Nigeria: 'Obasanjo Won Because Buhari is Unelectable' (https://allafrica.com/stories/200304280271.html)
The commentary below is one of hundreds of contributions to "Nigeria, What Next?", allAfrica.com's debate on the best way forward for Africa's most populous nation after April '03's contested election.
It's undeniably true that the elections of April 19 were marred by electoral irregularities in isolated states of Nigeria. But the irregularities are not sufficient to invalidate the credibility of the elections. "Electrocracy", which most people mistake for democracy, has no in-built institutional mechanisms or safeguards against fraud in elections. Elections even in the United States are often fraught with fraud. It is too much to expect Nigeria to transcend this abiding institutional defect inherent in electocracy. But it must be admitted that elections, in spite of their limitations, are about the only instruments we can deploy to approximate the popular wishes of the people.
The elections of April 2003 may not be immune from irregularities, but their outcome reflects the most accurate approximation of the choice of the Nigerian people.
President Obasanjo's closest contender is General Muhammadu Buhari who excites negative passions in parts of Nigeria other than the far North. Nigerian people may dislike Obasanjo. But they dislike Buhari more. It's simply a gradation of hatred. To expect Buhari to win a national election is akin to cherishing the illusion that the late Bola Ige, or for that matter the late Chief Awolowo, can ever be president of Nigeria. These people - Buhari, Ige, Awolowo and Chief Ojukwu - derive the social basis of their popularity for narrow ethno-religious confines. They have never in their private and public lives made even the vaguest pretences to nationalism and broad-mindedness.
But whatever may be said about Obasanjo, it cannot be denied that he has an irrevocable, infectious faith in the unity of Nigeria. He is admirably nationalistic and broad-minded, and has never been identified with narrow interests. From the beginning of Nigeria's electoral history, the people have always voted against insular and despicably narrow-minded characters like Buhari. There is evidence for this assertion in the consistent rejection of Awolowo at the polls.
It's the height of self-delusion for Buhari to expect to win a national election when he permanently presents himself to the nation as a Hausa-Fulani nationalist. The North made a fatal strategic error to have presented him for a national election. He is simply a hard commodity to advertise, much less sell, in any part of Nigeria other than the Hausa-Fulani North.
If the elections were to be repeated several times over under the free-est and fairest conditions imaginable, Buhari would still lose with a wide margin. He is unelectable in southern and central Nigeria, and the votes of his people in the far North are not sufficient to get him elected.
Farooq A. Kperogi, Abuja, Nigeria
23 Apr 2003
Farooq, wow.How did you move from a Buhari supporter pre-2015 to such a total Buhari critic?thankstoyin--On Sat, 1 Jun 2019 at 08:37, Farooq A. Kperogi <farooqkperogi@gmail.com> wrote:--Saturday, June 1, 2019
Formal Enthronement of Buhari's Illegitimate Rigocracy
By Farooq A. Kperogi, Ph.D.Twitter:@farooqkperogiMay 29, 2019 will go in the record books as the day Nigeria formally adopted, institutionalized, and inaugurated rigocracy as a system of government. In my March 2, 2019 column titled "This is Rigocracy, Not Democracy,"I defined a rigocracy as a system of government which owes its existence not to the votes of the electorates of a country, but to audaciously violent, in-your-face, state-sponsored rigging.The new Buhari regime isn't just a rigocracy; it's a rigocracy wrapped in multiple layers of brazen-faced illegitimacy. An illegitimate, ethically stained Chief Justice of Nigeria inaugurated an illegitimate president who unashamedly stole someone else's electoral mandate in broad daylight. This reality puts Nigeria's democracy in double jeopardy.Buhari (whom people on social media now call "Buharig" because of the unprecedentedly crude electoral heist he perpetrated in February) and the cabal of corrupt, indolent, and unconscionable provincials who rule on his behalf instructed their minions to rig the last presidential election because they knew Buhari had not a snowball's chance in hell of winning.The assault on the integrity of the electoral process actually started way before the election took place. The president was told to decline assent to a revised electoral bill that would have made rigging impossible. Then the president's villainous fixers circumvented the law, and even the conventions of basic decency, to remove the Chief Justice of Nigeria and replace him with a malleable, compromised dissembler from his geo-cultural backyard so that any judicial challenge to their planned rigging would be ineffectual.In spite of their rigging, however, Buhari still came up short on Election Day. He lost to Atiku by nearly 2 million votes, according to figures on INEC's own server, which they have been unable to refute with the resources of logic and evidence. So Buhari ordered INEC to invent arbitrary figures and proclaim him "winner." And degenerate, unprincipled, and morally compromised Mahmood Yakubu who has gone down in the annals as the absolute worst and most detestable INEC chairman Nigeria has ever had obliged dutifully.That's why more than months after the election, INEC has not had the courage to share the raw data of the election with the public. It's because the numbers won't add up. The numbers won't add up because they are not even remotely faithful to the outcome of the votes cast on Election Day. Mahmood Yakubu's venal, purchasable INEC is still frantically fudging the figures to justify the fraudulent figures they assigned to presidential candidates.To be sure, this isn't the first time elections were rigged in Nigeria. In fact, all previous elections have been rigged. Nevertheless, in past rigged presidential elections, the winners would still have won even if the elections were free and fair. It was often overzealousness and the absence of restraining mechanisms—and legal consequences— against electoral manipulation that enabled their rigging.For example, in 1999 Olusegun Obasanjo enjoyed the support of every electoral bloc except the Southwest. His minders didn't need to rig