Friday, June 27, 2014

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - MONDAY QUARTER-BACKING: "Bolaji, What the Heck Happened in Ekiti State?"

I see a reference on this thread to the rice sharing at the Ekiti elections, burt no reference to the fact both candidates shared rice, one cooked, the other  uncooked. 

Okey Iheduru-

I have come to a similar  conclusion about the PDP, making me curious about their history and style of doing politics-

', the PDP is actually the only true "national party" since the beginnings of party politics in Nigeria.'

My own thinking has been in comparison with APC, and so I am particularly struck you have extended that description to the whole of Nigeria's history.

Would you mind sharing why you have this view?

thanks

toyin


On Thu, Jun 26, 2014 at 2:54 PM, 'Okwy Okeke' via USA Africa Dialogue Series <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com> wrote:
I recall a contribution on this board that alleged ethnic bias in Nigeria's business place, it was presented with a catchy phrase and it looked like it was adopted to be the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth, reason I intervened then so it would never be on record as accepted by all, and I should know given that I run a business in Nigeria.

I see same repeating over Ekiti's election. The club of netters have branded the voters' choice along the line of stomach infrastructure, uninformed, and other names they reserve for those that disagree with them.

Though a problem, ethnicity is not a major challenge in Nigeria, it is more or less a luxury only the rich afford and that is when it suits them.

Left to the elites, the netters that want us believe that it is always "us" against "them," the APC would never lose any election in the western region even if its candidate is a goat because the candidate is from "our" party, though few if any on the streets can explain what APC stands for beyond heating up the country with abusive language in the name of political brinksmanship.

In no commentary on Fayemi's loss has his high-handedness in dealing with a mere blogger mentioned as indicative of how he dealt with other opposition figures, or dissenters and many were they.

The country Nigeria has many problems, and when they appear non-disruptive enough, the elites invent more. If these internet warriors were so smart that they can list the reasons Fayemi lost without leaving their rooms, why didn't they save their man with more timely intervention?

Same was the story in Anambra in 2010 and 2014. The elites had their choice, who as usual was/ is the candidate connected to the nattering netters, and hip-hop press, the foreign-donor driven writers that believe their own song because the scream loudest, but democracy is driven by numbers, by those that live the reality and are ready for the reality of their actions 

Sooner or later, the people will wrestle power from the elites that have kept them down and divided.

Gov. Fayemi shamed many of his fawning fans by conceding even when they were disagreeing with the results from the comfort of their abodes miles removed from the scene. Such is the democracy we preach in Nigeria, we never lose except the other cheated. Clearly, Kayode Fayemi does not belong to that mob that sees Nigeria politics through the lens of their tribal marks and sectional interest, unfortunately he may struggle to find the right platform to serve his country, such is the tragedy of Nigeria.


Cheers,…Okwy


 
------------------------------------------
We face forward,...we face neither East or West: we face forward.......Kwame Nkrumah




From: Okey Iheduru <okeyiheduru@gmail.com>
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, 24 June 2014, 2:58
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - MONDAY QUARTER-BACKING: "Bolaji, What the Heck Happened in Ekiti State?"

Dear Prof Bolaji Aluko:

My sympathies for the drubbing your party received in Ekiti State last week. Beyond the new politics of "stomach infrastructure," the wide margin between Fayose and Fayemi--and the fact that Dr. Fayemi couldn't even scrape a single local government area--lead me to raise the following questions:

1) Did Dr. Fayemi actually win the election in 2011? Or, have the allegations against Justice Ayo Salami and his "helping hands" in the election petition tribunals and appeal courts regarding ACN's electoral victories in 2011 and after now been proven or at least been given credence?  

2) Who really wants PDP to lose power in 2015? Despite all its awful record, the PDP is actually the only true "national party" since the beginnings of party politics in Nigeria. The APC would need to really craft a new narrative and programs to show that they can hold the country together, assuming they win and/or assuming also that the PDP would willingly relinquish power to them in 2015. If ACP cannot manage elite/leadership recruitment within the party, can they be trusted to manage the spoils of office without tearing apart what remains of Nigeria today? Will the APC be willing to "coup-proof" Nigerian democracy as much as PDP has done since 1999?

3) Is the much vaunted "party realignment" that has supposedly occurred because two ethnic/clannish parties merged against a common foe not likely to actually lead to further consolidation of PDP's power and further entrench Nigeria's one-party dominant democracy?

I believe we've now passed the stage of shaking our heads.

