Thursday, September 25, 2014

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - WHY ARE THEY AGAINST MUHAMMADU BUHARI?

Buhari is a political lightening rod, but as long as he harbors the ambition of governing Nigeria again he will continue to be scrutinized as he should be. His supporters are usually fanatical, unquestioning, and almost sheepish in their adulation of their man. As a result they don't want to hear some uncomfortable truths about the man. I got a rude shock on Facebook recently when I reposted a critique of Buhari by my friend, Abdulazeez Abdulazeez. For merely reposting the critique, some of my good friends, including a college classmate, descended on me, imputing all kinds of sinister motives to me. It was as though Buhari was a divine being, not to be questioned or criticized. One friend even wrote to me privately to accuse me of  nursing anti-Fulani feeling and of speaking out of ethno-religious considerations. I flipped it around on him and told him that I could just as well assert that his support for Buhari was rooted in ethno-religious affinity but that would be insulting to him. I also reminded him that the original critic, whose post I merely reposted on my wall, was Fulani.

Anyway, the behavior of Buhari's supporters is, in my opinion, a reflection of how desperate conditions are in Nigeria today. They are projecting messianism and their own anxieties and hopes onto Buhari because he is a different kind of politician and because, whatever you may think of Buhari, you cannot question his personal integrity. As corruption has ravaged Nigeria, personal integrity in a politician has become a rare political asset, which is considered metonymic, rightly or wrongly, for oner political qualities like competence, vision, statesmanship, and sound governing temperament.

To save me from rehashing my comprehensive analysis of what I consider the dissonance between the old Buhari and the new Buhari as well as the differing emotional reactions that the two Buharis tend to elicit, here is a link to my 2011 article on him.

There are myths and legends associated with both the Buhari of 1985 and the Buhari of today. In a sense, many of his supporters think that the Buhari of 2014 will, should he become president, govern like the Buhari of 1985, forgetting that as civilian president he would not have the instruments of administrative fiat available to him as military head of state--that he would be hamstrung both by the constitution (and other democratic niceties and institutions) and political realism. His supporters have not pondered the question of what Buhari of today would do when he realizes that he cannot rule by decree, when he cannot decree a thing and expect it to be done. He and his supporters have provided few answers to this question and they are not satisfactory.

And that, precisely, is the problem with the Buhari cult. They cannot understand why some of us even have the audacity to pose these questions to their man. They cannot understand why Buhari's personal integrity is not enough, why we are asking for more, for plans, manifestoes, and evidence of a civil, democratic temperament. When we point to Shagari as a patently incorruptible civilian president who presided over one of the most regimes in Nigerian history, and who was surrounded by loyal but corrupt allies against whom he was impotent, Buhari's supporters resent the comparison without offering anything reassuring about their principal's departure from the Shagari model. When we tell them that, like Shagari, Buhari's most pronounced weakness is that he is a sucker for loyalty, and that, just as Shagari valued loyalty and allow it to blind him to the corruption of his closest allies, a president Buhari, for whom loyalty and an unquestioning adulation mean everything, may be ruined by the actions of his rapacious aides, they simply say their man will not be captive to corrupt but loyal allies. Fair enough I guess.

We are basically supposed to just take their word about Buhari and hope that the man will do the right thing. We are also supposed to overlook his past misdeeds and focus on those aspects of his political biography that command universal admiration. We are supposed to get on board on account of blind faith in the man--the kind held by his supporters. They want us to simply trust Buhari to do the right thing if/when he gets into Aso Rock. They don't want us to try to verify the trust. In other words, they want everyone to share their unquestioning faith in their man, to emotionally connect with Buhari as a messianic figure and to stop asking questions and demanding substantive programmatic items from him.

The affliction of the typical Buhari supporter is the same, whether he is a Northerner desirous of "power shift" to the north, a Muslim enamored of Buhari's early and consistent support for Sharia, or a Southerner or Christian longing for the discipline and commendable anti-corruption achievements of Buhari's military regime. The typical Buhari supporter is paranoid about people being out to get their man and is hardly receptive to anything resembling criticism directed against the man. Instead of defending legitimate allegations against their man or answering questions around his agenda, the supporters tend to walk around with the proverbial chip on their shoulders, ready to pounce on or pick a fight with critics.

