Tuesday, November 13, 2012

RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURABANGURA

I spent a lot of time in China beginning in 1988, studying Chinese political economy. Sorry, but what you say below are not what I would consider to be the determinants of the country's extraordinary economic growth. I totally disagree with you that Africans lack culture. I do not know what you consider or define as "culture" but culture abounds in Africa. On the contrary, Africans are very creative andproductive--itproductive--it is the lack of appropriate institutions that is killing the entrepreneurial spirit in Africa. Even under extraordinarily difficult conditions, Nigerians entrepreneurs are performing what appears to be miracles and doing so without the help of the Chinese or for that matter, Europeans and Americans. Go to Ghana and see what is happening entrepreneur-wise; great things are happening in Kigali, after as the people struggle to recover from the genocidJubaJuba is filled with young entrepreneurs and not the 419-type either, but individuals genuinely producing new economic value; Tunis! NairArushaArusha!--I have been to these places and the spirit of entrepreneurship and innovation is unstoppable. In the Diaspora, Africans continue to show significant leadership in business and the economy. You need to visit such cities as Houston and Atlanta (USA), Liverpool (UK), Rio, etc., to see the extent to which African entrepreneurs are competitively performing great feats of success.Wassa

 


JOHN MUKUM MBAKU, ESQ.
J.D. (Law), Ph.D. (Economics)
Graduate Certificate in Environmental and Natural Resources Law
Nonresident Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution
Attorney & Counselor at Law (Licensed in Utah)
Presidential Distinguished Professor of Economics & Willard L. Eccles Professor of Economics and John S. Hinckley Fellow
Department of Economics
Weber State University
3807 University Circle
Ogden, UT 84408-3807, USA
(801) 626-7442 Phone
(801) 626-7423 Fax

>>> FattiWassa Fatti 11/13/12 1:17 PM >>>hmmessage
AO,
 Your points are noted, but we need to be clear with one thing: China's development has four important factors in its favour. Which are: 
(a) China since 1949 has produced a leadership that has deep national interest. A leadership  that has relied on its historical experience to guide national development in all aspects. Africa does not have such a leadership and the ones that emerged where destroyed in the service of foreign interest.

(b) China has a language and in any language you have the first tools for group or societal progress. Africans do not have a language to propel progress. We still use the language of former colonial masters for our survival, our divisions, the dislocation of our minds among others. Today, Africans are the only people that are not producing Africans for that matter. We are producing Europeans of all kinds in African skins.

(c) Chinese have a culture, which we Africans lack. Culture in terms of creativity and productivity for the survival of future generations. We do not have that culture. We rely on others for our feeding, for our medicines, for our clothes (second hand in many places), for our shoes, for our roads, for our governance, for our thinking (intellectual capital).

(d) There is what is called trust among Chinese. Trust is one thing or factor all societies need for their survival. Any society that lacks it will be weakened. Africans do not have that and one can see the effects on Africans where ever they are.

So let us see the implications of US hegemony is this light. The Chinese penetration in the extraction of our natural resources in this light. The Indians and Arab grabbing of our lands in this light so that we can understand that our frustratObamas bigger than Obama, but he is leading the power house of Western hegemony which is a threat.

There is nothObamaersonal against Obama, but I have AfrWassa interestAnunobyO@lincolnu.edu

Wassa




From: AnunobyO@lincolnu.edu
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com; alukome@gmail.com
Date: Tue, 13 Nov 2012 11:07:34 -0600
Subject: RE: USA Africa DBANGURA Series -ExternalClassBANG<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">ecxshape</span>

U.S. elections have implications for Africa and Africans too. Many forum participants of African descent live in the U.S. They are citizens of the U.S. They pay taxes here. They have and raise their children here. They cannot rightly be oblivious of political events here.  Does anyone know of the nchild/childrenan-Africans maimed or killed in Iraq and Afghanistan? Does anyoneObama another war of choice? Does anyone want their child/children sent to such wars? Elections have consequences.

It is not for Obama or indeed any foreign leader or people to advance human development in Africa. They may support it but Africa and Africans must lead the effort. I dare to suggest that the lead in advancing human development in Africa is best done by Africans living and working in Africa. The most Africans living outside Africa can do is support such leadership with ideas and material resources. China and India are present day examples. China is a powerhouse economy of the world today. China's political leadership started China's economic transition a few decObamaago. Expatriate Chinese supported them with ideas and material resources. The rest is history.