Regards,

Okey



On Mon, Jun 23, 2014 at 5:49 PM, Mobolaji Aluko <alukome@gmail.com> wrote:

_________________________________________________________________


MONDAY QUARTER-BACKING:  "Bolaji, What the Heck Happened in Ekiti State?"

by


Mobolaji Aluko, PhD

________________________________________________________________

Monday, June 23, 2014


My People:

On Ekiti Gubernatorial Election Day Saturday June 21 2014, a lot of friends called,  and ever since,  more have called me, from within and outside Nigeria  to ask, "Bolaji, what the heck is happening in Ekiti?  What happened to your friend Kayode?  We all heard that he was doing so well in Ekiti State?"

Oh well, on Election Day, I too made a number of frantic calls from Lagos (where I was attending a niece's wedding), and all I got were variants of the plaintive response: "We too don't  know EXACTLY what is happening, but whatever is happening is REALLY happening o...at least in my ward o!"  Attention to the wedding reception was interrupted several time with huddles between many of us attendees, from Ekiti and from without, episodically with more than one phone in two ears.

And so the Election has been lost and won, not necessarily freely and fairly, but squarely enough for it to be accepted as the current will of the Ekiti people, both at and AFTER the election, in the presence of jubilation for the winner by his supporters, absence of protest on the street by the loser's supporters after the results announcement, after a commendable concession by our friend and brother Governor Kayode Fayemi to incoming Governor Ayo Fayose, and an amicable meeting between the twain since.

Thus, an unprecedented smooth transfer of administration has even begun, but the question remains:  what happened?  

One essay below - and a short commentary AFTER it - is an un-commissioned paper that in these early days seems to address some of the reasons.  I don't agree with ALL of them, but certainly they are worth paying attention to at the level of current socio-political development of our dear country.

I have also added for the record Governor Kayode Fayemi's concession speech, as well as incoming governor Fayose's comment about Fayemi,  to fulfil all righteousness. as well as a summary of the election results.

The key issue is that Ekiti has introduced two words into the politics of Nigeria:  stomach infrastructure - or the lack of it in preference to "physical infrastructure."    ""Ona lo mi ko, ko ko inu!"  appears to have been the amusing hick cry of many of my Ekiti people. 

Our country bleeds sociologically......we must pay attention to employment....and to its relief, however minor,  while waiting for employment.

Electoral democracy speaks, and people must listen.  The opportunity to serve people is a blessing, and the Fayemi administration is a permanent blessing to the Ekiti people, and the incoming Fayose administration, whether it likes it or not, will be the better for it.  I intend to join several others to watch out for the "new improved" Fayose;  his early comments on Fayemi are encouraging.

My own final question:  if a state as small as Ekiti must be so militarized to secure an electoral process to make it anywhere near credible, do we have enough resources to so militarize the whole nation in a national election in 2015?  The answer, my friends, is blowing in the wind.

And there you have it.    Let us move on....let politics end in Ekiti for now, and governance begin anew.



Bolaji Aluko
Not crestfallen
With World Cup as a worthy balm


________________________________________________________________________



If This Is the Will of the People.........

Concession Speech of
His Excellency 
Dr. Kayode FAYEMI 
Governor, Ekiti State, Nigeria 

Following the  2014 Gubernatorial Elections 
Government House, Ado-Ekiti, Ekiti State, Nigeria 

Sunday, June 22, 2014 

Protocols 

In o kun o Ekiti kete. 

Yesterday, Ekiti State decided. Following the gubernatorial elections held in the land of honour, Ekiti State, Nigeria, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has officially returned the candidate of the People's Democratic Party (PDP) as the winner of the election. 

If indeed this is the will of the Ekiti People, I stand in deference to your will. If the result of the elections is an expression of the voice of our people, we must all heed your voice. 

I have just spoken with my brother, Mr. Peter Ayodele Fayose, congratulating him on his victory. In a few hours from now, I would be meeting the Governor-elect to discuss the future of our dear state and how we would work together to institute a smooth transition programme. 

It has been a hard fought election. As expected, in the course of the campaigns, there were unsavory episodes as the candidates toured the nooks and crannies of the state to sell ourselves to the people. Elections tend to be highly divisive affairs that often see brother rising against brother. Despite our diverse party affiliations, and regardless of which way we voted on Saturday, we must remember that we are all sons and daughters of Ekiti State. Ekiti is ours to build together. 

On our part, over the course of the campaigns, we presented our scorecards before the people of Ekiti State. We never at any point took your support for granted. We campaigned, we canvassed and we traversed the nooks and crannies of this State. Our performance and achievements in office will remain the backdrop against which the next government and indeed future governments will be assessed. We are proud that with the support of Ekiti people, we have raised the bar of excellence in governance. In all, we gave our best, for conscience and for posterity. 

