Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - How The 2012 Electoral College Is Shaping Up

Abdul, please stop with the fuzzy math. By what mathematical logic are the toss-up states "leaning toward Romney" when the poll of polls have Obama leading fairly safely in one of them (Wisconsin) and narrowly in four of them (Ohio, Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia) while Florida remains tied, leaving North Carolina as the only toss-up state in your favorite Rassmussen poll in which Romney has a lead--a narrow one at that? In fact other polls have removed Wisconsin and North Carolina from the list of toss-ups because Romney is unlikely to win the former and Obama is unlikely to win the latter. If you take those two states out of the Rassmussen toss-up list, Obama holds a lead in ALL the remaining ones. 

The way Romney is unraveling domestically and abroad, this election may not even be close, but, close victory or a rout, Obama's reelection is not in doubt.

On Sat, Jul 28, 2012 at 10:34 AM, Abdul Bangura <theai@earthlink.net> wrote:

Note: The Toss-up states are now leaning toward Romney and all of the Leaning Obama states are now in play. In short, Obama needs a last-minute economic miracle, which appears to be quite unlikely at this juncture, to win reelection.

 

2012 Electoral College Scoreboard

Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Breakdown
Safe Romney	167
Likely Romney	3
Leans Romney	21
Toss-up	100
Leans Obama	46
Likely Obama	21
Safe Obama	180

Electoral College

Obama: 247 - Romney: 191 - Toss-up: 100

ALAKAZARCACOCTDEDCFLGAHIIDILINIAKSKYLAMEMDMAMIMNMSMOMTNENVNHNJNMNYNCNDOHOKORPARISCSDTNTXUTVTVAWAWVWIWY

Rasmussen Reports - State By State Balance of Power
Safe Romney (167)	Likely Romney (3)	Leans Romney (21)	Toss-up (100)	Leans Obama (46)	Likely Obama (21)	Safe Obama (180)
AK (3)	MT (3)	IN (11)	CO (9)	MI (16)	ME (4)	CA (55)
AL (9)		MO (10)	FL (29)	NH (4)	MN (10)	CT (7)
AR (6)			IA (6)	NV (6)	OR (7)	DC (3)
AZ (11)			NC (15)	PA (20)		DE (3)
GA (16)			OH (18)			HI (4)
ID (4)			VA (13)			IL (20)
KS (6)			WI (10)			MA (11)
KY (8)						MD (10)
LA (8)						NJ (14)
MS (6)						NM (5)
ND (3)						NY (29)
NE (5)						RI (4)
OK (7)						VT (3)
SC (9)						WA (12)
SD (3)
TN (11)
TX (38)
UT (6)
WV (5)
WY (3)

Note 1 - States in Blue were won by Barack Obama in 2008.

Note 2 - States in Red were won by John McCain in 2008.

• About Us
• RR in the News
• FAQ
• Advertise With Us

• Privacy Policy
• Terms & Conditions
• Careers
• Contact Us

• Scott's Books
• Press Room

 

©2012 Rasmussen Reports, LLC

Media Interviews & Advertising Sales: 732-776-9777

E-mail us at: info@rasmussenreports.com

Web development by Mugo Web

--
--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the "USA-Africa Dialogue Series" moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin.
For current archives, visit http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
For previous archives, visit http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue-
unsubscribe@googlegroups.com
 
 

--
There is enough in the world for everyone's need but not for everyone's greed.


---Mohandas Gandhi

--
--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the "USA-Africa Dialogue Series" moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin.
For current archives, visit http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
For previous archives, visit http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue-
unsubscribe@googlegroups.com