to win. In 2003, he had the support of every voting bloc except the Northwest and the Northeast. That was enough to hand him a handy victory.In 2007, the late Musa Umaru Yar'adua, whom I refused to address as "president" because of the intolerable magnitude of rigging that brought him to power, would have easily defeated Buhari without the need to rig. Buhari, after all, only campaigned in the Muslim north, which was also Yar'adua's natal region. The rest of the country saw Buhari for what he was (and is): a violent, closed-minded, malicious religious and ethnic bigot. So no one outside his primordial cocoon wanted to touch him with a barge pole.Buhari's public perception as the personification of spiteful religious and ethnic bigotry was unaltered in 2011 when he ran against Goodluck Jonathan. Jonathan also didn't need to rig to defeat him. In an October 10, 2010 article, even Nasir El-Rufai, who later became his most important political asset, rightly characterized him as "perpetually unelectable because his record as military head of state and [his]insensitivity to Nigeria's diversity and his parochial focus."In 2014, Buhari had a total makeover, thanks to the same Nasir El-Rufai who reached out to his allies in the southwest. He was dressed in borrowed robes—both metaphorically and literally. Jonathan's own unacceptable incompetence, which we thought was the worst we had witnessed until Buhari came and shattered his record, made Buhari an option. In other words, unvarnished, un-deodorized Buhari was no electoral threat to anyone, so rigging to defeat him was purposeless overkill.It is also true that Atiku rigged in his strongholds in the last election. I've also seen firm videographic evidence to suggest that Atiku's supporters in the southeast and in the deep south rigged on his behalf, although Atiku's rigging in his strongholds couldn't cancel out the magnitude of Buhari's rigging in the Northwest, the Northeast, and in Lagos.Nevertheless, the rigging that ultimately determined the outcome of the presidential election this year wasn't the rigging that took place at polling booths. If it had been limited to that, Buhari would have lost. INEC outright ignored the record of the election stored in its system and plucked grotesque, fantastical numbers out of thin air. It is the first time since 1999 that a presidential candidate who lost an election by a massive margin, even after rigging, has been declared winner. It's an outrage.From May 29, I took a decision to stop calling Buhari Nigeria's president because he is NOT. He is a shameless mandate thief, the face of a fascist rigocracy, and a dreadful reminder of the collapse of all pretenses to democracy in Nigeria. Even the president's minders know this. That is why they couldn't summon the courage to write an inaugural address for him, making him probably the first president in the world to ever be inaugurated without an inaugural address.It's also telling that no past living head of state or president, except the uncommonly genial Yakubu Gowon, honored the illegitimate, discreditable charade called inauguration. They all withheld their symbolic stamps of approval from the disgraceful travesty. That's a first.Because he lacks legitimacy to rule again, expect the official inauguration of fascist totalitarianism in the coming days, weeks, months, and years. All illegitimate regimes brutally suffocate their citizens who stand up to them. That is why François-Marie Arouet, aka Voltaire, famously said, "It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong."This is by far the darkest period in the history of Nigeria's democracy. I commiserate with Nigerians who are witnessing the brutal annihilation of the faintest vestiges of democracy in their country by an inept, illegitimate fraud who is, in addition, held hostage by an irreversible mental and cognitive decline as evidenced, yet again, in the tediously rambling disaster of an interview he gave a few days ago where he couldn't tell Nigerians who he is.Farooq A. Kperogi, Ph.D.Associate ProfessorJournalism & Emerging Media
School of Communication & MediaSocial Science BuildingRoom 5092 MD 2207402 Bartow Avenue
Kennesaw State UniversityKennesaw, Georgia, USA 30144
Cell: (+1) 404-573-9697
Personal website: www.farooqkperogi.comTwitter: @farooqkperogiAuthor of Glocal English: The Changing Face and Forms of Nigerian English in a Global World
"The nice thing about pessimism is that you are constantly being either proven right or pleasantly surprised." G. F. Will
Listserv moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To subscribe to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue+subscribe@googlegroups.com
Current archives at http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
Early archives at http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "USA Africa Dialogue Series" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to usaafricadialogue+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/usaafricadialogue/CAPq-FWsyGMZ6drPuGOQpu-8mJ6eVAcR1LQWDBB7XMjir%3DhkqVw%40mail.gmail.com.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
Listserv moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To subscribe to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue+subscribe@googlegroups.com
Current archives at http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
Early archives at http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "USA Africa Dialogue Series" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to usaafricadialogue+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/usaafricadialogue/CALUsqTT%2BiAddSR6UD7_TxDG9ipR0ceF%3Dmxd6CX5BFP_z-Rut9A%40mail.gmail.com.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
Listserv moderated by Toyin Falola, University of Texas at Austin
To post to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com
To subscribe to this group, send an email to USAAfricaDialogue+subscribe@googlegroups.com
Current archives at http://groups.google.com/group/USAAfricaDialogue
Early archives at http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "USA Africa Dialogue Series" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to usaafricadialogue+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/usaafricadialogue/CAPq-FWuhzv0egipJS7ZFeae%2BEvqx6eVSciFgst1%3DLSjL63Yq0g%40mail.gmail.com.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
No comments:
Post a Comment