Indeed a new sociology of the Ekiti people may have evolved. However, the task of understanding how the outcome of this election has defined us as a people will be that of scholars. For us as an administration and a cadre of political leaders in Ekiti State, we have fought a good fight, we have kept faith. 

To members of our party, our campaign team and indeed all Ekiti people who defied the siege on our state to cast their votes for our party, I salute your exemplary courage and doggedness in the face of harassment. Thank you for staying the course. The incidences of brazen harassment, intimidation and allied infractions on fundamental human rights, which many of you suffered in the hands of agents of the state, would be documented and communicated to the appropriate authorities, for the records. 

I thank you all for listening. 

May God bless the land of honour, Ekiti State, Nigeria. 
May God bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria. 

Dr. Kayode Fayemi 
Governor, Ekiti State 
Sunday, June 22, 2014

_________________________________________________

 
FAYEMI IS AN UNUSUAL LEADER , SAYS FAYOSE

...as Fayemi reiterates commitment to good governance till end of tenure

Ekiti State Governor-elect, Mr Ayodele Fayose, has described the incumbent Governor of the State, Dr Kayode Fayemi as an unusual Nigerian leader who puts the interest of his State ahead of personal gains.

Mr Fayose who gave the commendation in Ado-Ekiti on Monday during a courtesy visit to Dr Fayemi in his office said Fayemi's attitude to the outcome of Saturday's poll shows that "he conceded in the overall interest of Ekiti State".

The Governor-elect said Fayemi has demonstrated commitment to the peace and development of the State since 2010; assuring that he would complement all achievements made by the incumbent Governor when he hands over in October.

Fayose said: "I got a call from the Governor, our leader, Dr Kayode Fayemi and he told me expressly of his readiness to ensure that the State moves forward by accepting the result in the outcome of the June 21 governorship election which I consider he is the only statesman that can do that without being immodest.

"I want to equally understand the fact that as a leader and governor of a State, when such gestures are made, it behoves on people like me as a leader on the other side to meet with him and acknowledge the fact that he conceded in the overall interest of Ekiti. It is unusual; it is not Nigerian or an African-like for leaders to concede readily", He added.

The governor-elect while urging supporters of each political party to shun acts that can jeopardize the peace of the State said it was time for reconciliation in order to build upon what Fayemi had done.

" I hope this meeting will further strengthen the peace in our State, and I want to add that our supporters must help us to help this State. Some came to my house yesterday singing all sorts of songs, I had to wake up and stop them. This is not a time to sing such songs. It is a time for reconciliation and love, to learn from the past and ensure that we have a wonderful future ahead of us. This leadership calls for us to live according to the rules of the game and ensure that tomorrow, we will be made accountable.

"Dr Fayemi has demonstrated commitment to peace and I am going to complement his effort. I am going to take it up from wherever he stops and make sure that immediately after office, he still continues to enjoy his rights and benefits of a leader that has served his own people.", he said.

In his response, Governor Fayemi reiterated his commitment to delivering the dividends of democracy to the people within the next few months before the transition to another regime.

The Governor stressed that politicians should not misinterpret governance with politics during the period as this could heat up the polity even as the administration still has obligations to deliver to the people until October 15 this year.

"It is important for the benefit of our people, the tenure of this government ends on October 15, 2014 and it is absolutely important that government continues to deliver the goods to the people of Ekiti until we are constitutionally mandated to leave office. To that extent, it is important that politics should be treated separately from governance and that politicians by their very nature would want to behave in a particular way but we as leaders must ensure that we handle that with restraints so that Ekiti people are the beneficiaries at the end of the day. We don't want anything that will heat up the polity simply because we have a process of transition in place", the Governor asserted.

Dr Fayemi while reacting to Fayose's surprise at his concession stated his respect for the will of the people even as he said that this is one of the ways Ekiti State can progress faster considering its disadvantaged position.

"For me, leadership is about service. It is about sacrifice. It is not about personal aggrandizement, not about personal benefit but the duty that we owe our people is to ensure that Ekiti continues to progress. Anything that will make the state progress is what I will be associated with. People have said my gesture is strange, it is unafrican, well I am a democrat and the will of the people is the basis of democracy. If it is the will of the people, we do not have a choice than to respect their will, and to do everything to ensure that we deepen this democracy not just for Ekiti but also for Nigeria", he said.

The Governor added that his meeting with Fayose is aimed at setting up a transition committee which will fine tune the process leading to the transition from the current administration to the incoming one.