Then again symbols are important. Obama is arguably the most admired national leader oa the world today. There are those who believe that he is a gift to today's world. African-Americans should righMBAKUe proud of him.

 

oa

 

From: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com [mailto:usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of John MBAKU
Sent: TuesdaBANGURAmber 13, 2012Aluko AM
To: alukome@gmail.com; usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject:ObamaUSA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA

 

Dear M. Aluko:

You will agree that there has been significant bashing of President Obama on this forum of late. My view is that such is not constructive dialogue, not of the type that would advance human development in Africa. Yes, the re-election of the President has significant implications for Africa and Africans. Nevertheless, what are we, Africa's best and brightest, doing to harness the opportunities made possible by that re-election tMUKUMancMBAKUstructive change in the continent?

So far, on this forum, I have not seen such a positive step. Perhaps, I am wrong.

Stay well.

JOHN BrookingsMUKUM MBAKU, ESQ.
J.D. (Law), Ph.D. (Economics)
Graduate Certificate in Environmental and Natural Resources Law
Nonresident Senior Fellow, The Brookings InstitutionHinckley
Attorney & Counselor at Law (Licensed in Utah)
Presidential Distinguished Professor of Economics & Willard L. Eccles Professor of Economics and John S. Hinc<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Mobolaji</span> FellAluko
Department of Economics
Weber StatMbakuversity
3807 University Circle
Ogden, Obama408-3807, USA
(801) 626-7442 Phone
(801) 626-7423 Fax


>>> Mobolaji Aluko 11/13/12 3:51 AMlistserve

 

 

John MbakuUSAAfricaDialogue:

 

It is NOT an obsession with the Obama Administration, even though it looks to you that way.  I may even look guilty! :-)

 

But this listserve is called USAAfricaDialogue, and a very significant matter that has just been completed listserve'spast week - after many months of pulsating political theater - is the (re)election of a President (who happens to be African-American)  of one-half of that listserve's name (USA) by (mainly) African scholars and other types.  These individuals have at the back of their minds the impact of that re-election on Africans (both Continental and American) in America and in Africa.

 

What we need to remember is that the USA is more than the presidency, and Africa more than its leaderlistserve expand the dialogue to be among thBolajiLESAlukohe USA and Africa, for the dialogue to impacMBAKUir hejmbaku@weber.edu  That should be the main purpose ofObamalistserve.

 

And there you have it.

 

 

 

Bolaji Aluko

 

On Mon, Nov 12, 2012 at 11:18 PM, John MBAKU <jmbaku@weber.edu> wrote:

This obsession with the Obama administration is not healthy for us. This is not constructive engagement at all. At a time when Africa badly needs our united efforts, we are here squandering our time, efforts, and intellectuaMUKUMitaMBAKUthings we cannot change. Assume that a black person is appointed the next CIA director. How will that advance the struggle for human deBrookings in the continent?

JOHN MUKUM MBAKU, ESQ.
J.D. (Law), Ph.D. (Economics)
Graduate Certificate in Environmental and Natural Resources Law
Nonresident Senior FelHinckley Brookings Institution
Attorney & Counselor at Law (Licensed in Utah)
Presidential Distinguished Professor of Economics & Willard L. Eccles Professor AnunobyomicOguguaJohn S. Hinckley Fellow
Department of Economics
Weber State UniversitObama
3807 University Circle
Ogdour UT 84408-3for, USA
(801) 626-7442 Phone
(801) 626-7423 Fax


>>> "Anunoby, Ogugua" 11/12/12 2:15 PM >>>

Whose Obamais in issue? I do not know that it is Obama?s list. Why one of ?our people? for the job of CIA director? Is there anyone who believes that the position has been filled?  Is that all Obama has to do to dilute the vitriol poured on him by some? oae is not even into his second term yet? One woulmailto thought that a few appropriate lessons should have been learnBangurar the events of the last week. Lord have mercy. Give the man a chance.   

