Sent: Saturday, August 5, 2023 10:49:04 AM
To: usaafricadialogue@googlegroups.com <USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com>
Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Re - "If Tinubu is trying to send a message that there will be no more coups, he is daydreaming." (TF)
Torah Portion: Eikev
https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/niger/overview
One does not rebuke an elder, at least not publicly.
One has to walk tenderly, as in "tread softly for you tread on my dreams"
In my heart, I'm thinking, "TF, tell him brother, brother to brother. The Krio pipul dem sey, " Tell fren true, noh pwell ( spoil) fren", but then again there are the pig-headed, who don't listen; as Lakunle the village school teacher put it, "as stubborn as an illiterate goat"
The saying is that " Fools rush in where angels fear to tread ''; not that I'm referring to anyone in this palaver as a fool, and I wouldn't do that after listening to what Fela had to say about that aspect of Yoruba ethics, in that his classic cut, Monkey Banana
"If Tinubu is trying to send a message that there will be no more coups, he is daydreaming." (TF)
And that's exactly what seems to be going on, Tinubu daydreaming and not listening. If he continues along that trajectory, in the long run, this will be causing some people who were originally for him to turn against him, not to mention all the powerful regional enemies that he will be creating so unnecessarily, if the Nigerian Military should embark on the adventure that is in President Tinubu's pipeline, an adventure with unseen and unpredictable, far-reaching consequences, namely an invasion of the Independent Republic of Niger in order to reinstall his dear Muslim friend and presidential brother, Mohamed Bazoum
Festina lente.Why the hurry?
Constitutionally, Nigeria's democratically elected President Tinubu started his presidency on the 29th of May this year, which means that he has barely been on the hot seat for three months, he has yet to announce his cabinet and as Chairman of ECOWAS, we are to assume that at very short notice it is still after due consultations (with exactly who?) and listening to some wise counsel that he has already made this momentous decision about what steps the Nigerian Military has to take in response to the coup in Niger. No blood has been spilled so far but he wants to go in there to spill some of the Niger people's blood?
Of course, this could have factored in on the ECOWAS chairman rising to the occasion: Did Western Military Presence Help Foster Coup in Niger, Where U.S. Has Drone Base & 1,000+ Troops?
I have asked this question which only President Tinubu himself with or without any special consultations, can answer:
" President Tinubu himself wouldn't like to be couped/ deposed by any Military, so, of course, in principle, the idea of saving his own skin must be his default position. But, in an unforeseen eventuality that he is couped - God forbid, would he like the ECOWAS nations to team up and go to war against the Nigerian Military in order to reinstall or re-instate him? "
Last question: Should Niger's military and allies be defeated and their President Mohamed Bazoum restored to power, what happens to Niger's military?
I Roy: Every Mouth Must Be Fed
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