Nate Silver forecasts 307.2 electoral votes for Obama and 230.8 votes for Romnery
; 86.3 % chance of Obama winning compared to 13.7 % chance of Romney winning.
"If President Obama wins re-election on Tuesday, the historical memory of the race might turn on the role played by Hurricane Sandy.
Already, some analysts are describing the storm as an "October surprise" that allowed Mr. Obama to regain his footing after stumbling badly in the first presidential debate and struggling to get back on course. Some Republicans seem prepared to blame a potential defeat for Mitt Romney on the storm, and the embrace of Mr. Obama by New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and other public officials.
The theory has some appeal. The last three days of polling have brought what is almost certainly Mr. Obama's strongest run of polling since the first presidential debate in Denver. Mr. Obama led in the vast majority of battleground-state polls over the weekend. And increasingly, it is hard to find leads for Mr. Romney in national surveys — although several of them show a tie."
- The oracle Nate Silver
Wahala dey! Professor Bangura, I hope that camel is not an exhausted mutt from the Gambia O! I want a real well-fed camel! Read the rest here.
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