His supporters' behavior notwithstanding, most of us who are neutral in Nigeria's political game clearly see the problem with Buhari and we will continue to say it even if his supporters resent us for doing so or do not want to hear it. So here goes......

1. Buhari has been poorly managed and has not be well served by his aides and handlers. I'll give an example. When Buhari came on the political scene he and his team made a foundational political error. His entry into the political space was controversial and rough. He was said to have remarked at a small political event somewhere in Sokoto State that Muslims should vote for Muslims. This story, a sensational political news item, was published by a national daily. Immediately, his supporters and handlers completely denied the story and alternately accused the reporter who covered the event of lying and of not understanding Hausa, the language in which Buhari spoke at the event. Unknown to them, the reporter had the tape and spoke Hausa with almost mother tongue proficiency. In fact Buhari's people had a point about the distortion of what Buhari said because the newspaper story made it seem as though Buhari asked Muslims to vote for only Muslims and not to vote for Christians. Had they hammered on the obvious distortion, they might have come out ahead and attracted sympathy to their man, but they chose to deny and parry, considering their man above such petty political conversations. They never bothered to own the story and to spin it into something good for the General, which was possible, given what Buhari actually said at the said event. What he said in fact was that as Muslims (he was addressing Hausa Muslims) they should vote for people who would uphold and defend their values--the values that they hold dear. The newspaper put its own spin on it and distorted it into a scandalous statement of religious myopia and bigotry. Had the Buhari folks simply gotten ahead of the story and explained what the General meant, that incident, from which his undeserved reputation as an Islamic bigot arguably began, would not have done the damage that it did. What the General said and meant was actually fairly mainstream and progressive--that his audience should vote their conscience and that they should vote for people who embodied and would uphold their values--probity, fairness, compassion, justice, consultation, etc. These are not just Muslim values but also Christian and humanistic values. Had that incident been managed properly, it would have been a net plus for the General and not a minus. Instead, when the newspaper revealed the existence of the tape and mischievously leaked it to a few people, Buhari's (and his team's) credibility went south. When he and his people attempted to do damage control and to re-explain the comment, they actually did more damage and solidified in many people's minds the notion that Buhari was indeed Muslim chauvinist. Even when he went from one church to another to dispel the fast spreading perception, it did not work. For many, the fact that he indeed addressed the audience in Hausa and made remarks about Muslims voting for people who would protect their values; the fact that he and his supporters never explained what the General meant until a firestorm started, and the fact that the newspaper had a tape and the reporter, a Yoruba, was proficient in Hausa--all these facts were enough. They believed the newspaper over the General. Some people who initially doubted that Buhari had made any of the reported comments and thought that the entire thing was a fabrication flipped on Buhari. Were they being fair to the General? No, but that is politics for you. That's why it calls for savvy, good communication, and good crisis management skills. Buhari and his people saw no need for this, believing, as many of them still do, that his name recognition and his populist policies when he was head of state would be enough to endear their man to Nigerians. Talk about taking the electorate for granted. Many enlightened reasonable, fair-minded, and objective people know that Buhari could not be a religious bigot and is incapable of religious exclusion, given his pedigree. But unfortunately, many of those people don't vote in elections, and the people who do are, given the familiar fissures of Nigerian society, susceptible to the kind of images that were/are circulating about Buhari. In politics, perception, not reality, is everything, and in fairness to Nigerians who harbor suspicions about Buhari, the man has probably done more to promote this perception of him than his detractors. This brings me to my next point.