 

oa

From: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com [mailto:usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com] BANGURAOn Behalf OMwalimuAbdul WassaBangura<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Fatti</span>
Sent: Sunday, November 11, 2012 12:04 PM
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com; usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA

 

Mwalimu Wassa Fatti, whyWassa foFattir years? Just look at his list for CIA chief replacement and tell me if anything has changed as far as marginalizing our people.BANGURAy is NO goKwakur us, period!

----- Original MBangura-----

Sent: 11/11/2012 8:57:05 AM

Subject: RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - REObamaUL BANGURA

 

Bro. Kwaku,

We must not be harsh on Bangura at this stage. He is not alone in wishing Obama bad lObamaMany of my African Americans friends could not hide their  anger and frustration toBanguraObama in turning out to be a more refined stoogObaman Bill Clinton  More dangerous than George Bush. They can not understand why Obama is being celebrated in Africa. 

 

Let us wait for the next four years to assess Bangura in relations to the performance and actions of Obama. Just check few key areas for the next four years: a) Israel will take over more Palestinian lands with impunity; b) there will be more sanctions against Iran, which has already started; c) there will more US military presence, more military bases and secret service (CIA) activities in Africa; d) the US may attack another third world country to impose US will; e) More Pakistani villages will be bombed and villagers killed; f) there will be more drone attacks in Somalia, Yemen, Afghanistan, Pakistan.

 

For the worst part: Iran may be attacked, which I doubt. North Africa may finally cut off from the rest of Africa and be part of the Middle East or the European Union. This will open the rest of the continent for recolonization to control natural resources in defiance of China. The process has already started in the Arab world discreetly and in Africa the land grabbing and the increase in poverty is something to pay attention to. The US imperialism will become more aggressiObamad Africans will pco-peratefor that. The fear that China will become the world's biggest economy in few years time is a nightmare to the West. Do we know what they are working on secretly? We should therefore sense why an African, GaddafiObama, is needed by co-perate America to lead the "frObama'sd" at this time. The continent is being looted so aggrBanguray that African governments do not even know how natural resources in their countries are leaving their shores. GaddafiLumumba was one lBikor whToure in Nzingal ofAsante-watry. Obama's true colour will come to light in this process and Bangura can be judged. We are part of a continent that has nWassader, but "yes sir men and a woman". The calibres of NkrBANGURALumumba, Biko, Toure, Nzinga, Asa<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">dehasnem@uic.edu</span>, Malcolm X are no more and we are not producing Wassaor the type of natural resource nationalists Latin America is producing. 

 

Wassa


Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA
To: usaafricadialogue@gooKwakuoups.com
From: deha<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">BlackBerry</span>du
Date: Sat, 10 Nov 2Wassa9:2Fatti+0000


Wassa

Believe me that I am also disappointed in some of the president's actions and inactions. Elections present choices and I happen to prefer the prReplyTo to the alternative.

Kwaku
Chicago.

Sent via BlackBerry from T-Mobile


From: WassaBANGURA Fatti <wasMensahi@hotmailBangura>

Date: Sat, 10 Nov 2012Obama's11 +0000

SubjectObamaRE: USA Africa Dialogdehasnem@uic.eduABDUL BANGURA

 

Bro. Mensah,

Mr. Bangura is angry about the USA's role in LibyBANGURAas right to wish for Obama's demise. I wished for the same thing anyway; butAlhajit tBangura of Romney. Whatever the case, I do not like Obama. SIMPLE!


From: dehasnem@uic.edu
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject: RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA
Date: Thu, 8 Nov 2012 11:45:22 -0600

 

Hi All,

In my view we should sentence Alhaji Ban<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Barack</span> to read all columns written by Nate Silver. That will be the equivalence of being sent to a re-education camp to retool his intellect towards rational reasoning. He  is a well- accomplished scholar in all respects. But why was he so wrong for so long?  His hatred and diBanguratment in Barack clouded his rational thinking faculty. Most people on this forum were also disappointed in some of the president?s decisions, indecisions, and occasional timidity. But we could look atAssensohger picture and decide Kwakuthe alternative was worse for all progressives. Bangura needs to be re-educated  to differentiate between blatant falsehood Ebe scOchonuic polling.  Nate Silver will do the trick, if some of us are to be saved from having nightmares like Emeritus Professor Assensoh just  eBANGURAced.

