Tuesday, November 20, 2012

USA Africa Dialogue Series - Security Red Alert In Kenya, Opportunities Identified by Terrorists and Enemy Operatives



---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: maina ndiritu <litshooz@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Nov 20, 2012 at 10:46 AM
Subject: Security Red Alert In Kenya, Opportunities Identified by Terrorists and Enemy Operatives
To: africa yahoogroups <africa-oped@yahoogroups.com>, "youngprofessionals_ke@googlegroups.com" <youngprofessionals_ke@googlegroups.com>, "progressive-kenyans@googlegroups.com" <progressive-kenyans@googlegroups.com>, forum <wanakenya@googlegroups.com>, VVM Vuguvugu Mashinani <vuguvugumashinani@yahoogroups.com>, KENYA ONLINE <kenyaonline@yahoogroups.com>


The geo-strategic and geopolitical value of Kenya poses significant
military-economic threats to foreign powers like Britain and the
United States, two countries often fond of micro-managing the country
politik.

When Kenya defense forces in late October defeated Al-Shabaab
militants in Southern Somalia besides capturing the strategic port
city of Kismayu, military and intelligence experts were quick to
accept the fact Kenya geopolitical muscle was higher.

American and British intelligence and military strategists may have
felt humbled by the events in Somalia where a modestly equipped and
financially capable second 'World' African country had done what US
and the NATO besides AMISOM had failed to do in decades.

Throughout President Kibaki's regime Kenya has isolated these global
powers from its trade and government procurement to cushion itself
from being economically and politically shortchanged.

Kenya has rapidly developed in the past ten years with infrastructure,
trade,and technology being key drivers of increased income per capita,
making more Kenyan's economically capable while the national economy
grew better.

Nairobi has not only paid the United Nations all its debts but also
scored significantly well in democracy, governance, and
socioeconomically making it the envy of the East and Central African
region and a hot spot for investors.

Unfortunately, the killing of 50 police officers, and the gunning down
of 3 military officers on Monday 19th November 2012 unravels a mystery
of foreign plots to destabilize Kenya through a policy of a poor
internal security service.

Killing of police officers en-masse creates a public policy that even
the civillians are better trained and informed to handle security
operations.

Killing of soldiers creates the public policy that even though they
destroyed Al-Shabaab, the soldiers were not super-humans who can solve
every security problem in Kenya, hence, they are expendable too.

The strategy deployed in Kenya is to make the civilian identify the
police force and the military, besides the intelligence service, as
incapable,unavailable, and unreliable, hence, the civilian has to take
collective responsibility to secure him and his community against
security threats.

Geopolitical Implications and Ramifications of Foreign Power Play

Kenya has conducted audits on the region and arbitrated peace treaties
in Sudan, Somalia, and now Central Africa, a process which has exposed
the rot in international relations to its intelligence system thus
attracting enemies.

With the relatively good economy, military muscle, and a geopolitical
strength that is coupled well by its Geo-strategic value to East and
Central Africa, Kenya's new status of the regional superpower dwarfs
efforts of superpowers like America in DR Congo, Somalia, Sudan, and
Uganda making the British and Americans insignificant to the region.

Nairobi has been busy working on modalities to increase trade
relations across east and central Africa while the Americans and the
British have been working hard to re-establish their authority in
regional geopolitics.


This conflict of interest allows players including other actors to
identify opportunities in the Circe spell to deploy strategies that
will destabilize Kenya and ruin the strategic gains it has made in the
past decade.

Opportunities Identified by Terrorists and Enemy Operatives

This is a terror alert and a warning to economic and national security
intelligence service that the republic of Kenya faces a critical
security threat through a strategy that aims at weakening the internal
security to an extent that citizens might take up the role of police.

In media coverage of social activities in Kenya, young men have been
identified wearing police uniform look-a-likes, while many social
gatherings including sports fares have players parading and saluting
like the police.

In Eastleigh, christian youths and Muslim youths have started a
religious war stoked by terrorist attacks with the non-Muslim
residents insisting the Somali's are behind the terrorism.

Failure by the internal security apparatus to intercept the violence
that left 2 dead further discredits the internal security system and
the intelligence service as being incapable and unavailable to
mitigate threats on the national security.

The killing of over 50 police officers in Suguta valley at Baragoi
created a public policy of a tactless police force and a completely
un-informed intelligence service.

The constant re-emergence of Mungiki conflict in Kirinyaga district,
the only area Mungiki was defeated and shunned is a strategy deployed
to raise the Mungiki ante wherein if it succeeds in manifesting and
occupying Kirinyaga, it will have conquered the Kikuyu community and
will significantly call the shots through intimidation in the coming
presidential election.

In Kisumu, emergence of gangs that maraud and engage in criminal
activity including murder signals an escalation of proxy political
violence to intimidate and cause violence in the area.

Eastleigh violence poses the most significant threat so far whereby,
if the violence escalates, the terrorist operatives will use the
violence as camouflage to move equipment and resources closer to key
targets identified in previous intelligence reports including CBD
sky-crappers.

Ethnic politics and social media based ethnic violence has been
confirmed by Strategic Intelligence service with the embers of this
online violence about to explode into real violence during the
election time.

Terror Warning

With the insecurity problem becoming nascent, we advice that the
Eastleigh area be under watch since terrorist cells operating from
there have been activated.

Improvised explosive devices maybe under assembly to be deployed in
the coming two weeks as the terrorists critically analyze security
lapses for a window of opportunity to launch the terrorist attack on a
major installation, a major building in the capital, a hotel,
transport facility including a bus headed to Mombasa, Garissa, or
Western Kenya, or even a major church.

Politically, we advice intelligence services to critically identify
characters and association of all presidential aspirants both locally
and internationally to cross-examine their intents, activities and
connections so as to identify how deployment of strategies aimed at
using the insecurity problem to their advantage.





--
Why should we not all live in peace and harmony ? we look up the same stars
, we are fellow passengers on the same planet and dwell beneath the same
sky , what matters it along which road each individual endeavours to reach
the ultimate truth ? the riddle of existence is too great that there should
be only one road leading us to an answer
*
*
*
             QUINTUS AURELIUS SYMMACHUS
*

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