403,530	132,794	46.35%

 

 

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27	Remarks
Abia	1,396,162		1,241,257		1,020,601	1,020,997	396	73.13%
Anambra	1,963,173		1,665,342		862,747	1,222,002	359,255	62.25%
Ebonyi	1,074,273		918,503		687,402	714,351	26,949	66.50%
Imo	1,803,030		1,252,307		682,046	682,046	0	37.24%
Enugu	1,429,221		1,005,585		662,445	738,933	76,488	51.70%
TOTAL SE	7,665,859		6,082,994		3,915,241	4,378,329	463,088	57.11%

 

 

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distrib. Of NRV by Jan 27	Remark
Akwa Ibom	1,680,759		1,468,780		1,177,910	1,328,714	150,804	79.05%
Bayelsa	610,373		465,902		370,062	386,125	16,063	63.26%
Cross River	1,175,623		1,025,760		763,436	776,977	13,541	66.09%
Delta	2,275,264		1,909,291		1,260,728	1,422,595	161,867	62.52%
Edo	1,779,738		1,534,098		930,276	1,046,960	116,684	58.63%
Rivers	2,537,590		1,956,983		1,253,606	1,253,606	0	49.40%
TOTAL SS	10,059,347		8,360,814		5,756,018	6,214,977	458,959	61.78%

 

1.                   

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27	Remark
Jigawa	1,831,276		1,551,831		1,460,620	1,460,620	0	79.76%
Kaduna	3,407,222		3,219,994		2,643,517	2,976,628	333,111	87.36%
Kano	4,975,701		3,198,859		2,771,185	2,612,400	-158,785	52.50%
Katsina	2,827,943		2,379,766		1,965,840	2,245,303	279,463	79.40%
Kebbi	1,470,648		1,306,405		1,035,780	1,232,357	196,577	83.80%
Sokoto	1,611,929		1,398,010		1,211,717	1,211,717	0	75.17%
Zamfara	1,495,717		1,100,828		925,302	1,045,855	120,553	69.92%
TOTAL NW	17,620,436		14,155,693		-12,013,961	12,784,880	770,919	72.56%

 

 

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27	Remark
Adamawa	1,559,012		1,529,636		912,312	1,239,820	327,508	79.53%
Bauchi	2,054,125		1,799,952		1,509,255	1,745,441	236,186	84.97%
Gombe	1,120,023		982,423		802,959	873,698	70,739	78.01%
Borno	1,934,079		0		0	999,470	999,470	56.18%
Taraba	1,340,652		1,180,950		921,637	1,079,383	157,746	80.51%
Yobe	1,099,970		910,330		740,336	740,336	0	67.31%
TOTAL NE	9,107,861		6,403,291		4,886,499	6,678,148	1,791,649	73.32%

 

1.                   

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27	Remark
Benue	2,015,452		1,641,694		1,132,187	1,132,187	0	56.18%
Kogi	1,350,883		1,189,621		755,775	773,197	17,422	57.24%
Kwara	1,142,267		1,032,970		670,694	711,920	41,226	62.33%
Nasarawa	1,242,667		1,135,403		799,991	850,619	50,628	66.45%
Niger	2,014,317		1,526,801		1,089,002	1,250,379	161,377	62.07%
Plateau	2,001,825		1,359,805		1,072,352	1,141,260	68,908	57.01%
TOTAL NC	9,767,411		7,886,294		5,520,001	5,859,562	339,561	60.89%

 

.

State	No. of Reg. Voters NRV		PVCs Printed And Received by Jan 9		PVCs Distributed by Jan 9	PVCs Distributed by Jan 27	Diff. in PVCs Jan 27 minus  Jan 9	New % PV Distributed Of NRV by Jan 27	Remark
FCT	881,472		850,360		411,935	459,913	47,978	52.18%

 

 

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