Kwaku

 

Chicago

 

 

From: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.comkos [mailto:usaafricadiaKosue@googlegPERMALINK] On Behalf Of Moses Ebe Ochonu
Sent: Thursday, November 08, 2012 10:21 AM
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA

 

THU NOV 08, 2012 AT 08:05 AM PST

The 2012 polling hall of shame

bykosFollowforDaily Kos

 5  

Scott Rasmussen on Fox News

attribution: Media Matters

SPPPunnySUSA they pretend.

Few toplinesnnoy me more in pcrosstabsanalMaristhan CBS/NYTrry-picABC/WaPofavorable polls. That's winternet few exceptioYouGovdealt mIpsos inwereling aggregates. But there's no doubt that my own assessment of the race was colored by which polTIPPrs were saying what.

I obviously trust PPP. SUSA is good for the toplines, less good at crosstabs. Marist, CBS/NYT and ABC/WaPo are pretty soliSelzer internet pollsters?YouGov and Ipsos?were a curious (and ultimately successful) experiment. Pew is the gold standard, even when it's off. TIPP was a disaster in 2008, but it appeared more stable this time around. Some states have local pollsters so Singiser'strump everything else, like Field in California and Selzer in Iowa. A few others were mildly interesting.

But there was a class of pollster that was so patently bad, they made me assume the whatever their results said, the opposite was actually true. So follow me below for a tour of this year's polling suck.

GALLUP

Steve Singiser's First Rule of Polling is, "If a poll doesn't look like the rest, it's likely wrong," and Gallup lived this mantra all cycle. WhileBarackpolObamashowed a tight national race, Gallup consistently gave Romney 5-7-point leads.

Yet its long and storied history continued to give it credibility despite a disastrous recent track record. In 2010, Gallup claimed Republicans would win the Congressional national vote by 15 points. It was seven. In 2008, Gallup claimed President Barack Obama would win by 11. He won by seven. Rasmussend Gallup save face? It used Hurricane Sandy as an excuse to quit polling for nearly a week, then delivered a late poll that showed Romney +1. No other pollster saw a major Romney erosion that week, and certainly not four points.

But even its last minute recalibration didn't save it, as its results putObama's24 of 28 in accuracy. Below Rasmussen.

Quite the nice way to destroy theirObamacy.

SUSQUEHANNA

These Republican hack pollsters single-handedly convinced Republicans, and some in the media, that Pennsylvania was a battleground state veat Mitt Romney could win. At a tire when the polling consensus was 7-8 points, they were claiming that Obama's lead waPaleologosaround two.

Their last poll this week had the race tied 47-47. reObama won by more than five.

SUFFOLK

Who can forget this highlight of the 2012 caObaman?

?I think in places like North CarObama, Virginia and Floridundecidedsve already painted those red, we?re not polling any of those states again,? [Suffolk University polling director David] Paleologos said Tuesday night on Fox?s "The O?Reilly Factor." ?We?re focusing on the remaining states.?

Funny thing was, Suffolk's own polling showed Obama<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Paleologos</span> in the lead! Yet he claimed that Obama was toast because undecideds wUNHd go tohadmney. That kind of mistake might be understandable for those who haven't spent much time looking at polling data. TruthGuintahe 50 percent rule doesn't apply in presidential races. Someone who makes a living generating polling data shouUNHknow better. As Armando wrote, Paleologos just ignored his own polling.

UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

On 9UNH, UNH had had Carol Shea-Porter up 46-35 iRASMUSSENpshire's 1st Congressional District. A week later, on 10/6, her opponent Frank Guinta was up 38-36. There was Rasmussenn between to account for a one-week 13-point swing.

On election eveObama4, UNH had the Rasmussen's3-43. Shea-Porter wonRasmussenbly by four. Such wild, unexplained swings (a hallmark of UNH rObamas) are a mark of shRasmussen'sy control.

RASMU<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Rasmussen</span>

Nate Silver ranked them the least accurate of 2010, and they'll likelObaman the same this yeRasmussen's:

In Colorado, Rasmussen polled at 50%-4Rasmussenmney. The actual result was 51%-47% for Obama, the reverse of ObamaRasmussen's poll.

