OAA,
According to WHO, coronavirus is a global pandemic and not restricted to temperate regions—that is the current scientific consensus. If you have it, please provide links to data that shows otherwise.
We need to be very careful passing information or presenting conjectures that does not meet basic scientific standards on the coronavirus pandemic—lest we inadvertently cause unnecessary deaths. With the current global mortality rate of 4% (400 times more deadly than common flu), it is better that we err on the side of over-reaction to the coronavirus than under reaction.
Wuhan region (Hubei Province with population of 60M) was locked down since Jan/23 and is still locked down. The restricted movements in other parts of China have been relaxed but Wuhan city proper is still locked down.
The length of partial lockdown of UK is based on experience from China, Korea and what is currently going on in Italy, Spain, USA, etc. It is not because Temperature is much higher in UK after May.
While common flu is less prevalent during warmer months, it still occurs in equatorial zones even with near constant high temperature.
Gozie
From: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com [mailto:usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of OLAYINKA AGBETUYI
Sent: Sunday, March 22, 2020 12:36 PM
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Coronavirus: Why Buhari Won't Address Nigerians
Oga MOA:
Two issues criss- cross here: the tendency to insult one's political leader whenever there is perceived crisis and the knee- jerk reactions to COVID 19 to justify the earlier tendency. So what do we know about COVID 19?
Scientists are fairly divided but the emerging dominant view ( I tested my hunch first on my kid sister who is a science don before going for further research) is that it is a TEMPERATE pandemic rather than a global pandemic.
It is now known that the virus will not survive for long in general temperatures of over 26 degrees celsius (Nigeria is generally over 30 degrees so there is no need for panic regarding uncontrolled viral spread.)
The 3 international areas where there is a spike in the spread and death rate: Wuhan in China where it was first detected, Milan in Italy and Seattle in the US recorded temperatures ranging between 5 and 11 Celsius at the TIME of hike in the rate of infections. Other 100 Chinese cities with warmer temperatures surveyed by scientists at the time did not suffer Wuhan's fate regarding contagion. It is also instructive that Wuhan did not record its outbreak till December well into winter.
Boris Johnson said the partial lockdown of the UK will last till end of May. This is because following scientific advice he well knows that until the last week in May ( I have observed this for over 30 years) temperatures generally do not rise over 25 degrees celsius in the UK thus climatically putting an end to the gestation conditions of the virus. What dies this say about the response if President Buhari of Nigeria?
It is in the best interest of the image of Mr President ti be seen through his media aides to be respinding to the yearnings if the people concerned about their safety si they could see in site of the hlibal knee- jerk reactions that all wilk be well with them in the long run.
But if people do not get the response from the presidency they expected that does not justify personal attacks in Mr President. We talk end ip greatly diminished by this tactic.
We must constantly remind ourselves that the President does not preside over a village alone.
Every attempt to represent Mr President as a block head ipso facto presents that Urhobo man in his government as a block head, that Hausa man in his government as a block head, that Kalabari man in his government as a block head, that Yoruba man in his government as a block head, that Kanuri man in his government as a block head, that Igbo man in his government as a block head and that Edo man in his government as a block head.
I am sure Dr Farooq Kperogi has heard of the dictum 'publish and be damned' before. Why does he react to Dr Eniola as if he never did? If he has the right to question Buhari"s stewardship, so does others have the right to question his columns in whatever English they can muster if they do not insult him. He is beyond the bounds of decency to throw insults at them for upholding their civic rights ( this is the spirit in which I critique his columns regularly and others may so do.)
If I were Dr Sikiru Eniola I would write the same piece to the editors in the section dealing with letters from readers and dare the columnist to reply in the same foul language so we can gauge whether his editors pay him to insult readers.
OAA.
Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.