2. Buhari is often his own worst enemy. When he talks, he sounds like a sectional leader more than a statesman, more than a national political aspirant. He is always defending the North and Islam against perceived and imagined anti-Northern and anti-Islamic policies, partaking in the kind of politics that may be popular in a section of the country but quarantines his popularity there. He became a darling of the Northern political grassroots in 2000 when, unlike many of the North's Muslim elites, he boldly and proudly supported and identified with the implementation of criminal Sharia. And he was unequivocal about his support. That singular act turned him into an instant political hero to Northern Nigeria's Muslim grassroots, from where fervent agitation for Sharia as a divinely ordained solution to society's polyvalent problems, emanated. From then on he could do no wrong. He was invincible. As he parlayed this popularity into politics, however, Buhari committed a grave error. He continued to pander to the Northern grassroots by repeatedly talking about Sharia and defending it, forgetting that, rightly or wrongly, Christians and even some Muslims in both North and South, were suspicious of Sharia politics or "political Sharia." He could have backed off of the Sharia and sectional rhetoric and retained his popularity with the Northern grassroots, but he made the choice to continue to consolidate his new base of support, his new constituency in the Northern grassroots by talking about parochial things that they wanted to hear, things that other establishment Northern politicians, for pragmatic and selfish reasons, were not talking about. He was the political outsider with enormous moral and political capital, which he could dispense to his favored followers and politicians. His strategy worked wonderfully, and solidified his messianic stature among the Northern Muslim masses, but it also scared and alienated moderates, Christians, and Southerners and fed into the perception that he was a religious fanatic who would implement an Islamic agenda if he became president. He won the North but lost the South and the Middle Belt. He effectively became a sectional leader, and he has been trying ever since to escape that label, to recover from that perception, to no avail. I don't see how he can escape this pigeonhole without losing or at least disappointing his northern base because the very thing that makes him popular in the North is what makes him unpopular elsewhere.

3.This all brings me to my final point about Buhari's penchant for soiling his own brand. Whether this is his quasi-military blunt style or he is merely pandering to his Northern Muslim base, he is fond of making shocking statements about national issues that help confirm opinions of him as a parochial Islamic and Northern champion. For instance, when her was interviewed on the Boko Haram insurgency a couple of years ago, he said the government was killing Northern youths, that the killing should stop, and that the government should implement for Boko Haram insurgents the kind of amnesty that was implemented in the Niger Delta. This was when the sect was killing civilians and abducting and raping people left and right, and after the sect had come out to rubbish the talk of amnesty for its members. I couldn't believe that he would say such a thing in a newspaper interview, especially given the widespread perceptions about him, but he did. I told myself then that such an unstatesmanlike statement could be the nail in his political coffin. President Jonathan had a similar moment a few years ago when, after the 2010 October 1 bombings carried out by Henry Okah and his MEND Niger Delta militants, the president came out and declared, even before investigations had commenced, that this was not the work of Niger Delta militants. Not only was he panned for the comment, he was embarrassed when it turned out that Mend, the group he had sought to exonerate, was responsible for the bombing. Jonathan was able to recover from that because he was at the time rookie in the first few months of his presidency, to whom Nigerians were willing to give the benefit of the doubt and, more crucially, because, unlike Buhari, he had no prior perception problem as a sectional or sectarian champion. Buhari has also made other public comments that may be construed as being soft on Boko Haram or as feeding some of the conspiracy theories about Boko Haram being an anti-North machination by the Jonathan government. When I posted Abdulazeez Abdulazeez's critique of Buhari and it attracted a lot of attention with many questioning the truthfulness of the post, he intervened and said that as a journalist who had worked mostly in the North, he had actually heard Buhari say in closed Northern circles that Boko Haram was a ploy to destroy the North by some people. Buhari has basically being echoing the same illiterate theories about Boko Haram being an anti-North, anti-Islam conspiracy, which are popular among uninformed Northerners. These comments and speeches are enthusiastically received in the North, in his base, and add to his popularity there, but they spook people in other parts of the country, further confining him to the status of a sectional candidate. I have noticed that in the last several months, as 2015 draws near, Buhari, apparently heeding the advice of more savvy advisers, has toned down his rhetoric, has issued statements and comments on Boko Haram's terrorist attacks and on the counterinsurgency efforts that are statesmanlike and broadminded. He has also only spoken sparingly, and, after the Nyanya bombing, came out forcefully for the first time to unequivocally condemn the Boko Haram terrorists. Such clarity had not been forthcoming from him, which fed the negative perceptions of him as a politician concerned only with the North and Muslims. Perhaps we're seeing the emergence of a new Buhari, Buhari 3.0, who is more refined, more polished, and more of a statesman than a Northern grassroots hero. Nonetheless, the ways in which Buhari and his people have made bad political choices and limited the appeal of the Buhari brand should not be discounted in any analysis of the man and his politics.