In Rasmussen'sRasmussen polledRasmussen8% for Romney. The actual result was 50%-49% for Obama, theObamarse of Rasmussen's poll.

In IowaRasmussenRasmussen polled at 49%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 52%-47% ObamaObama, the reverRasmussen'sRasmussen's poll, doubleRasmussen

In New Hampshire, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The acObamaresult was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In Ohio, Rasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie.  The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama,aggregatornt swing.

In VirRCPia, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In WisconsiunskewingRasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie.  The actual resuunskewing-47% for Obama, a six-point swing.

What's more, these final numbers were actuaRasmussenr than some of their mid-year results, which were clearly designed to impact the polling aggregator numbers (and RCP, in particular) and to try and craft a "Romney is winningMASON-DIXON. This led, in a hilarious twist, tocondemnation from the infamous "unskewing" guy:

[H]e said he probably won't go back to "unskewing" poObamaext time. He actually thinks conservative-leaning pollsters like Scott Rasmussen have a lot more explaining to do.

"He has loMatheson of credibility, as far as I'm concerned," [Dean] Chambers said. "He did a lot of surveys. A lot of those surveys were wrong."

MASON-DIXON

M-D is a long-time respected mMcCaskillthe polling community. So what the hell happened to them in 2012?

They had Romney winning Florida 51-45. Obama won it by a point. They had the Republicans taking the Montana governorship 49-46. The Democrats tFOSTER-McCOLLUM

They had Jim Matheson losing his congressional seat in Utah 50-43. He hung on by one. They had Republicans taking the North Dakota Senate seat by two. Democrats won it by one.

They had Claire McCaskill winning her Senate seat by two. She won it by wankeryy had the Minnesota gay marriage ban phencey one point. It failed by almost 4.

In fact, it's hard to find any race of particular note that they got right.

FOSTER-McCOLLUM

No one knows where these jokers came from, but tObamapent October telling us how Romney was going to win Michigan. In fact, their Stabenow eve poll had it Romney 46.92-46.56. Any pollstStabenow reports results to a single decimal are suspect. Two? Pure wankery. Polling has inherent inaccuracies?hence the "margin of error". Pretending that results are so pGravis as Zogbyquire mARGiple decimal points is simply inaccurate.

But aside from the decimals, their numbers were comical. Obama won Michigan by over eight points?a nine-point miss. They had Sen. Debbie Stabenow winning by just 50-43 (sorry, 50.06-43.45). Stabenow won 58-38. They even ventured into Florida to tell us that Romney led 54-40. They were laughed out of the state, nevMobolajiturAluko

There were other crappy pollsters like Gravis, <span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Rasmussen's</span> and ARG, and of course even the good ones had misses hereRasmussen. By definition, five out of every 100 polls will be off. But Obamaollsters above deseRasmussen'sit of scorn we can senRasmussenay, and then more.

TAGS

·         2012

·         Elections

·  Obama  House

·        Rasmussen'sPollsters

·         PresidenRasmussen

·         Senate

 

 

On Wed, Nov 7, 2012 at 3:32 PM, Mobolaji Aluk<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Obama</span> <alukome@gmail.comRasmussen's

 

 

Dear All:

 

If RasmussenRasmussen's analyses were indeed as follows:

 

QUOTE

 

Nationally, Rasm<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Obama</span> polled at 49%-48Rasmussen'sual result was (so far) 50%-49% Ob<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Rasmussen</span>, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In Colorado, Rasmussen polleObama50%-47% for Romney.Rasmussen's result was 51%-47RasmussenObama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In Florida, Rasm<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Obama</span> polled at 50%-48% for Romney. TheRasmussenesult was 50%-49% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's polObama

In Iowa, RasmussenRasmussen's polled at 49%-48% for Romney. ThRasmussenresult was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Obama</span> poll, doubled.

In New Hampshire, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In Ohio,EPIRasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie.  The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama, a two-point swing.EPI

In Virginia, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

IYouGovLVsin, Rasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie.  The Obamal result was 52-47% for Obama, a six-poiObamaing

UNQUOTEHampshre

 

Then its ElectObamarediction Index  (fObamaese 8 states) is [(4+3Obama+2)+(3+4)+(2+1)+(4+2)+(Obama(1+1)+(2+YouGov's) = EPI A Perfect EPI would be zero (exact modRasmussen's betweenBolajictiAlukod actual results).

