A reality check is what I will give here and let this go for now....
There are 109 Senators and 360 House of Rep members. That means that a
party with a number of 55 senators and 181 Reps forms a majority in each
chamber if they form a solid party caucus.
Now at last report in This Day, PDP has 52 seats won in the Senate (give or
take 1 or 2; the other parties have 30 seats), and hence needs just 3 more
seats out of the more than 16 states that have not completed their
3-senators-per-state slate. Looking at those states, I can assure you
that PDP will get no less than 17 and no more than 21 more senators out of
the remaining 27, meaning that I can see a 69-72-seat PDP in the Senate,
down from 83.
There is still a long way to reporting the results in the House (PDP has won
82 so far, the other parties 94), so I won't speculate on that for now.
So no combination between CPC and ACN and ANPP will cause a Senate President
to come from one of them, NO MATTER the outcome of the presidential
election; please remember that we are in a presidential system.
Now if the opposition combination is in the majority in the House, NOTHING
requires them to ZONE the Speakership in the same manner as that of the
Presidency and/or the Senate. That would be interesting indeed.
And there you have it. Just a reality check.
Bolaji Aluko
On Mon, Apr 11, 2011 at 2:34 PM, Adebayo Adejuwon <adeadejuwon@yahoo.com>wrote:
>
>
> Viscount my brother,
>
> I diasgree with you even as I appreciate your humility. You are not omode
> at all.You are making a lot of sense sir. You are. ACN has done very
> well.ACN has repositioned the Southwest. At least we are completely free
> from PDP and Ebora Owu.
>
> What is at stake now is how to rescue this nation from PDP. God has a
> reason for making this assignment one in which Bola Tinubu's ACN and GBM CPC
> will be the parties saddled with this onerous task. I have no idea why this
> is so but this is what is playing out.
>
> My brother, as we are all in agreement that PDP must be dislodged and it
> will take GMB and BAT to sort it out, let us not create further gulf
> influenced by whatever Peter or anyone must have said. Bear in mind that we
> have come a long way and we are at a point where we can either make history
> or become history.
>
> And the enemeny within-PDP, will not go without fighting.
>
> This is what I will say for now. So, my brother, be assured that the
> negotiations going on at this point recognizes a lot of things. We know what
> gave ACN victory in the Southwest has nothing to do with Ribadu. It has much
> more to do with the resolve of the Yoruba people to say final bye bye to
> PDP. Of course, this would not have been possible if BAT did not stick his
> neck out. No venture, no gain. We also know why CPC is what it is today in
> spite of its newness:the personality of GMB.
>
> These are the two tendencies on the table.
>
> Get ready for a braod based party which will emerge after the swearing in
> of President Buhari wherein BAT will be the BOT chair with an ACN Senate
> President emerging from the East after Dora Akunyili shameless conduct is
> settled in favour of ACN while the most talked about person in ACN after BAT
> will emerge as SFG under Buhari.
> ------------------------------
> *From:* Viscount <viscount_slim@yahoo.com>
> *To:* NaijaObserver@yahoogroups.com
> *Sent:* Mon, April 11, 2011 10:25:37 AM
>
> *Subject:* ||NaijaObserver|| [NaijaPolitics] Re: [NIgerianWorldForum] Re:
> [Naijaintellects] STAR NEWS: PDP Survives, ACN Gains, But CPC Under-performs
> - This Day
>
>
>
> Oloye,
>
> Let me start off by saying that I do not believe in political negotiations
> -especially of this kind- where there are preconditions such as: "Ribadu
> cannot rule the nation at this time", "It has to be GMB;BB;Buhari/Bakare"
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