Thursday, November 1, 2012

USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney Better Poised To Win This The Mother Of All Elections!

Tale of the tape for Thursday, November 01, 2012:
 
Romney continues his lead over Obama five days to the Big Date!  The most important aspect is that the Electoral College has frozen for quite some time, and Romney leads in a majority of the eight states with white populations between 75 and 95% that will decide the outcome of the election. Given the inevitable Bradley and Wilder Effects this time around and the 41 million (31% of those who actually vote) Tea Party members who will vote 100% for Romney and have been working vigorously on the ground to bring out the white vote in every nook and cranny, Romney is better poised to win this The Mother of All Elections.
 
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

NOTE: Rasmussen Reports is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey and we were hit hard by Hurricane Sandy. However, our survey interview calls are placed from a different location, so data gathering was able to continue. Today, we will release only a limited amount of data. The Rasmussen Challenge is also on hold until next week due to the weather.

New surveying for Monday night finds Romney ahead of the president 50% to 47% in the key swing state of Colorado. That marks little change from a week ago, and the state remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

In Wisconsin, surveying from Monday night finds the race remains tied at 49%, just like last week. Wisconsin, too, is still a Toss-Up and is critical to Romney's fortunes if he loses Ohio.

We will release new numbers out of Iowa later today.

For most of the year, Rasmussen Reports has conducted 500 survey interviews per night and reported the results on a three-day rolling average basis. For the final week of the campaign, we will conduct 1,000 survey interviews per night.

In the battle for the White House, the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show the president with 237 Electoral Votes and Romney 206. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Eight states with 95 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Colorado,  Florida,Iowa,NevadaNew HampshireOhio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

 

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