So, when the question is posed, why are they against Buhari, as the original post in this thread does, perhaps the answer should be that, 1) they--whoever they are--are not the problem of Buhari, and 2) perhaps Buhari, along with his team and his hero-worshiping supporters, is the problem of Buhari. You don't need an enemy when you are capable of self-destruction and are known to shoot from the hip and to value a narrow sectional constituency over a national one. If Buhari and his people look inward and correct these mistakes, Nigerians, desperate as they are for new leadership outside the failed PDP paradigm, will give him a chance.






On Wed, Sep 24, 2014 at 5:45 AM, Cornelius Hamelberg <corneliushamelberg@gmail.com> wrote:
Sir,

From over here, I have a few good reasons to believe that although Muhammadu Buhari is widely known yet he is not going to be the APC's presidential candidate  and that if  he is, he is not going to win, but only time will tell.

At the same time president Jonathan's government has to put a lid on Boko Haram activities so that the insurrection does not spread, causing more territory to become ungovernable and thus providing a cover for the Nigerian Military to take over...

Sincerely,

Adebayo,

We Sweden

On Tuesday, 23 September 2014 21:40:14 UTC+2, seguno2013 wrote:
Oga Cornelius,
Your favorite leader, General Buhari is a man of principle but you know that anyone who plans to lead a country must have a good profile. What I am saying is that Buhari does not have what it takes to rule this nation again. 
Do you think people like General Babangida would like to be his Campaign manager?  Do you think Civil Rights Organizations in the country will campaign for him? Do you think a person of pedigree of Buhari will get the votes of the people he has ruined their lives?  
You cannot flagrantly disobey the wishes of the people you will in future need their support and get it. If you want to step on a wet ground, you need first to wet it as the Yoruba adage goes. Buhari has not wet the ground he wants to step on hence he cannot enjoy the good texture of it. 
My piece advice to your Leader is to support someone that has the respect of most Nigerians in the forthcoming election. Nigeria is not for ex-soldiers alone. It belongs to all of us including WE SWEDEN. I am ready to be your Campaign Manager if you show interest. 
President Jonathan has not signified his interest to run in the next election. You don't campaign for someone who has not shown interest in the race? Do you?
Ogun agbe yin o. Aase. 

Segun Ogungbemi Ph.D
Professor of Philosophy
Adekunle Ajasin University
Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State
Nigeria
Cellphone: 08033041371
                   08024670952

On Sep 23, 2014, at 3:38 PM, Cornelius Hamelberg <cornelius...@gmail.com> wrote:

Sir Segun Ogungbemi,

 

 I cannot  be silent when I see my man being buffeted like this. It's clear that when it comes to casting stones on this one specimen of God's creation, known as  Muhammadu Buhari, you are now one of the ring leaders.

 

Your demands are not little oh!

 

First you say that my man Muhammadu Buhari "needs to apologize to the people of this country" for the long list of crimes with which you damn him. As if sincere repentance and an apology is not enough sounding like St. Paul the Apostle you now demand that

 

"It (his apology) must be seen not in words but also in deed."

 

Greater clarity is demanded here sir! 

 

(t'is true that

 

"a man of words and not of deeds

is like a garden full of weeds"

 

but in my opinion your demand that my mortal Brother Buhari should solemnly declare by word that as long as he lives he ( or the Nigerian Military under him) will not transgress by either word or deed any of the red lines  that you have already written.

