USA Africa Dialogue Series - {Revised} FRIDAY ESSAY: The (Almost) FInal Results of PDP Presidential Primary of January 13, 2011 at Eagle Square, Abuja, Nigeria

Revised.......

 

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FRIDAY ESSAY: The (Almost) FInal Results of PDP Presidential Primaries of January 13, 2011 at Eagle Square, Abuja, Nigeria

 

by

 

Mobolaji E. Aluko, PhD

alukome@gmail.com

 

 

January 14, 2011

 

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Dear All:

 

Below is the (almost) final results of the PDP presidential primary of last night/this morning.  Now added to the state delegates count are the ex-officio non-delegates counts, which is the only way in which the final votes announced by Chief Electoral Officer Prof. Tunde Adeniran (Jonathan 2736, Atiiku 805, Jibril 1) could have been arrived at.

 

If there are further corrections, they will be made by-and-by.

 

Moving on.....

 

The results below show that Jonathan won in every geo-political zone, even in the NW where the contest was closest (Jonathan 422, Atiku 365), and certainly in Atiku's own state (Adamawa: Jonathan 76, Atiku 31) and  geo-zone (NE: Jonathan 301, Atiku 155).  The greatest separation was in Jonathan's home SS geo-political zone - Jonathan 615, Atiku 9. - where however the two immediate neighbors of Bayelsa state (Delta, Rivers) gave the 9 votes to Atiku.  The highest single state vote was Yar'Adua's Katsina (147 votes) - a nod to Jonathan's claim to continuation of their joint mandate - but the greatest separation between the two top contestants was in Akwa Ibom (Jonathan 141 to Atiku's 0), once again indicating Governor Akpabio's dodgy "enforcer" reputation.   Curiously, Anambra's total number of delegates within the SE was rather sparse - 55 out of 446 - probably indicating a lack of enthusiasm from that heart of the geo-political zone.

 

And by some quirky  - or divine -  means,  we seem to know exactly how two people voted: Jibril in Kwara State for Jibril,  and Omisore for Atiku in Osun State!

 

Kudos to Jonathan!  The victory is convincing and emphatic enough (31 states + FCT to Jonathan with 77.2% of the valid votes, 5 states to Atiku with 32.8% of the valid votes), that no matter how it arose - through persuasion, zoning or anti-zoning sentiment, bribery, intimidation and/or rigging - any dissent or dissension by the opposition, personal or group,  within the PDP should be measured, tempered.

 

Now with that decided, and with Buhari as presidential candiate for CPC, Utomi for SDMP, Momodu for NCP,  Ribadu (already unanimously adopted within the past hour by ACN) and Shekarau (maybe) for ANPP - did I leave out anybody, or am I being unnecessarily presumptious about some of the names? - let the fireworks and incadescence towards April 2011 begin!

 

And there you have it.

 

 

 

Bolaji Aluko

Public Commentator

 

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PDP Presidential Primary Results – January 13, 2011, Eagle Square, Abuja, Nigeria

 

S/N	Geo- Zone	State	Jonathan	Atiku	Jibril	Total	Winner	Comment
1	SW	Ekiti	76	1	0	77	Jonathan
2		Lagos	52	3	0	55	Jonathan
3		Ogun	80	3	0	83	Jonathan
4		Ondo	69	6	0	75	Jonathan
5		Osun	99	1	0	100	Jonathan	Omisore for Atiku?
6		Oyo	107	10	0	117	Jonathan
		Total SW	483	24	0	507	Jonathan
7	SE	Abia	80	1	0	81	Jonathan
8		Anambra	47	8	0	55	Jonathan
9		Enugu	89	9	0	98	Jonathan
10		Ebonyi	82	2	0	84	Jonathan
11		Imo	125	3	0	128	Jonathan
		Total SE	423	23	0	446	Jonathan
12	SS	Akwa-Ibom	141	0	0	141	Jonathan
13		Bayelsa	67	0	0	67	Jonathan
14		Cross-Rivers	105	0	0	105	Jonathan
15		Delta	114	7	0	121	Jonathan
16		Edo	60	0	0	60	Jonathan
17		Rivers	128	2	0	130	Jonathan
		Total SS	615	9	0	624	Jonathan
18	NW	Jigawa	100	17	0	117	Jonathan
19		Kaduna	82	41	0	123	Jonathan
20		Kano	21	98	0	119	Atiku
21		Katsina	147	11	0	158	Jonathan
22		Kebbi	33	44	0	77	Atiku
23		Sokoto	32	84	0	116	Atiku
24		Zamfara	7	70	0	77	Atiku
		Total NW	422	365	0	787	Jonathan
25	NE	Adamawa	76	31	0	107	Jonathan
26		Bauchi	46	44	0	90	Jonathan
27		Borno	33	26	0	59	Jonathan
28		Gombe	55	18	0	73	Jonathan
29		Taraba	62	16	0	78	Jonathan
30		Yobe	29	20	0	49	Jonathan
		Total NE	301	155	0	456	Jonathan
31	NC	Benue	72	15	0	87	Jonathan
32		Kogi	84	24	0	108	Jonathan
33		Kwara	61	26	1	88	Jonathan	Jibril for Jibril?
34		Nassarawa	53	8	0	61	Jonathan
35		Niger	16	94	0	110	Atiku
36		Plateau	70	5	0	75	Jonathan
		Total NC	356	172	1	529	Jonathan
37	FCT	FCT (Abuja)	24	3	0	27	Jonathan
		Total State Delegates	2624	751	1	3376	Jonathan – 32 states   Atiku – 5 states
		Non-state (ex-officio) Delegates	112	54	0	166
		Announced	2736	805	1	3542	61 Voided	3603 Votes Cast?
		Needed to win	1802	1802	1802

 

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