Sunday, November 4, 2012

USA Africa Dialogue Series - OBAMA-NATION: Tracking of Latest Polls of 9 Swing States


____________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Summary

Iowa: 5 points - Obama
Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, Ohio: 3 points - Obama
Virginia: 2 points - Obama
New Hampshire: even - Obama, Romney
North Carolina: 2 points - Romney
Florida: 3 points - Romney

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http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/swing-state-tracker

Swing State Tracker

Latest
 poll*

538-header-tracker

Vote-share estimate based
on state and national polls*

Updated Sunday 1:27 AM ET

Visits by
candidates/spouses

View from the ground

Ohio

18 electoral votes

OCT. 24-NOV. 2
  • 50
  • Obama
  • 48
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+3.0%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •    
  •   
  •  
  •  
  •     
  •  
  •   
Mark Landler in Ohio

NOV. 3 President Obama began his seven-state weekend tour in Mentor, while Representative Paul D. Ryan held an event in Marietta, with his family in tow.

Iowa

electoral votes

OCT. 31-NOV. 2
  • 47
  • Obama
  • 42
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+3.3%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
Ashley Parker in Iowa

NOV. 3 At an airport hangar in Dubuque, Mitt Romney continued his criticism of the president over his campaign pledges in 2008.

New Hampshire

electoral votes

OCT. 31-NOV. 2
  • 47
  • Obama
  • 47
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+3.1%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •  

NOV. 3 Mitt Romney kicked off his busiest day of the general election in Portsmouth, telling voters he will bring the hope, change and bipartisanship that President Obama promised four years ago.

Colorado

electoral votes

OCT. 26-31
  • 50
  • Obama
  • 48
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+1.5%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •   
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  

NOV. 3 Mitt Romney held a rally at an airport hanger in Colorado Springs with about 4,500 in attendance, according to the campaign. Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. held rallies in Arvada and Pueblo.

Virginia

13 electoral votes

OCT. 23-28
  • 49
  • Obama
  • 47
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+1.4%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
Trip Gabriel in Virginia

NOV. 3 Representative Paul D. Ryan held a rally in Richmond, and promised that he or Mitt Romney will be in the state every day until Election Day.

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes

OCT. 28-29
  • 49
  • Obama
  • 46
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+4.9%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  

NOV. 3 Mr. Obama, whose voice was growing raspy, opened his rally in Milwaukee with praise for the unity in the Hurricane Sandy recovery efforts.

Nevada

electoral votes

OCT. 23-24
  • 50
  • Obama
  • 47
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Obama+3.9%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •  

NOV. 1 President Obama held a rally in Las Vegas, and Representative Paul D. Ryan hosted an event in Reno.

Florida

29 electoral votes

OCT. 30-NOV. 1
  • 49
  • Obama
  • 46
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Romney+0.3%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  

NOV. 1 Stevie Wonder opened for Michelle Obama in Jacksonville, and Marc Anthony campaigned with her in Daytona Beach and Miami.

North Carolina

15 electoral votes

SEP. 23-25
  • 48
  • Obama
  • 46
  • Romney
JUNEJULYAUG.SEP.OCT.NOV.47%49%51%Romney+2.4%
  • OCT.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • NOV.
  • 31
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4

NOV. 2 Dr. Jill Biden visited the Asheville Democratic headquarters and spoke to volunteers.

*"Latest polls" only includes polls that meet the methodological standards of The Times's News Surveys department.
  The vote-share estimate includes some polls that are automated or that are barred from calling cellphones or that do not use live interviewers.
  Visits on the calendar for today or tomorrow are based on the campaigns' planned events.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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