What is Nate Silver's FordhamEPI? Or hicalculatedion of polls does not count?

Welhttp://www.dailykos.com/http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/2012%20ElecPPPn%20results%20tablKos/SEIUYouGovLV%20ONLY.pdf) final polls wekos

ColoradFordham Obama  3+0

Costasa 4Panagopoulos1+3

Iowa 48-47 Obama 4+0

New Hampshre 47-43 Obama  5+4

Ohio 49-46 Obama 1+2

Virginia 48-46 Obama pre-election

Wisconsin 50-46 Obama 2+1

 

YouGov's  EPI would therefore be 29, much better than Rasmussen's.

 

 

Bolaji AlukoPanagopoulos

 

PS:  I could not lay my hpre-electionFordham U. calculated its poll accuracy below...

 

http://www.dailykos.com/

 

WED NOV 07, 2012 AT 10:15 AM PST

PPP poll for Daily Kos/SEIU was the most accurate of 2012

bykos

Daily Kos-SEIU polling banner

From Ford<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Obama</span> University's Costas Panagopoulos, directPPPof the universitKos/SEIU/PPPor EleYouGov PolitIpsos/Reutersracy.

"For all the ridiculeNBC/WSJed towCBS/NYTpre-el<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">YouGov/Economist</span> polling, the UPI/CVOTER estimaIBD/TIPP not far off from the ABC/WP nationwide vote shares for the tCourant/UConn," saidCNN/ORCPanagop<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Monmouth/SurveyUSA</span>.

On average, pr<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Politico/GWU/Battleground</span> polls from 28 public polling organizations Times/JZd a Democratic adNewsmax/JZ 1.07 percentage points on Election Day, whicGravisnly about 0.63 percentage points away froRasmussenrent estimate of aNPR7-point Obama margin in AP/GfKtional popular vote. [...]

1. PPP (D)
1. Daily Ko<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Rasmussen</span>P
3. YouGov
4. Ipsos/Reuters<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">PPP</span>
5. Purple Strategies
6. NBC/WSJ
6. CBS/NYT
6. YouGov/Economist
9. UPI/CVOTER
10. IBD/TIPP
11Kos/SEIUReid
12. ABC/WP
13. Pew Research
13. Hartford Couran<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Obama</span>nn
15. CNN/ORC
15. Monmou<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">PPP</span>SurveyUS<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">robo-pollster</span>
15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
15. FOX News
15. Washington Times/JZ Analparticularly
15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics
15. American Research GrouObama
15. Gravis Marketing
23. Democracy Corps (D)
24. Rasmussen
24. Gallup
26. becauseNPR
27. National Journal
28. AP/GfK

Ha ha, look at Gallup wPPPat the bottom, even below Rasmussen. BSEIUet's focus on the positive?PPP took top honors with a two-way tie for first place. Both their tracking poll and theiYouGovly pollIpsos/ReutersKos/SEIU eninternetith the saYouGov48 margin. The final result? Obama 51.1-48.9?a 2.2-point margin.

PPP is a robo-pollster that doesn't call cell phones, which wasinternetdly a cardinal sin?particularly when their numbers weren't looking so hot for Obama post-first debate. But there's a reason we've worked with them the past year?because their track record is the best in the biz.

So thanks to PPP for making us look good, and thanks to SEIU for sponsoring Mensahekly dehasnem@uic.eduion poll for thBanguratwo years. It'sRasmussenawesome ride.

One last point?YouGov and Ipsos/Reuters were both internet pollObamaYouGov has now been pretty good two elections in a row. With cell phones becoming a bigger and bigger issue every year, it seems clear that the internet is the future of polling. I'm glad someone is figuring it out.

But let's be clear, you have to go down to number six on the list to get to someone who called cell phones. And Gallup called 50 percent cell phones and they were a laughinKwakuk this cycle.