"The lesson for us is that as Ekiti people, whatever we do must be in the overall interest of this place even when we suffer personal losses, as long as our State which is still largely disadvantaged can get out of this and our people can laugh last by having a better society entrenched in this State, we will all have been winners of this process

____________________________________________________

Ekiti State Population & 2014 Gubernatorial Election Figures
LG
Name of Local
Government
HQ
2006
Census
Valid No. of
Registered
Voters
ACN
(Fayemi)
LP
(Bamidele)
PDP
(Fayose)
1
Ado-Ekiti
Ado-Ekiti
308,621
134,141
13,927
2,065
41,169
2
Ekiti East
Omuo-Ekiti
137,955
47,293
8,584
884
12,498
3
Gbonyin (Aiyekire)
Ode-Ekiti
148,193
42,267
8,138
714
11,046
4
Ekiti  South West
Ilawe-Ekit
165,277
42,285
6,746
1,413
11,038
5
Ekiti West
Aramoko
179,892
40,856
7,860
884
10,702
6
Efon Alaaye
Efon-Alaaye
86,941
22,845
 
3,422
358
5,335
7
Emure
Emure-Ekiti
93,884
27,091
4,332
1,527
7,086
8
Ise/Orun
Ise-Ekiti
113,754
35,099
5,809
600
10,136
9
Ido-Osi
Ido-Ekiti
159,114
43,070
7,134
1,182
13,045
10
Ijero
Ijero-Ekiti
221,405
49,484
9,348
1,554
13,814
11
Ikere
Ikere-Ekiti
147,355
45,747
7,989
585
16,197
12
Ikole
Ikole-Ekiti
168,436
49,274
8,804
1,259
14,238
13
Irepodun/Ifelodun
Igede-Ekiti
129,149
54,430
6,834
3,555
13,308
14
Moba
Otun-Ekiti
146,496
40,570
7,994
1,000
8,878
15
Ilejemeje
Iye-Ekiti
43,530
11,796
3,336
165
3,670
16
Oye
Oye-Ekiti
134,210
45,918
10,176
512
11,200
Total
2,384,212
732,166
120,433
18,257
203,360
 
 

_______________________________________________________________



"I spent Saturday night and Sunday asking people why Fayemi lost and the near universal response was that he was an educated man who was working on the wrong type of infrastructure. The slogan of the people for the election, I was told, was a short Yoruba poem – "Ona lo mi ko, ko ko inu!" meaning that the governor has embarked on building infrastructure but what the people want is to build the infrastructure of their stomachs. In short, he did not make money flow through the political machine."-Dr. Jibrin Ibrahim

Ekiti's Lessons for Democracy, By Jibrin Ibrahim

At 4:19 a.m. yesterday morning, INEC declared Ayo Fayose of the PDP as the winner of the Ekiti governorship election. It was an outcome that surprised many. The sitting governor had the privilege of incumbency. Above all, he had acquired the reputation of being one of the best performing governors in the country. He had really built a massive road infrastructure for the state and initiated many good social programmes such as social security payments to the elderly.

Having spent a week observing the run up to and the election in Ekiti, it appeared clear to me that Fayemi was not rigged out, he was simply voted out by the people he had been implementing good governance programmes to help and support. The masses turned their back on a governor that was working for them.

Fayemi's background was civil society activism and I took over the directorship of the Centre for Democracy and Development from him when he decided to crossover into politics in January 2006. Politics was for him an opportunity to get power and implement all the progressive programmes we have been developing and advocating for over the years. In our world of civil society, our expectation is that the reward for good governance should be re-election. Sadly, that's not exactly what rulebook of democratic theory states. In a democracy, people choose the candidate they like the most at election time and not necessarily the best candidate. That is what the Ekiti electorate did and we should respect their choice.

I spent Saturday night and Sunday asking people why Fayemi lost and the near universal response was that he was an educated man who was working on the wrong type of infrastructure. The slogan of the people for the election, I was told, was a short Yoruba poem – "Ona lo mi ko, ko ko inu!" meaning that the governor has embarked on building infrastructure but what the people want is to build the infrastructure of their stomachs. In short, he did not make money flow through the political machine. American political scientists studying urban politics in the early 20 century in large cities such as Chicago popularized the concept of machine politics.

The basic principle of machine politics is transforming elections into a reward system by mobilizing poor and vulnerable groups and getting them to vote for money rather than principles. In Nigeria, machine politics is called building structures, a euphemism for using godfathers to deliver votes on the basis of a rewards system. What machine politics or godfatherism does is that it evacuates issue-based politics from the voting system and often that is our political reality we are confronted with in this country.