 

I guess that one of the deeds or the main need that you could have in mind is what's known as compensation, the meaning of

 "An eye for an eye and a tooth, for a tooth"  

 

Just a little side question Sir:

 

What about your other hero, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan

 – are there any charges that should be brought against him or

 should he also solemnly swear to turn a new leaf

(word and deed etc)?

 

Was only asking.

 

Sincerely,

 

Cornelius Adebayo

 

We Sweden

 

 

 



On Tuesday, 23 September 2014 06:19:52 UTC+2, seguno2013 wrote:
OA,
I agree with you that Buhari needs to apologize to the people of this country for his ruthlessness and grave murder of the people he ordered to be killed. He had no respect for human rights and freedom of expression. He must show that to err is human and the need to ask for pardon is now with a vow that he will never do such to any of his fellow Nigerians. It must be seen not in words but also in deed. 
The world is watching Buhari if he will make this kind of sober reflection and ask for forgiveness. Anything short of that I am afraid if majority of Nigerians would want him back to rule over them. 

Segun Ogungbemi Ph.D
Professor of Philosophy
Adekunle Ajasin University
Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State
Nigeria
Cellphone: 08033041371
                   08024670952

On Sep 23, 2014, at 12:53 AM, "Anunoby, Ogugua" <Anun...@lincolnu.edu> wrote:

Who does "THEY" refer to? I wonder.

Is it not disingenuous that no reference was made to what gives the best and most insight into a future Buhari Presidency- his reckless abuse of the constitutional rights of his fellows citizens (Nigerians) as Head of State below. There seems to be no public record that Buhari acknowledges his unpunished crimes including the retroactive law murders he is answerable for Head of State. He is yet to apologize to Nigerians for what in many other countries he would have been vigorously held to account for.

The man is purported by his supporters to not be corrupt. May be he is not. There then arises the legitimate question of how he is able to remain an actively strident operator at the heavy cash-outflow political level for as long as he has. His last paid job was during the Abacha dictatorship. If this man has only held government jobs (never been a businessman), how does he fund the cash intensive political adventure that he has been on for many years now? If his politics is funded by wealthy sponsors, who are they? Is it forgotten that the man is a pensioner with many dependents? I am just asking.

Buhari may be a reformed power-hungry man but evidence that he has, is not in the public domain. Why is he reluctant to demonstrate publicly that he wronged many Nigerians, has learned his lesson, will not repeat the mistakes, and will serve them better if he is given another opportunity? He needs a binding contract with the Nigerian people. He must know by now that redemption- including forgiveness and trust is preceded by acknowledgement of willful and wrongful acts of omission and commissions, followed by sincere contrition. His multiple efforts at a make-over is not likely to be enough to earn him the understanding, acceptance, and trust of the majority of Nigerians he needs, to elect him president in a credible election. He needs to stop seeming to want to be president in order to complete the work he started in 1983 as Head of State. Many Nigerians do not approve of that work and the way it was done. His supporters must stop putting him up as the best Nigerian to be president. What Nigerians want/need is a good president and not the best person to be president.

If Buhari is not corrupt as his supporters claim, that helps. Corruption however may not be the critical component of the soft underbelly of Nigeria's politics and public service. The critical component it seems to me, is politicians and public servants' little or no regard for the constitutional rights of a majority of their fellow citizens including their equal citizenship. If they had more regard for the rights, they would be more respectful of their fellow citizens, and less likely to steal from them in the manner and volume they do.  

Buhari may indeed be a good man. He might have been misguided as Head of state. He was younger and probably more idealistic and adventurous then.  He made mistakes as Head of State. He needs to publicly demonstrate that he acknowledges that he was wrong to violate the rights of Nigerians as Head of State, is sincerely sorry that he did, and will be a much better president of all Nigerians if they vote him into office. Nigerians may then forgive him and be more confident and willing to give him another at as Head of State. He must stop carrying on as if he is the most conscientious and dutiful Nigerian (there is no such Nigerian by the way) and must therefore be elected President by Nigerians. There is no inevitable presidency.