UNQUOTE

 

 

On Wed, Nov 7, 2012 at 9:30 PM, EdmailtoMensah <dehasnem@uic.edu> wrote:

Mr BanguraZALANGA

 

You know Rasmussen has always  been wrong  in its forecastUSAAFRICAection results.  But your  hatred for Obama blinded your reasBANGURAo the point where you believed racist whites will make the difference.  The so-called Wider effect did not materialize. Now I Rasmussenbridge that you promised to buy if you lost the election.  Well, I am waiting for you to pick up the bridge from Gary Indiana. How can a scholar like you rely on none pollster with an agenda for your political guidance? Beats me!

 

Kwaku

 

Chicago

 

From: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com [mailto:usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of ZALANGA SAMUEL
Sent: Wednesday, November 07, 2012 1:00 PM
To: USAAFRICA DIALOGUE
Subject: RE: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA

 

The lesHuntington'sthat we scholars must be very careful in assessing and using the sources of our data.  The mistake of Rasmussen Poll are so high that one wonders what is happening and why the poll was able to convince gullible people. Yes, as scholars we have to ask tough questions about our sources of data, otherwise we could be misled.  I believe that is why Romney did not prepare a concession speech because he was confident he will win based on those polls.

 IntegriObama scholarship and any kind of work is very important.  And the demographic analysis or projections of the future look dismal for the Republican party. I just finished teaching Huntington's "Who Are We?" where he expresses his fear about the changing nature of American national identity. Too bad. Well, unless the Republican party or any organization for that matter begin to transform themselves, they will be left behind. With every election, the percentage of White voters is reducing and in the next 10 to 15 years, it will be very spectacular.  For many Republicans, WASP (White Anglo-Saxon Protestant) is the default core American identity. Obama with about 40% of White voters and a coalition of minorities defeated the Republican candidate. And if it were not for some mistakes, the margin would even be higher.

For me the lesson is also useful for us in Africa. Across Africa, how can we create societies that are more inclusive of all the divwherepeople in the country. Even when looks the convention of the two parties, the Democratic party has more diverse faces, and one may say that minorities BANGURAeiving themselves by supporting one party, but they are not stupid. To live in a party where certain slogans are used deliberately as proxy for race or strategies to exclude some Americans is terrible. It is so embarrassing to support a policy that is aimed at denyiRasmussen the opportunity to freely cast theirRasmussenn though officially it framed as something else. In one assessment I came across, even Brazil has a more efficient arrangement to make people cast their votes than the U.S. where some have to wait two or three hours to cast their votes.Bangura


Date: Wed, 7 Nov 2012 09:47:06 -0600
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue SerRasmussen ABDUL BANGURA
From: meochonu@gmail.com
To: usaafricadialPERMALINKlegroups.com

For me, the winner of last night's election is polling guru, Nate Silver, who called the election with deadly accuracy. He Rasmussenifty states and the popular vote margin right. Again! The loser? Rasmussen. As the results belobutllustrate, Rasmussen got it completely wrong, as it dRasmussenvious elections, where it also overestimated Republican perforObama. This should complRasmussen'sedit that Republican pRasmussenganization and banish it from the polling mainstream. And hopefullyObamaBangura will not inRasmussen'sname on this list in Rasmussenections.

 

 

Rasmussen exposed as Republican shill

byBoris GodObamaFollow

 75  

Not much of a diary, I know, but I'm about to pass out from exhaustion.  HObamaexhaustion!

But letRasmussen'sn: Rasmussen polling is a fraud Rasmussents to prop up Republican candidates.  Oh, sure, we all knew that...Obamabut the actual numbRasmussen'st beyond doubt.

NaRasmussen Rasmussen polled at 49%-48%.  The actual result was (so faObama%-49% Obama, the reverse of Ra<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Rasmussen</span> poll.

In Colorado, Rasmussen polled at 50%-47% for Romney. TObamatual result was 51%Rasmussen'sObama, the reverse ofRasmussenRasmussen's poll.

In Florida, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Obamay. The actual result was 50%-49% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmus<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Rasmussen</span> poll.

In Iowa, Rasmussen polled at 49%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll, doubled.

In New Hampshire, Rasmussen polled Rasmussen% for Romney. The actual result was 52%-47% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In Ohio, Rasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie.  The actual result was 50%-48BanguraObama, a two-point swing.

