Saturday, September 11, 2010

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Sack of Security Chiefs: Election Game of Musical Chairs

 

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Ms Obe,

 

Of course, it is an understatement to say "there is a slight problem with security in the country". The problem is huge, yes; but to make out that Jonathan's sacking or removal of the security chiefs is actually a genuine response to that is unconvincing. For instance, the announcement of the sacking of the security chiefs at about the same time Boko Haram struck in Bauchi could only have been a coincidence, as such a decision would most likely have been taken before the incidence. Fact is from his time as Acting President up till now, Jonathan has not showed anything to indicate that he has an answer to the rapidly deteriorating security situation. Indeed, the only things that have kept his interest are actions to consolidate his power and those preparatory to remaining in office beyond May 2011.

 

From the Jos killings, through the kidnapping saga to the latest Boko Haram incidence, Jonathan's empty talks and body language reveals a man without ideas and the will to do anything. He sacked Seriki Mukhtar after Jos as National Security Adviser, but again, it wasn't really as a response to the security situation, rather it was part of his political calculation to undercut the Yar'Adua support within government in his own attempt to consolidate his power. Indeed, there is no better evidence of his true intentions than the reappointment of Aliyu Gusau, Obasanjo's former National Security Adviser and someone whose tenure as National Security Adviser under Obasanjo actually witnessed worse communal crises and killings in the same Jos and other places nationwide.  

 

The point I'm making isn't that Jonathan shouldn't respond to the deteriorating security situation, even if it means having to fire some people to get things right. However, Jonathan himself or his handlers have not indicated to us that these people were removed as part of his government's attempt to address our security problems. Indeed, he thanked them for their "outstanding stewardship, loyalty and defending the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria". For me, if Jonathan was thinking the deteriorating security situation, he would be doing things much more fundamental than merely removing the service chiefs.

 

First, he would know that the real answer lies with a thorough reorganisation of the police, because the structure we have now does not work. While considerations of decentralization of the force or its proper federalisation may be considered too much for him now (since he did not act on it earlier), there is no doubt that mere removal of the IG cannot be the answer. I mean, it really isn't about who heads the force, but what type of training its men receive at all levels, how it relates with the public, how it works, how it is funded and how it is supervised. Since our return to democratic government, Musliu Smith, Tafa Balogun, Ehindero, Okiro and Onovo have all come and gone, trailed by the charge of failure; so what gives anyone the idea that Hafiz Ringim is suddenly going to succeed where those ones have failed? What gives us such confidence when the structural and trust issues relating to the force are yet to be addressed?

 

Secondly, Jonathan's relationship with Ringim raises questions about the propriety of the appointment. Here is a man who was ten places down the chain of command – behind six DIGs and three senior AIGs – yet, he is the man chosen to head the force. The only thing we can see recommending him ahead of others is the fact that he is close to Jonathan, having been Commissioner of Police in Bayelsa when Jonathan was Governor. But what confidence should we have when we note that it is the same Ringim that was used for the criminal closure of the Bayelsa Radio Station during the infamous Alams impeachment saga when, putting on his best falsetto voice, he gleefully informed an aghast nation that the closure was only due to a "technical fault" and nothing more? This is the same police officer who just failed the nation as AIG for Zone 9 Umuahia where the kidnapping menace held the nation hostage, just as he failed the nation as Commissioner of Police in Adamawa with his handling of the Numan sectarian crisis and in Bayelsa with the widespread violence, kidnapping and oil pipeline vandalism – all of which he had no answer for. Indeed, his response to the Abia kidnappings was to propose the setting up of an amnesty programme for kidnappers with him installed firmly as a member of the amnesty committee!

 

And lest we forget, Ringim was the same man Jonathan, as Governor of Bayelsa State in 2006 gave N930 million supposedly for arms and ammunition for the police which reports said they put in a fixed account for six months, claimed N40 million interest they never accounted for and finally pocketed the whole money without buying any arms and ammunitions! So, anyone thinking I'm here celebrating Ringim as the answer to corruption in the police or our security problem after the failed Onovo would naturally be disappointed. Indeed, I look forward to him proposing amnesty for armed robbers, rapists, murderers and arsonists as the solution to our security problem! Seriously, his appointment is not about taking care of security; it's about taking care of the interest of his friend, Jonathan.

 

Finally, I honestly cannot see how the elevation of Ringim above nine other officers ahead of him can help the police in terms of morale and internal stability. Such an action does not breed confidence in a hierarchical force like the police and it's obvious that this will lead to a lot of instability within the police because every administrative and operational area headed by these DIGs will be affected (not to talk of the more senior AIGs for Zones 2 and 7 and Force Headquarters). It follows that what we are likely to get now is a massive jostling for position within the police in every area instead of a concentration on the biggest security operation in four years in the form of the forthcoming elections. Destabilizing the police this way at a time we need them to be fully alert is self-defeating. So, I'm personally not looking forward to Ringim as a ringing success, because the signs are obvious that what we're likely to get under his watch is more of the same or worse.