Buhari comes across often as angry, arrogant, and absorbed by self-righteousness. It is thus difficult for many Nigerians outside his natural constituency, to like him enough to trust him with the powers of the office of president- an office that demands the faith and embodies the  hope of a majority of Nigerians and their children. Perception matters. Perception can be changed.

 

oa

 

From: usaafric...@googlegroups.com [mailto:usaaf...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Abdullahi Azare
Sent: Monday, September 22, 2014 3:28 PM
To: usaafricadialogue
Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - WHY ARE THEY AGAINST MUHAMMADU BUHARI?

 


WHY ARE THEY AGAINST MUHAMMADU
BUHARI?
Overtime they have tried to rubbished his
name. They called him Islamic extremist,
religious bigot, terrorist, hater of Christians
and non Muslims. They paid bloggers,
Journalists, Chief Editors of print media, CEOs
and managers of television stations and
many more Nigerians to write and speak lies
about him just to destroy his personality.
They are doing all they can to make more
Nigerians hate and dislike him. They are
spending billions of Naira to make sure they
bring him down. Recently, they tried to kill
him. They said he was responsible for the
post election violence that erupted in some
states in the north. . They said he is a
sponsor and sympathizer of boko haram.?
They said he is going to Islamitize Nigeria.
They said he is too old to govern a nation.
Some even said he is coming to steal the
money he didn't steal when he formerly
served the nation in different levels of
government. Some said he stole when he was
the Chairman of PTF. The lies and falsehoods
is endless.
Former President Olusegun Obasanjo
mandated Panel of Enquiry to audit the
account of PTF. The panel came out with
their findings without any corruption link with
the people general. At the end of the
investigation Buhari was not found involved in
any corruption. After the 2011 general
elections the federal government constitute a
a panel to investigate the election violence.
The committee did their work and submit the
reports and findings to Mr President but till
now presidency have not come out with the
reports and recommendations of committee.
Infact we are still waiting for Mr President to
tell us who were responsible for the slaughter
of Nigerians. Australian Negotiator Dr. Steven
Davis insisted former governor of Borno Modu
Sheriff who was in the entourage of Mr
President to Sudan and Chad some days
back and former Chief of Army Staff, General
Onyeabo Azubuike Ihejirika are boko haram
sponsors. He also accused some CBN staff
but didn't mention their names. Former
National Security Adviser, late Gen. Azazi.
accused PDP for the cause of boko haram but
never in anytime relate Muhammadu Buhari
name with terrorist or terrorism. Buhari
crushed a similar group of religious
extremists in the 80s. When he was a Military
Head of State he never Islamized Nigeria.
Why now?
"Two Nigerians and an Israeli national are
facing investigation in South Africa after they
attempted to smuggle US$9.3 million
apparently meant for buying arms for the
Nigerian intelligence service. The suspected
smugglers landed at Lanseria International
Airport, Johannesburg, on September 5, in a
private jet from Abuja with the money stashed
in three suitcases, according to City Press, a
South African based newspaper." Who is
behind this deal? What ministry or agency
gave approval or permission to individuals or
company to purshase heavy weapons and
armoury in Nigeria? Why will recognized
government agency would want to smuggled
in such a huge cash into another country if
really the money is meant to buy weapons
and armunitions for its agency? Who are
those really fuelling the violence in the North?
How do boko haram have access to Armed
Personnel Carrier?
Recent event have vindicate Gen.
Muhammad Buhari of all the fallacious
accusations made against him by PDP and
Aso Rock foot soldiers. As event unfold
towards 2015, we wait to see the next
allegation they will come up with. VOTE
BUHARI
VOTE AGAINST CORRUPTION
VOTE CHANGE
VOTE HONESTY
SHARE THIS MSG AND BE PART OF THE
CHANGE SO IMMINENT.

__._,_.___

--
ABDULLAHI BARAU

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There is enough in the world for everyone's need but not for everyone's greed.


---Mohandas Gandhi

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