1. Potential reduction of remittances to Africa and the Caribbean- if T's statement on Mexican remittances, on the campaign trail, holds.
Negative economic effects on Nigeria, Ghana, Senegal , Jamaica ...... and countries with large populations in the US.
2. Potential loss of jobs for people with permanent residence from these regions; Job insecurity. Returnees could spark entrepreneurial programs at home and introduce new skills, however.
3. Deterioration of the climate for "minorities" in general, within the US.; Complete end of affirmative action programs. Prioritization of certain ethnicities. Undermining of laws against gender discrimination.
4. Consolidation in Africa of the racist wing of the rightwing Christian evangelicals , their toxic bigotry, and their neo-colonial missionary agenda. Spread of emboldened Jihadist terrorist groups within Africa; Heightened religious tension.
5. End of AGOA, and the consolidation of full blown protectionism, undermining the jobs that emanated from AGOA. Growth of an inward-looking Africa in some areas, and greater cooperation with China in others.
6. Cosy relationship with African dictators and the consolidation of dictatorship within Africa, but this could also spur resistance movements.
8. T. threatened to seize Iraq oil.........Risks to regions in Africa in the event of US involvement in crisis management. Greater determination to keep out "the world's policeman" may follow in some regions .
9. Withdrawal of funds from the UN, and the undermining of assistance to Africa of UNICEF, Refugee programs, programs related to the environment etc.Limited assistance in pandemics etc. Shift of the UN to Beijing?
10. Increased detention of immigrants and spread of detention centers; the entrenchment of a punitive culture of incarceration and police brutality, that have often affected minorities. Resistance movements.
Some of these are not inevitable, given the vibrant show of solidarity and resistance within and across various racial, social and economic groups - as displayed within the last two weeks. However, a period of internal civil unrest, and prolonged instability, cannot be ruled out.
New Britain. CT 06050