Tuesday, February 22, 2011

USA Africa Dialogue Series - Re: Qaddafi's Grip on Power Seems to Ebb as Forces Retreat

Most of the commentators are saying that he is losing his grip on
power, without really being aware of it.
His address to the nation was not inspiring nor did he go for
confidence building:

My two kobos worth:

http://www.thelocal.se/blogs/corneliushamelberg/2011/02/22/the-aged-lion-of-libya-now-out-of-touch-with-reality-rambles-on-shaking-his-finger-and-fist-at-the-wall-as-he-vows-to-fight-to-the-last-drop-of-blood-the-last-drop-of-whose-blood/

On Feb 21, 10:37 pm, Toyin Falola <toyin.fal...@mail.utexas.edu>
wrote:
> Published on Truthout (http://www.truth-out.org)
>
> Qaddafi's Grip on Power Seems to Ebb as Forces Retreat
> David D. Kirkpatrick and Mona El-Naggar | Monday 21 February 2011
>
> Cairo - The faltering government of the Libyan
> strongman Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi struck back at
> mounting protests against his 40-year rule, as
> helicopters and warplanes besieged parts of the
> capital Monday, according to witnesses and news
> reports from Tripoli.
> By Monday afternoon, a witness saw armed
> militiamen firing on protesters who were clashing
> with riot police. As a group of protesters and
> the police faced off in a neighborhood near Green
> Square, in the center of the capital, ten or so
> Toyota pickup trucks carrying more than 20 men -
> many of them apparently from other African
> countries in mismatched fatigues - arrived at the
> scene.
> Holding small automatic weapons, they started
> firing in the air, and then started firing at
> protesters, who scattered, the witness said. "It
> was an obscene amount of gunfire," said the
> witness. "They were strafing these people. People
> were running in every direction." The police
> stood by and watched, the witness said, as the
> militiamen, still shooting, chased after the
> protesters.
> The escalation of the conflict came after Colonel
> Qaddafi's security forces had earlier in the day
> retreated to a few buildings in the Libyan
> capital of Tripoli, fires burned unchecked, and
> senior government officials and diplomats
> announced defections. The country's
> second-largest city remained under the control of
> rebels.
> Security forces loyal to Mr. Qaddafi defended a
> handful of strategic locations, including the
> state television headquarters and the
> presidential palace, witnesses reported from
> Tripoli. Fires from the previous night's rioting
> burned at many intersections, most stores were
> shuttered, and long lines were forming for a
> chance to buy bread or gas.
> In a sign of growing cracks within the
> government, several senior officials - including
> the justice minister and members of the Libyan
> mission to the United Nations - broke with Mr.
> Qaddafi. And protesters in Benghazi, the
> second-largest city, where the revolt began and
> more than 200 were killed, issued a list of
> demands calling for a secular interim government
> led by the army in cooperation with a council of
> Libyan tribes.
> Mr. Qaddafi's security forces waved green flags
> as they rallied in Tripoli's central Green Square
> on Monday under the protection of a handful of
> police, witnesses said. They constituted one of
> the few visible signs of government authority
> around the capital. The once ubiquitous posters
> of Colonel Qaddafi around the capital had been
> torn down or burned, witnesses said.
> Colonel Qaddafi's whereabouts were not known.
> Tripoli descended into chaos in less than 24
> hours as a six-day-old revolt suddenly spread
> from Benghazi across the country on Sunday. The
> revolt shaking Libya is the latest and most
> violent turn in a rebellion across the Arab world
> that seemed unthinkable just two months ago and
> that has already toppled autocrats in Egypt and
> Tunisia.
> The Libyan government has tried to impose a
> blackout on the country. Foreign journalists
> cannot enter. Internet access has been almost
> totally severed, though some protesters appear to
> be using satellite connections or to be phoning
> information to news services outside the country.
> In a rambling, disjointed address delivered about
> 1 a.m. on Monday, Mr. Qaddafi's son Seif al-Islam
> el-Qaddafi played down the uprising sweeping the
> country, which witnesses and rights activists say
> has left more than 220 people dead and hundreds
> wounded from gunfire by security forces. He
> repeated several times that "Libya is not Tunisia
> or Egypt, " neighbors to the east and west.
> The United States condemned the Qaddafi government's lethal use of force.
> Witnesses in Tripoli interviewed by telephone on
> Monday said protesters had converged on the
> capital's central Green Square and clashed with
> heavily armed riot police for several hours after
> Mr. Qaddafi's speech, apparently enraged by it.
> Young men armed themselves with chains around
> their knuckles, steel pipes and machetes, as well
> as police batons, helmets and rifles commandeered
> from riot squads. Security forces moved in,
> shooting randomly.
> At a time when it's often tough to tell the
> difference between the corporate news and its
> advertisements, it's essential to keep
> independent journalism strong. Support Truthout
> today by clicking here.
> By the morning, businesses and schools remained
> closed in the capital, the witnesses said. There
> were several government buildings on fire -
> including the Hall of the People, where the
> legislature meets - and reports of looting.
> News agencies reported that several foreign oil
> and gas companies were moving on Monday to
> evacuate some workers from the country. The
> Portuguese government sent a plane to Libya to
> pick up its citizens and other residents of the
