Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney Widening His Lead Over Obama

Mwalimu Udogu, your analysis is right on the proverbial money. I have this funny feeling, though, that the Bradley and Wilder "syndrome" is going to be a factor this time. Many of my politically astute sisters and brothers even say that if that were not the case, Obama should be leading Romney by a wide margin at this stage of the game, given the brutal battle for the GOP's flag "bearership."
 
Indeed, you are right, this is going to be "The Mother of All Elections."


> [Original Message]
> From: <udoguei@appstate.edu>
> To: <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
> Cc: USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com <USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com>
> Date: 5/8/2012 1:45:10 PM
> Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney Widening His Lead Over Obama
>
> JUST MUSING ON THE "MOTHER OF ALL ELECTIONS"
>
> This poll is interesting. Don't forget that the Republican party primary dance
> that began long time ago might be over in North Carolina and elsewhere today
> (Tuesday), and then the real campaigning by both parties will start.
>
> In other words, Republican candidates and their supporters have been receiving
> the spotlight for some time. It is interesting that the lead after these months
> of internecine "war" within this great party is 5% as presented by this polling
> organization. This is normal (although other polls might show something
> different). Indeed, it would be fascinating to see the "nature" of the polls
> after the Republican and Democratic conventions.
>
> In the 30 years or so that I have observed presidential elections in this
> country, I have been always careful--some of my colleagues would say overly
> cautious--in my analysis of such contestations. My cautiousness was and is
> informed by the fact that there are just too many strange or  peculiar political
> pundits, and that there are so many unforeseen intervening variables.
>
> Recall, if you will,  that we were told emphatically that the Republican
> candidate who wins South Carolina primary ipso facto wins the Republican
> nomination. Alas, that was not the case as Newt won the Palmetto state (and
> Georgia).
>
> Romney is going to be a formidable candidate and so will Obama. Accordingly,
> this election, in my view, is going to be the  battle of the titans and the
> "mother of all elections."
>
> Ike Udogu
>
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Abdul Bangura <theai@earthlink.net>
> Date: Tuesday, May 8, 2012 12:20 pm
> Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney Widening His Lead Over Obama
> To: "USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com" <USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com>
>
> > Tale of the Tape for Tuesday, May 08, 2012:
> >
> > Romney widens his lead over Obama by 5%, and Obama is also -16%
> > nationally.
> > "The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday
> > shows Mitt Romney earning 49% of the vote and President Obama
> > attracting 44% support. Three percent (3%) would vote for a third
> > party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided."
> >
> >
> >
> > --
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> > Africa Dialogue Series" moderated by Toyin Falola, University of
> > Texas at Austin.
> >   For current archives, visit
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