In a sense, Kayode Fayemi's long and difficult march to Government House might have relied substantially on Bola Tinubu's political machine and the words in the streets of Ado Ekiti was that the governor assumed the moment had arrived for him to liberate himself from the structures that helped him to power. If indeed that was the case, his decision to sell himself on the basis of his performance was a correct and brave one. The result however of this liberation from the godfather was the loss of power and people have the right to choose their destiny.

Abandoning the political machine is however not enough to explain why he lost comprehensively in all the sixteen local governments in the State. There was clearly a failure of political communication on his part. Fayemi did invest considerably in communications. About 80% of the billboards I saw in the state carried his smiling face. He was massively present on radio and television.

I cannot remember any newspaper that did not carry a long interview on his performance in government. His twitter handle had a massive following and he was liked on Facebook. Fayemi had participated in the first Obama campaign and these tools were important in getting a black man elected as American president. I suspect that most of the famers and teachers in Ekiti State are not on twitter or Facebook and do not read newspapers. The huge Ekiti diaspora in Ife and Lagos and above all in the United States had access to these media and love Fayemi for his good politics; the people in the grassroots did not hear his message.

They however heard the message of one Ayo Foyose who according to street legend will visit them in their villages, share palm wine or pure water with them, dance to his heart's desire and depart leaving them with some goodies. The Fayose legend in Ekiti is not about somebody who had been suspected of murder or of a non-performing impeached former governor. He was able to communicate that he was someone like them and above all, he was someone who is aware that the infrastructure of their stomachs mattered to him.

PDP knew what they were doing when they choose him above all the other educated and suave politicians that sought the party nomination. While I respect the choice of the people of Ekiti, I don't like it, I believe it's bad for our political future and I am convinced that we must return to issue-based politics if we are to deepen our democracy. My good friend Kayode Fayemi took the right approach, he could have improved him political communication but he most not be despondent about the loss. Lets all continue to advocate for the politics of good governance until the people get it.

The important issue about the election was that INEC's performance was very good. The logistics were well planned and there was timely arrival of electoral materials in most of the polling units we visited. The process of accreditation of voters started in most polling units between 08.00 and 08.30 am. Voting also commenced at about 12:30 pm in most of the polling units. Finally, Jega and his team are getting it right. The voter's turn out was impressive considering widespread concerns that people would be intimidated by the massive deployment of security personnel. The good turn out was a testimony to the civic consciousness of the people of Ekiti.

The Federal Government had deployed over 30,000 security officials in the rather small 6353 sq. km of Ekiti State. The whole place looked like a police state and all sorts of modern arms were being displayed by parading soldiers and policemen. There was clear evidence of intimidation and arrests of certain APC officials. Security personnel scandalously stopped some APC governors joining Fayemi's final campaign rally. On Election Day, a security helicopter kept circulating above Fayemi's country home where he was. All these show that while INEC performed well, the security services were less than neutral in their actions. This must be condemned with vigour and resisted in future. Nonetheless, the message from Ekiti is that if democracy is about the power of the people, we cannot but allow the people use their power the way they want.

Dr. Jibrin Ibrahim, a senior fellow of the Centre for Democracy and Development, CDD, and Chairman of the Premium Times editorial board, was in Ekiti as an election monitor.

__________________________________________________________

Commentary by Nkolika of Unizik


Prof Jibril,

Ekiti is not alone, if APC had devoted time to study what happened in Anambra state, they may not have lost Ekiti state, it was the same politics of the stomach, you see the people trooping in large numbers to the campaign of a candidate who is sharing money. 

On the voting day, some political parties like PDP and APGA   were busy sharing money to voters, this time you have to prove that you voted for them before you collect your share of the  money,  when the money finishes, you write your name on a paper to collect later. The police look away, after all they too may have been settled. That is why Tony Nwoye won more votes than Ngige in areas where we all thought that Ngige will win with a big margin. Even the governor  started early enough by distributing cars to traditional rulers and influential people in Anambra state, town unions were given about N2 miilion Naira each to spend as they like, churches received theirs too.   

We all criticize  it but that is what is working now. The people believe that all politicians are the same, they will be forgotten in the sharing spree that has become associated with governance now, so why should they not collect their own share before the voting. APC should actually change their strategy if they want to make any headway in 2015. If they can lose Ekiti, they will lose anywhere. Losing Ekiti is a sign that their men were not on the ground.  You need to be in power to change the mindset of the people, outside the corridors of power, it is even more difficult. 

Politics of issues in Nigeria of today  can not work  until poverty is addressed.
 

Nkolika
Awka

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You can access some of my papers on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN) at: http://ssrn.com/author=2131462.
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