Please click on our Rasmussen's projected electoral map/. It shows why the Romney campaign is glum about their chances tomorrow:
Here is their analysis
2012 Electoral College Scoreboard
| Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Breakdown | |
|---|---|
| Safe Romney | 167 |
| Likely Romney | 24 |
| Leans Romney | 15 |
| Toss-up | 95 |
| Leans Obama | 53 |
| Likely Obama | 12 |
| Safe Obama | 172 |
According to our Rasmussen, Obama has 237 "safe, likely and leans" to Romney's 206. There are 95 "tossups." If we were to divide it in half, Obama gets 47 and Romney gets 48, it's over, Obama wins. In other words, Obama needs only 33 (approximately one-third) of those 95 toss-ups to win. You see now why Rasmussen is walking back all its predictions and now only talking about dead heats and ties? Wahala dey!
- Ikhide aka Nate Silver!
Stalk my blog at http://www.xokigbo.com/
Follow me on Twitter: @ikhide
Join me on Facebook: www.facebook.com/ikhide
From: Ayo Obe <ayo.m.o.obe@gmail.com>
To: "usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com" <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Monday, November 5, 2012 11:35 AM
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - WOW!!!! Even Michigan Is Manifesting The Bradley And WSilder Effects!!!
To: "usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com" <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Monday, November 5, 2012 11:35 AM
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - WOW!!!! Even Michigan Is Manifesting The Bradley And WSilder Effects!!!
Honestly Lavonda, you've got that right! I mean, I was listening to BBC Radio 4's Woman's Hour (courtesy TuneIn Radio app) and there were the Democrat and the Republican women, verbally slugging it out ( in a nice, proper Woman's Hour-ish kind of way.
I swear I am going to sleep on Tuesday night! I shall wake up and the heavens will not have fallen.
Ayo
I invite you to follow me on Twitter @naijama
It feels as if the entire country is either holding its breath or waiting or trying not to act as if this is happening. On Wednesday morning there will be no more polls. And I hope there will be an inexorable sigh of relief.--
On Mon, Nov 5, 2012 at 6:15 AM, Abdul Karim Bangura <theai@earthlink.net> wrote:
Even Michigan? Ahhhhhhhhhh....there is no more question that Romney is going to be our POTUS tomorrow!!! The Bradley and Wilder Effects are REAL!!!--
From The Christian Post:
Presidential Polls 2012: Latest Rasmussen Poll Shows Tie; Swing States Ohio, Michigan, New Hampshire Also Tied
In total four nationwide polls indicate a tie between Obama and Romney, as well as a number of swing state polls which indicate a similarly too-close-to-call contest for the White House.Rasmussen Reports presidential tracking poll for Sunday Nov. 4 has shown that Obama and Romney are tied on 49 percent each nationally. Amazingly the poll indicated that just 1 percent of voters remain undecided.Meanwhile the latest ABC News/Washington Post presidential tracking poll has also indicated a tie. Obama and Romney both managed to claim 48 percent of that poll which was conducted nationally. Again undecideds were very low, with voters who supported neither main candidate making up just 1 percent, and voters who had "no opinion" at just 2 percent. That poll was released on Nov. 3.Another tie was revealed by the Politico/George Washington University/Battleground poll, which was also conducted nationally. Both Obama and Romney were again awarded 48 percent of voters. That poll was released today, Sunday Nov. 4.A fourth nationwide poll is the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, which showed Obama ahead by a single percentage point, with 48 percent of the vote compared to Romney's 47 percent. This poll was also released Sunday Nov. 4.Follow usMeanwhile a number of swing state polls have shown an extraordinarily close race. A Columbus Dispatch presidential poll for Ohio has shown Obama leading by 2 percentage points, with 50 percent compared to Romney's 48 percent. That poll was released on Sunday Nov. 4. In comparison a Rasmussen Reports poll for Ohio, released just two days ago, had a statistical tie between Obama and Romney with 49 percent each.In yet another poll by Baydoun/Foster for the state of Michigan, Romney was shown to lead by 0.62 of a percentage point. That poll marked Obama with 46.24 percent and Romney with 46.86 percent. That poll again was released on Sunday Nov. 4.Finally a WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll for the state of New Hampshire has also indicated the two candidates are tied. Both Obama and Romney claimed 48 percent with 3 percent undecided. That poll was released yesterday Nov. 3.
You received this message because you are subscribed to the "USA-Africa Dialogue Series" moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin.
For current archives, visit http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
For previous archives, visit http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue-
unsubscribe@googlegroups.com
--
La Vonda R. Staples, WriterBA Psychology 2005 and MA European History 2009"If your dreams do not scare you, they are not big enough."Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, This Child Will Be Great; Memoir of a Remarkable Life by Africa's First Woman President.
You received this message because you are subscribed to the "USA-Africa Dialogue Series" moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin.
For current archives, visit http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
For previous archives, visit http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue-
unsubscribe@googlegroups.com
You received this message because you are subscribed to the "USA-Africa Dialogue Series" moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin.
For current archives, visit http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
For previous archives, visit http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue-
unsubscribe@googlegroups.com
No comments:
Post a Comment