Allow me a few points.
First, there are very many Kenyans on this list. Second, there are a good number of non-kenyans on this list who are not as provincial in their work as your self-introduction seems to insinuate.
Three, your claims are not borne out of the work we now know about the Kenyan 2007 elections and the tussle between Mwai Kibaki and Raila Odinga. Your claim that there was more rigging on one side (Odinga's) is contradicted by the more scientific results of exit polls conducted by the IRI and whose report is widely available. Also, please check the versions of the works of David Ndii, Karuti Kanyinga and James Long; the first two being Kenyans like you.
Clark C. Gibson and James D. Long even put figures to the levels of rigging stating that Odinga 'won' with '46.1 per cent to Kibaki's 40.2 per cent.' The two authors cast doubt on whether Kibaki got the mandatory 25 per cent of the vote in at least 5 provinces. In particular, their figures indicate that Kibaki did not make this cut in Nyanza, Western, Coast and North Eastern, four provinces out of the total eight. The two author address your claim directly:- 'Taken together, Kibaki benefited from producing additional votes in seven provinces while losing in one; Odinga benefited from additional votes in one province and lost in seven.' When they compare the exit poll with official ones, Kibaki benefited an extra 355,843 in the official results and Odinga lost 57,951. You can read down that paragraph on p.500. of Electoral Studies, vol. 28 (2009).
I will appreciate your own figures so we can have a better discussion not on what your 'most Kenyans know' but on more solid ground.
Godwin Murunga
Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone from Zain Kenya
From: ROSEMARY MWENJA <rosemary.wanjiku@sbcglobal.net>
Sender: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Date: Sat, 9 Apr 2011 22:01:58 -0700 (PDT)
To: <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
ReplyTo: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Cote d'voire Follow-up - 9 April 2010
I am a Kenyan and I am not sure whether you assume that the one declared winner was not the winner. I hope this is the one you mean was made to make concessions with the bad loser. As far as most Kenyans know, the true winner is the one in the states House. Just because one claims they won does not mean the won. The most that those who were monitoring the elections were able to say is that they could not tell for sure who won the elections because of established rigging on both sides but more so on the losers side. It is the harped news before the elections that had made some believe that their candidate was winning and when the results showed different results they could not accept defeat leading to the violence against the perceived enemy from the president's tribe. I cannot comment on Ivory Coast because do not know the truth but what I have read in the newspaper, and that is becoming very untrustworthy these days. --- On Sat, 4/9/11, Emeagwali, Gloria (History) <emeagwali@mail.ccsu.edu> wrote:
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