Tuesday, November 6, 2012

USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney Holds On To His Lead In The Final Poll

Tale of the Tape of the Final Poll, Tuesday, November 06, 2012:

Romney increases his lead over Obama nationally and in the battleground/swing states. And Rasmussen is correct, this election boils down to the Bradley and Wilder Effects and the "It's the Economy, Stupid!"  The Fat Lady is definitely singing "Bye Bye Obama!"

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll of Election 2012 shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate. See daily tracking history.

 

Both candidates are viewed favorably by 50% of voters nationwide.


When it comes to the economy, 50% trust Romney more, while 47% have more confidence in the president.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters are now excited about the choice between Romney and Obama. Just 21% still say they will be voting for the lesser of two evils.


The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show the president with 237 Electoral Votes and Romney with 206. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Eight states with 95 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Colorado,  Florida, Iowa, NevadaNew HampshireOhio, Virginia and Wisconsin.


Rasmussen Reports figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Among those who have already voted, 43% are Democrats and 33% Republican. Among those expected to vote today, 39% are Republican and 37% Democrat. Overall, 39% of voters are projected to be Democrats and 37% Republicans. Both candidates do well within their own party, while Romney has a double-digit advantage among unaffiliated voters.


One key to the outcome on Election Day will be the racial and ethnic mix of the electorate. In 2008, approximately 74% of voters were white. Among those who have already voted, 67% are white. Among those expected to vote today, 77% are white. The actual turnout by various racial and ethnic groups is significant in terms of projecting a winner because Romney attracts 58% of the white vote, while Obama has a huge lead among non-white voters.


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