 

 

CHEERS!

 

...

 
 


--- On Thu, 9/9/10, Ayo Obe <ayo.m.o.obe@gmail.com> wrote:

From: Ayo Obe <ayo.m.o.obe@gmail.com>
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Sack of Security Chiefs: Election Game of Musical Chairs
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Date: Thursday, 9 September, 2010, 9:55

Hellooooooooo!  Bauchi Prison stormed and all inmates - including Boko Haram 'suspects' (i.e. STILL awaiting trial) - freed.  Commissioner of Police for the Federal Capital Territory complains that all kidnappers arrested in the 100 cases in the FCT of which the police were informed are people who had been previously arrested for the same offence - kidnapping - but released because of instructions from above.  Banks in Abeokuta take a leaf from their Aba counterparts and shut down in the face of threats by armed robbers.  To mention just a few.

Don't want to go out on a limb, but these things suggest that there is a slight problem with security in the country.  Of course, perhaps Jonathan should have watched the meltdown continue in order not to be accused of planning election rigging.  But if it is standard rigging procedure to put your own people into these positions, why didn't these intelligence chiefs see what was in the offing and get their act together so that we would all see clearly that there couldn't have been any other reason for their removal?

Ayo

On Thu, Sep 9, 2010 at 3:38 AM, Kennedy Emetulu <kemetulu@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
 
 

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Thursday, 09 September 2010

 

 

Sack of Security Chiefs: Election Game of Musical Chairs

 

 

Just as the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) was releasing the timetable for the 2011 elections, the news came that President Goodluck Jonathan has sacked all the service chiefs and the Inspector General of Police and appointed others in their place. In principle, no one doubts the power or prerogative of the President to sack these persons and appoint others to replace them. But in a democracy, every discretionary power is expected to be exercised reasonably and in good faith, more so, in the appointments to and sacks from such high and sensitive offices as the ones in question.

 

First, we need to understand that every position here carries its own duties and responsibilities. The President as the Chief Executive and Commander-in-Chief is expected to regularly check on the work of each office holder to ensure that they are performing their duties constitutionally and effectively. It follows that once he sees any reason to question the office holder or sack to him, he needs to do so immediately. It further follows that if he was doing his own duties diligently as constitutionally expected, a situation will never arise where all the service chiefs would have to be relieved of their positions all at once. I mean, these are appointive not elective posts that are determined at a time. It is inconceivable that under proper consideration, all of them will merit the sack all at once, based on whatever criteria the President adopts. The logic here needs not be over-emphasised.

 

Now, what does a wholesale sack at this time indicate? One, it could indicate that the President as the chief security officer of the nation is so lax in his duties that the whole security and command edifice has become so bad that it has to take a wholesale sack at the top to correct it or two, it could be that the President has other agendas on his mind outside performance. On both counts, the President himself stands indicted, even if we know it is within his powers to do so. If we rule out the first conjecture and assume, for the sake of argument, that the President has diligently performed his constitutional duty as Commander-in-Chief and has found the individual officers worthy of keeping their positions up till now, it raises the question of what other agenda he hopes to achieve by engaging in the wholesale sack. The only place we can find the answer is in the political environment and in the forthcoming election that is just four months away.

 

Without wasting too much time on analyses, it is obvious that the President did not do this for some national interest. It is purely an action carried out to entrench his own position as President by having his own appointees, as opposed to those appointed by the late President Umaru Yar'Adua. Considering the imminence of the election, it also indicates that the President is putting people in place that will do his bidding towards re-election. And, of course, from our chequered history, we all know the role security chiefs appointed by an incumbent play for the incumbent in an election in Nigeria. So, what confidence do we now have for a free and fair election when he has put men everywhere that will do all within their power to protect their newly acquired position post-2011? What confidence do we have when these men, pursuant to that aim of protecting their positions, will necessarily do everything, by hook or by crook, to keep their appointer in power? Isn't this akin to a coup against the Nigerian people? Of course, I know there are those who would immediately accuse me of crying wolf or putting it too strongly, but why couldn't these new appointments wait till after the elections, if only to show good faith and instil confidence in the people that there is no hanky-panky afoot?

 

So, without mincing words, the unreasonableness of the action is clear. It is a leaf from the standard practice of all election riggers in Nigeria. No one should read any ethnic meaning into this because appointees are not there to represent any ethnic group. They are there to protect their appointer and by extension, their own newly-acquired positions. Jonathan has not unveiled a new defence or security policy and there is nothing to remotely indicate that these new appointees are going to do anything differently from those who are there, except that they now owe their elevation to one man whose position they are likely to protect, even if it's against the national interest. After all, we haven't seen anything in their résumé or career history to show that they are new brooms. I make bold to say that by changing the guards at this crucial time, this is an indication that the President and his handlers have declared the next election a do or die affair. That can't be good for democracy.

 

 

 

Kennedy Emetulu,

 

London

 

 

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