Tuesday, January 3, 2012

USA Africa Dialogue Series - Iran and the Threat to "Close" the Gulf

There is nothing new about Iran's threat to close the Gulf, but it does need to be put in context. Iran is reshaping its military forces to steadily increase the threat to Gulf shipping and shipping in the Gulf of Oman, It also is gradually increasing its ability to operate in the Indian Ocean.
This increase in Iranian capability is almost certainly not designed to take the form of a major war with the US and Southern Gulf states, which could result from any Iranian effort to truly close the Gulf.

http://csis.org/files/publication/121230_IranGulfThreatBrief.pdf  

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