> European Union, while Turkey sent two ferries for
> its construction workers, The Associated Press
> reported.
> At a time when it's often tough to tell the
> difference between the corporate news and its
> advertisements, it's essential to keep
> independent journalism strong. Support Truthout
> today by clicking here.
> The Quryna newspaper, which has ties to Seif
> al-Islam Qaddafi, said that protests have
> occurred in Ras Lanuf, an oil town where some
> workers were being assembled to defend a refinery
> complex from attacks.
> Quryna also reported that the justice minister,
> Mustafa Abud al-Jeleil, had resigned in protest
> over the deadly response to the demonstrations.
> Al Manara, an opposition Web site, reported that
> a senior military official, Col. Abdel Fattah
> Younes in Benghazi, resigned, and the newspaper
> Asharq Al-Awsat reported that Colonel Qaddafi
> ordered that one of his top generals, Abu Bakr
> Younes, be put under house arrest after
> disobeying an order to use force against
> protesters in several cities.
> Abdel Monem Al-Howni, Libya's representative to
> the Arab League, also resigned. "I no longer have
> any links to this regime which lost all
> legitimacy," he said in a statement reported by
> news agencies . He also called what is happening
> in Libya "genocide."
> Protesters remained in control of Benghazi on
> Monday. Online videos showed protesters flying an
> independence flag over the roof top of a building
> in Benghazi, and a crowd celebrating what they
> called "the fall of the regime in their city."
> The younger Mr. Qaddafi blamed Islamic radicals
> and Libyans in exile for the uprising. He offered
> a vague package of reforms in his televised
> speech, potentially including a new flag,
> national anthem and confederate structure. But
> his main theme was to threaten Libyans with the
> prospect of civil war over its oil resources that
> would break up the country, deprive residents of
> food and education, and even invite a Western
> takeover.
> "Libya is made up of tribes and clans and
> loyalties," he said. "There will be civil war."
> With little shared national experience aside from
> brutal Italian colonialism, Libyans tend to
> identify themselves as members of tribes or clans
> rather than citizens of a country, and Colonel
> Qaddafi has governed in part through the
> mediation of a "social leadership committee"
> composed of about 15 representatives of various
> tribes, said Diederik Vandewalle, a Dartmouth
> professor who has studied the country.
> In addition, Mr. Vandewalle noted, most of the
> tribal representatives on the committee are also
> military officers, who each represent a tribal
> group within the military. So, unlike the
> Tunisian or Egyptian militaries, the Libyan
> military lacks the cohesion or professionalism
> that might enable it to step in to resolve the
> conflict with the protesters or to stabilize the
> country.
> Over the last three days Libyan security forces
> have killed at least 223 people, according to a
> tally by the group Human Rights Watch. Several
> people in Benghazi hospitals, reached by
> telephone, said they believed that as many as 200
> had been killed and more than 800 wounded there
> on Saturday alone, with many of the deaths from
> machine gun fire.
> After protesters marched in a funeral procession
> on Sunday morning, the security forces again
> opened fire, killing at least 60 more, Human
> Rights Watch said.
> The deputy ambassador and more than a dozen
> members of the Libyan mission to the United
> Nations called upon Colonel Qaddafi to step down
> and leave the country in a letter drafted on
> Monday.
> "He has to leave as soon as possible," the deputy
> ambassador, Ibrahim Dabbashi, said, paraphrasing
> the letter. "He has to stop killing the Libyan
> people."
> He urged other nations to join in that request,
> saying he feared there could be a large-scale
> massacre in Tripoli and calling on "African
> nations" to stop sending what he called
> "mercenaries" to fight on behalf of Qaddafi's
> government.
> Mr. Dabbashi said he had not seen the Libyan
> ambassador since Friday and did not know his
> whereabouts or whether he shared the opinion of
> many in his mission.
> But, Mr. Dabbashi said, the United Nations
> mission represents the people, not Colonel
> Qaddafi.
> The man who was the government's chief spokesman
> until a month ago, Mohamed Bayou, called on
> Libya's leadership to begin a dialogue with the
> opposition and discuss drawing up a Constitution.
> On Monday, Reuters reported that Mr. Bayou issued
> a statement referring to Seif Qaddafi: "I hope he
> will change his speech to acknowledge the
> existence of an internal popular opposition."
> Reporting was contributed by Sharon Otterman and
> Neil MacFarquhar from Cairo; Nada Bakri from
> Beirut, Lebanon; and Colin Moynihan from New York.
> This article "Qaddafi's Grip on Power Seems to
> Ebb as Forces Retreat" originally appeared at The
> New York Times.
> © 2011 The New York Times Company
> Truthout has licensed this content. It may not be
> reproduced by any other source and is not covered
> by our Creative Commons license.  
> Source URL:http://www.truth-out.org/qaddafis-grip-power-seems-ebb-forces-retreat...
> All republished content that appears on Truthout
> has been obtained by permission or license.
> --
> Toyin Falola
> Department of History
> The University of Texas at Austin
> 1 University Station
> Austin, TX 78712-0220
> USA
> 512 475 7224
> 512 475 7222  (fax)http://www.toyinfalola.com/www.utexas.edu/conferences/africahttp://groups.google.com/group/yorubaaffairshttp://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue

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