-------- Original message --------
From: 'Michael Afolayan' via USA Africa Dialogue Series <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
Date: 22/03/2020 14:45 (GMT+00:00)
To: USAAfrica Dialogue <usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Coronavirus: Why Buhari Won't Address Nigerians
This message is eligible for Automatic Cleanup! (usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com) Add cleanup rule | More info
Dr. Eniola:
I respectfully disagree with. you. I'm glad Dr. Kperogi is raising the much-needed alarm here. Someone has to be the voice for the voiceless majority. This is not a political matter; it is a national emergency! Coronavirus has become a pandemic of global magnitude. I was in three airports in the last 24 hours, and you need to see everyone masked up as if the whole world is gearing for the moon ascent. It. further affirms the seriousness of this matter. We seriously cannot afford to sleep easy while the roof over our heads and those. of our entire family is up in smokes.
Look, I just left Nigeria two days ago, and at no time did I see, read or hear of the President come out to address this matter of coronavirus in the way many heads of government around the world have been doing. This bothered. (and still bothers) me. I appreciate what the Lagos State governor has been doing: he addresses the matter with briefings every blessed day. Honestly, this is what true leaders should be doing. This coronavirus needs proactive engagement with the public. It is not for the president of a country to mention it in passing or put it on the table as another "Matter Pending." That is what ordinary (uninformed) citizens would do. All chief executives need enact and lead public policies on the coronavirus at such critical times as this.
As Shakespeare once warned, "There is a tide in the affairs of men . . . upon such a full sea are we now afloat . . ."
Michael O. Afoláyan
===
On Saturday, March 21, 2020, 2:26:34 PM GMT+1, DR SIKIRU ENIOLA <drsikirueniola@gmail.com> wrote:
Farooq Kperogi is carrying this anti Buhari obsession beyond sane climes. Mr President has been on TV addressing visitors, making pronouncements on the issues of governance etc. The issues bothering on policy statements on the COVID 19 have been conveyed clearly to Nigerians. I'm yet to see the Presidents or heads of other nations all coming out to address their nations.
If there is any stage where self censorship is required, the time is now for Kperogi.
On Sat, Mar 21, 2020, 10:39 AM Farooq A. Kperogi <farooqkperogi@gmail.com wrote:
Saturday, March 21, 2020
Coronavirus: Why Buhari Won't Address Nigerians
By Farooq A. Kperogi, Ph.D.
Twitter: @farooqkperogi
In most parts of the world, it feels like the world has come to, or is coming to, an end. Routines have been displaced. Familiar reality has been ruptured. Even habitual perceptions of the world around us are being disrupted. And people are gripped by immobilizing panic and anxiety.
In stressful, uncertain moments like this, people look up to their national leaders for assurance, for psychological comfort, for emotional stability, for guidance, for good cheer. Most leaders have lived up to this expectation. They have addressed their compatriots in national broadcasts and become consolers in chief. Well, except Nigeria's Muhammadu Buhari.
Amid spiraling apprehension about the new coronavirus and the uptick in the number of infections in the country, there has been unnervingly loud silence from the man who calls himself Nigeria's "president."
The quietude from the Presidential Villa in the midst of potentially one of the world's worst pandemics has been so disturbing that citizens have been literally pleading to hear from the man who claims to be their president.
Even Nigeria's infamously pliant, "rubber-stamp" Senate, which takes pride in being at the beck and call of the executive, has called on Buhari to address the nation. But one of Buhari's media aides said such calls from the senate amounted to "populism and cheap politics"!
Why can't Buhari address the nation? What's the big deal about a 5-minute (or less) televised address to the nation that someone will write for him? Well, the truth, which I've been pointing out since 2018, is that Buhari is too steeped in battles with his own personal demons to care about Nigerians.
Buhari is not well. A televised broadcast, however short, might expose and aggrandize this fact more forcefully than ever before. Notice that in previous broadcasts that his handlers felt compelled to ask him to make, he evinced noticeably low energy and slurred his speech.
On November 23, 2018, I tweeted about my encounter with a doctor who met Buhari in a non-medical context and told me, based on his treatment of and interactions with dementia patients, he was convinced that Buhari has dementia which, as I've pointed out before, is often characterized by repetitiveness, unawareness, mental deterioration, impaired memory, diminished quality of thought, slurred speech, and finally complete helplessness.