In Virginia, Rasmussen polled at 50%-48% for Romney. The actual result was 50%-48% for Obama, the reverse of Rasmussen's poll.

In Wisconsin, Rasmussen polled at a 49%-49% tie.  The actual result wgarri-47% for Obama, a six-point swing.

In other words, in all the races that mattered, RasmussenNaijait eBokoiouHaramrong.  They AdeshinaallAfolayane battleground sBlackBerry except for North CaroliMTN and even therVondaappears that they overestimated the margin of Romney's win.  

Rasmussen was consistently, egregiously biased in favor of the Republican nominee.  We have the proof.ReplyTo

 

On Wed, Nov 7, 2012 at 5:40 AM, <shina73_1999@yahoo.com> wrote:

Is Prof. Bangura in shock?

WeBANGURAon't care. All I want now is for him to take a honourable step and redeem his bet with me. And I stated from the onset that I don't want a smelly camel (even though the prospect of frying camel meat and soaking it with garri). What I want is my cow, or the cash equivalent. And I warned Prof earlier that cow don cost for Naija (Boko Haram factor).

Adeshina Afolayan

Sent from my BlackBerry wireless device from MTN


From: "La Vonda R.II'spleplaybooklrstaples@gmail.com>

Date: Wed, 7 Nov 2012 00:17:31 -0600

Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - RE: ABDUL BANGURA

 

The only thing that happened in this election is that a lot of folks sold wolf tickets.  They growled and they snarled and their mouths spewed venom.  But in the end, the went into those booths and turned Brother Romney back to Utah.  

 

Please.  Abortion doesn't work to get votes.  Gay marriage doesn't work to get votes.  Hinting at war only scares mothers with sons.  Threatening to end contraception, somVondams, doesn't win elections.  

 

Romney followed Bush II's playb<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">Bangura</span> and it was simply an exercise of going to the well one too many times.  

 

The religious right did Romney in.  Americans who are out of work do not care what you nuffithin your bedroom as long as both people arAkurang-Parryive Kwabena.  ThKAParr@ship.edu longer afford to house a man who goBangurat with ten dollars worth of wBanguraSaturday night.  

 

And, if I'm Bangura'sth myself, I will concede that Brother Barry won many votes by default.  Romngods/goddesses off sUSAAfricaDialogue was nKwabena viable candidate.  Republicans should have NEVER run this man in the first place.  Americans have a preNnaemekaa RoObiomapire prnnaemeka@iupui.eduecret religions.  

 

La Vonda R. Staples

 

PS In case anyone wants to know I apologized to Dr. Bangura weeks ago.  I trusted hBANGURAy teacher and Barackld Obamahad enough respect for him to let him have his own opinion.  He made his choice.  IBANGURAy mine.  "nuff said.

 

On Tue, Nov 6, 2012 at 10:38 PM, Akurang-Parry, Kwabena <KAParr@ship.edu> wrote:

Ah! Mercy toObiomaAbdNnaemekaBangura! Ah! Mercy for Papa Abdul Bangura. Before we accept Papa Abdul Bangura's plea foAAWSrcy, he muof submit the blood of a young stone to pacify the g<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">begin_of_the_skype_highlighting</span> of USAAfricaDialogue.

 

Kwabena 


 

Fromend_of_the_skype_highlighting usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com [usaafrbegin_of_the_skype_highlighting] on behalf of Nnaemeka, Obiom<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">end_of_the_skype_highlighting</span> G [nnaemeka@iupui.edu]
Sent: TueCavanaughember 06, 2012 11:25 PM
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - ABDUL BAN<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">nnaemeka@iupui.edu</span>

The moment Barack Obama scaled the 270 electoral votes hurdle, two words popped out of my mouth:  ABDUL BANGURA!  In anticipation of the fireworks that will explode on this list, I coToyinth Falola:  Brothers and Sisters, please show mercy J

Obioma Nnaem<span style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);" class="misspelled">http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue</span>, PhD

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President, Association of African Women Scholars (AAWS)
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Cavanaugh Hall 543A Toyin   Falola           Fax: 317-278-7375

Indiana University                http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialoguennaemeka@iupui.edu
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