Sunday, November 4, 2012

Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney And Obama Tied, But Romney Leads Aming White Voters


Bangura:

I admire your resilience and unflinching support for Romney, your favored candidate
for Tuesday's presidential elections.

Your forever breaking news were always supported with either one poll or the other
or some conservative opinion pieces from Fox news and other news sources favored by the Tea Party,
Birthers and Rush Limbaugh fans.

As soon as I get depressed after reading your 'Breaking News", I always switch channels to CNN.COM
which always relieves me of the anxiety provoked by your positings.

As this campiagn drwas to a close one can only wish that the better man amongst Obama and Romney wins
not only for Americans but the rest of the world!

And that better man in my opinion will be Barrack Obama!

The electoral map numbers---see CNN ticker tape on CNN>COm are adding up more favorably for an Obama triumph than'for Romney.


Bye,

Ola

---- Original Message ----
From: Abdul Karim Bangura <theai@earthlink.net>
To: USAAfricaDialogue <USAAfricaDialogue@googlegroups.com>
Cc: leonenet <leonenet@lists.umbc.edu>
Sent: Sun, Nov 4, 2012 1:46 pm
Subject: USA Africa Dialogue Series - Romney And Obama Tied, But Romney Leads Aming White Voters

Tale of the Tape for Sunday, November 4, 2012:

Romney and Obama are tied, but Romney has a solid lead over Obama among white voters, who vote more and are more enthusiastic this year to vote. The figures include who have already vote and likely yo vote. So watch out for the Bradley and Wilder Effects!!!

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows the race tied with President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) remains undecided. See daily tracking history.

These figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Obama leads among those who have already voted, while Romney leads among those deemed likely to vote. Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters are projected to be Democrats and 37% Republicans. Both candidates do well within their own party, while Romney has a nine-point advantage among unaffiliated voters.

One key to the outcome on Election Day will be the racial and ethnic mix of the electorate. In 2008, approximately 74% of voters were white. The Obama campaign has argued that this will fall a couple of percentage points in 2012 with an increase in minority voting. Others have noted the increased enthusiasm among white voters and the decreased enthusiasm among Hispanic voters and suggest that white voters might make up a slightly larger share of the electorate this time around. It is significant because Romney attracts 58% of the white vote, while Obama has a huge lead among non-white voters.

If the white turnout increases on Election Day, it will be very difficult for the president to win. If it decreases, it will be very difficult for him to lose. Rasmussen Reports currently estimates that white turnout will be similar to the 2008 totals.

Romney vs. Obama - November 4, 2012



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For previous archives, visit http://www.utexas.edu/conferences/africa/ads/index.html
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