When I first pointed this out, a few people thought I was being malicious in the service of my opposition to his reelection. Now even close aides of Buhari admit in private that I was right. People who have had a chance to interact with him recently also concede that Buhari appears to be wracked by an irreversible mental decline and loss of control.
He stays no longer than 10 minutes at Federal Executive Council meetings and goes there only for photo ops to deceive Nigerians into thinking that he is in charge when, in fact, he is a sick puppy. It isn't his fault that he is sick. Anyone, including me, can fall ill. I concede that. But Nigeria is too complex to be governed by a sick, insentient person.
If Buhari had any honor, he would have declined to seek a second term on account of his health and for the love of the people of Nigeria. But his ambition and greed are greater than his patriotism and integrity.
Now, Nigeria is officially "presidentless" not just because Buhari's current mandate is brazenly rigged and therefore illegitimate but because Buhari has no mental presence to rule. Abba Kyari, his Chief of Staff, no longer conceals the fact that he is the one who calls the shots in the Presidential Villa—and in Nigeria. A March 10, 2020 news report in ThisDay, for instance, said Kyari was in Germany on behalf of Nigeria to hold talks with Siemens "on improved power" in the country.
That's not the duty of a chief of staff. But anyone who doesn't know by now that Abba Kyari is Nigeria's unelected (perhaps unelectable) surrogate president must be living under the rock. But because he isn't officially the president, not to mention the fact that he has severe speech impediments, he can't address the nation.
So the first reason Buhari won't address the nation is that doing so would expose his state of mental and physical health. A sick, ghostly "president" slurring his speech in a televised national broadcast would probably spook the nation more ominously than coronavirus can.
The second reason is that Buhari is in a grievous bind now. He was supposed to go to London for a medical checkup in February, but the leak of this information on social media and on fringe news websites caused his handlers to postpone it by a few weeks— after, as usual, declaring that the leak was "fake news."
The halt of all air travel to the UK—and, of course, the fear of contracting coronavirus in London—has ensured that Buhari can't go to London. This must be one moment when he wished he built at least one state-of-the-art hospital in Abuja.
Given the horrible state of healthcare in Nigeria (which was made even worse by Buhari's serial neglect of the sector in the time he has been "president") and the inability to go on medical tourism anywhere else in the world, I would be shocked if Buhari is even remotely in a position to address the nation.
So Nigerians eager to hear from the man who says he is their president will have to contend with dishonest presidential press releases that purport to emanate from Buhari's words, but which are actually ordered by Abba Kyari. Yemi Osinbajo is of no consequence any more.
Of course, even when Buhari was healthy and mentally alert, empathy, compassion, and fellow feeling were not his strong suits. He is a solipsistic narcissist who has no capacity for vicarious identification with the plight of people who are not directly related to him.
So it's unfair to implicate only his physiological and mental decline in his insensitivity to the anxieties and dread of everyday people. His ill health only brought his cold detachment from people into bolder, more visible relief.
To be fair to him, though, people who are worshipped by as many stupid people as Buhari has been worshipped most of his adult life tend to suffer compassion deficit. A lot of his worshippers are now realizing that they wasted their emotions on a man who doesn't care a tinker's damn about them. But the most hopeless of them persist in their folly.
In Nigeria, the new coronavirus isn't just threatening people and upending their ways of life, it is also exposing the crying leadership deficit in the country and the fraud that is packaged as the country's "president." I hope we all come out of this alive.
Related Articles:
Farooq A. Kperogi, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Journalism & Emerging Media
School of Communication & MediaSocial Science Building
Room 5092 MD 2207
402 Bartow Avenue
Kennesaw State UniversityKennesaw, Georgia, USA 30144
Cell: (+1) 404-573-9697
Personal website: www.farooqkperogi.comTwitter: @farooqkperogi
Author of Glocal English: The Changing Face and Forms of Nigerian English in a Global World
"The nice thing about pessimism is that you are constantly being either proven right or pleasantly surprised." G. F. Will--
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