Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - POLITICS 101: WHAT HAPPENED TODAY IN A NUTSHELL

But Barrister Kennedy Emetulu, ex-The Guardian, Lagos is also an investigative journalist.
--------------------------------------------
On Wed, 8/8/18, Mobolaji Aluko <alukome@gmail.com> wrote:

Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - POLITICS 101: WHAT HAPPENED TODAY IN A NUTSHELL
To: "usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com" <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
Date: Wednesday, August 8, 2018, 4:08 PM



GG:
Kennedy Emetulu is a good fiction
writer...once you know that he is no fly in any
wall.
And there you
have it.

Bolaji Aluko

On Wednesday, August 8, 2018, Gbolahan
Gbadamosi <gbola.gbadamosi@gmail.com>
wrote:


What a very
interesting write up on Politics 101.

 

It is written, not
within speculation but with so much conviction a
reader may almost believe you were the secretary taking
minutes at the several
"secret meetings" leading on to these
events.

 

Like you, some of us
will also "siddon look" to see how it all plays
out. But unlike you some of us do not operative a
speculative realm.

 

Let's keep
enjoying the brilliant summer months while it
lasts.

Gbolahan
Gbadamosi

On 8 August 2018 at 11:38,
'Kennedy Emetulu' via USA Africa Dialogue Series
<usaafricadialogue@
googlegroups.com> wrote:




…






(1) Tinubu had schemed to
make Oshiomhole the APC Chairman. They happily kicked Oyegun
out and put him there.


(2) Oshiomhole took to the
job aggressively with the aim of establishing party
supremacy over everybody in government except the President.
It was clear that he was going to attempt to use his
position as party Chairman to grab governmental power. He
began fighting everyone in sight while pictured repeatedly
with Buhari to indicate he has a blank cheque from Aso
Rock.


(3) He started by
attacking Dr Chris Ngige and Hadi Sirika over some boards'
appointments in their ministries, declaring that if the
President allows indiscipline and insubordination, he
won't tolerate it. He gave them a 7-day ultimatum and
threatened to expel them from the party. In other words, he
was trying to establish himself as a co-head of government
with the President by virtue of being APC
Chairman.


(4) He also thought with
his arrival, he would be able to stop the impending
defection of some APC lawmakers and governors to the PDP. He
couldn't stop them and that dented his ego considerably.
His reaction was to begin to hit out at all the defectors,
talking volubly and contradictorily, but still meeting the
President daily to scheme on what to do next.


(5) He began to plan with
APC National Assembly members on a plot to remove Saraki and
Dogara. This plan was afoot when the President travelled to
London. 


(6) As part of the plan,
yesterday night, Oshiomhole met with 30 APC National
Assembly members and the DSS chief, Daura to plan the crude
removal of Saraki and Dogara today. Oshiomhole was planning
to impress the President by presenting a 'victory' over
Saraki and Dogara to him on his return. He told Daura he
would be calling the President once the show was on to know
who he'd want as Senate President. It is not clear if the
President knew the detail of what Oshiomhole and Daura were
doing, but he sure has given Oshiomhole the impression that
he can do anything to protect his interest and the interest
of the party. 


(7) Oshiomhole felt he
could use Daura for the purpose because he is the
President's relation and kinsman who is more or less a law
unto himself in the administration. He felt the DSS can
carry out this action without any order from the Acting
President who he kept out of the picture. In his
calculation, the Acting President is not a problem. Again,
whether the President knew this or not is unclear; but
it's obvious that the Acting President was not
aware.


(8) But, the PDP
legislators got wind of the plan and decided to get to the
National Assembly to forestall any plan to crudely remove
their leadership. They got there early while the APC
legislators were holed up somewhere supposedly at a caucus
meeting from where they were to move en masse to the
National Assembly once secured by the DSS. The idea was to
swoop on the leadership at 12:00 midday when they were
supposed to be at the meeting Saraki called for today and
effect their plan. But, the PDP Senators were already there
early calling attention to what was happening, even as they
were refused entry by the DSS. At this point, the APC
plotters knew they'd been rumbled. They kept away knowing
now the plan had been foiled.


(9) An alarmed Osinbajo
was watching all this like the rest of Nigeria on TV. He had
a call from Tinubu who wanted to know if he gave the order
for the DSS to blockade the National Assembly. He said he
didn't. Tinubu let him know that the world isn't happy
with what they're seeing and that if they are going to
lose the election, this would be that moment things turned
against them. On Tinubu's advice, the Vice President
called Daura and the IGP to a meeting to find out what was
going on. The IGP said his men were not part of the blockade
at the National Assembly and Daura said he acted on the
order of the APC Chairman and the Chief of Staff to the
President, Abba Kyari. 


(10) Whether the Vice
President sacked Daura after consultation with the President
is not clear. But what is clear is that he did it knowing
that it was the most obvious damage control measure to take
considering the national and international uproar the
incident had generated. At any rate, Tinubu and Osinbajo
know that the President cannot reverse the decision to sack
Daura because he needs Tinubu to stand any chance of winning
the 2019 election. Buhari cannot therefore afford to annoy
him now. Tinubu and Osinbajo were also confident that they
could convince him it's in their interest for Daura to be
the fall guy following the national and international
uproar.


(11) There is nothing in
all this that indicates the President does not know what
happened with the deployment of the DSS to the National
Assembly. What is obvious is that he has been working
closely with Oshiomhole, Kyari, Daura, Idris and Baru of
NNPC on a plan to remove Saraki and Dogara before he left
for London.


(12) What is now clear is
that this is the beginning of a fight between Oshiomhole and
Osinbajo with the latter backed by Tinubu who must now be
having a buyer's remorse over his support for Oshiomhole
for the party chairmanship. The President is caught in their
middle. Whether he knew or didn't know of Daura's sack
before it happened, he can't reverse it now because he
knows how costly that would be for him politically. What we
have now is a divided government, a government run by
cartels. Something must give. The ants that will eat up the
APC are embedded inside the APC now. What we will see from
now till election day in 2019 will not be for the
fainthearted. Hurricane Oshiomhole is here to help bury the
APC. They happily sowed the wind and now they must reap the
whirlwind!




(Kenn grabs three sacks of
popcorn and seven barrels of Coke!) 


Siddon Look na dog name
for my village….








…..




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